ThenecessitywhichtheBankfeltitselfundertoguardthesafetyofitsestablishment,therefore,alwaysprevented,beforetherestrictionfrompayinginspecie,atoolavishissueofpapermoney。
  Thuswefindthat,foraperiodoftwenty-threeyearspreviouslytothesuspensionofcashpaymentsin1797,theaveragepriceofgoldbullionwas3l。17s。73/4d。peroz。about23/4d。underthemintprice;andforsixteenyearspreviouslyto1774,itneverwasmuchabove4l。peroz。Itshouldberememberedthatduringthesesixteenyearsourgoldcoinwasdebasedbywearing,anditisthereforeprobablethat4l。ofsuchdebasedmoneydidnotweighasmuchastheounceofgoldforwhichitwasexchanged。
  DrA。Smithconsiderseverypermanentexcessofthemarketabovethemintpriceofgold,asreferribletothestateofthecoins。Whilethecoinwasofitsstandardweightandpurity,themarketpriceofgoldbullion,hethought,couldnotgreatlyexceedthemintprice。
  MrThorntoncontendsthatthiscannotbetheonlycause。"Wehave,"hesays,"latelyexperiencedfluctuationsinourexchanges,andcorrespondentvariationsinthemarket,comparedwiththemintpriceofgold,amountingtonolessthaneightortenpercent;thestateofourcoinagecontinuinginallrespectsthesame。"MrThorntonshouldhavereflectedthatatthetimehewrote,speciecouldnotbedemandedattheBankinexchangefornotes;thatthiswasacauseforthedepreciationofthecurrencywhichDrSmithcouldneverhaveanticipated。IfMrThorntonhadprovedthattherehadbeenafluctuationoftenpercent。inthepriceofgold,whiletheBankpaidtheirnotesinspecie,andthecoinwasundebased,hewouldthenhaveconvictedDrSmithof"
  havingtreatedthisimportantsubjectinadefectiveandunsatisfactorymanner。"(6*)
  Butasallchecksagainsttheover-issuesoftheBankarenowremovedbytheactofparliament,whichrestrictsthemfrompayingtheirnotesinspecie,theyarenolongerboundby"fearsforthesafetyoftheirestablishment,"tolimitthequantityoftheirnotestothatsumwhichshallkeepthemofthesamevalueasthecoinwhichtheyrepresent。Accordinglywefindthatgoldbullionhasrisenfrom3l。17s。73/4d。theaveragepricepreviously1to1797,to4l。10s。andhasbeenlatelyashighas4l。13s。peroz。
  Wemaythereforefairlyconcludethatthisdifferenceintherelativevalue,or,inotherwords,thatthisdepreciationintheactualvalueofbank-noteshasbeencausedbythetooabundantquantitywhichtheBankhassentintocirculation。Thesamecausewhichhasproducedadifferenceoffromfifteentotwentypercent。inbank-noteswhencomparedwithgoldbullion,mayincreaseittofiftypercent。Therecanbenolimittothedepreciationwhichmayarisefromaconstantlyincreasingquantityofpaper。
  Thestimuluswhicharedundantcurrencygivestotheexportationofthecoinhasacquirednewforce,butcannot,asformerly,relieveitself。Wehavepapermoneyonlyincirculation,whichisnecessarilyconfinedtoourselves。Everyincreaseinitsquantitydegradesitbelowthevalueofgoldandsilverbullion,belowthevalueofthecurrenciesofothercounties。
  Theeffectisthesameasthatwhichwouldhavebeenproducedfromclippingourcoins。
  Ifone-fifthweretakenofffromeveryguinea,themarketpriceofgoldbullionwouldriseone-fifthabovethemintprice。
  Forty-fourguineasandahalf(thenumberofguineasweighingapound,andthereforecalledthemintprice),wouldnolongerweighapound,thereforeafifthmorethanthatquantity,orabout56l。wouldbethepriceofapoundofgold,andthedifferencebetweenthemarketandthemintprice,between56l。
  and46l。14s。6d。wouldmeasurethedepreciation。
  Ifsuchdebasedcoinweretocontinuetobecalledbythenameofguineas,andifthevalueofgoldbullionandallothercommoditieswereratedinthedebasedcoin,aguineafreshfromthemintwouldbesaidtobeworth1l。5s。andthatsumwouldbegivenforitbytheillicittrader;butitwouldnotbethevalueofthenewguineawhichhadincreased,butthatofthedebasedguineaswhichhadfallen。Thiswouldimmediatelybeevident,ifaproclamationwereissued,prohibitingthedebasedguineasfrombeingcurrentbutbyweightatthemintpriceof3l。17s。10
  1/2d。;thiswouldbeconstitutingthenewandheavyguineas,thestandardmeasureofvalue,inlieuoftheclippedanddebasedguineas。Thelatterwouldthenpassattheirtruevalue,andbecalled17or18shilling-pieces。Soifaproclamationtothesameeffectwerenowenforced,banknoteswouldnotbelesscurrent,butwouldpassonlyforthevalueofthegoldbullionwhichtheywouldpurchase。Aguineawouldthennolongerbesaidtobeworth1l。4s。butapoundnotewouldbecurrentonlyfor16or17
  shillings。Atpresentgoldcoinisonlyacommodity,andbank-notesarethestandardmeasureofvalue,butinthatcasegoldcoinwouldbethatmeasure,andbank-noteswouldbethemarketablecommodity。
  "Itis,"saysMrThornton,"themaintenanceofourgeneralexchanges,or,inotherwords,itistheagreementofthemintpricewiththebullionpriceofgold,whichseemstobethetrueproofthatthecirculatingpaperisnotdepreciated。"Whenthemotiveforexportinggoldoccurs,whiletheBankdonotpayinspecie,andgoldcannotthereforebeobtainedatitsmintprice,thesmallquantitythatcanbeprocuredwillbecollectedforexportation,andbank-noteswillbesoldatadiscountforgoldinproportiontotheirexcess。Insayinghoweverthatgoldisatahighprice,wearemistaken;itisnotgold,itispaperwhichhaschangeditsvalue。Compareanounceofgold,or3l。17s。10
  1/2d。tocommodities,itbearsthesameproportiontothemwhichithasbeforedone;andifitdonot,itisreferribletoincreasedtaxation,ortosomeofthosecauseswhicharesoconstantlyoperatingonitsvalue。Butifwecomparethesubstituteofanounceofgold,3l。17s。101/2d。inbanknotes,withcommodities,weshallthendiscoverthedepreciationofthebank-notes。IneverymarketoftheworldIamobligedtopartwith4l。10s。inbank-notestopurchasethesamequantityofcommoditieswhichIcanobtainforthegoldthatisin3l。17s。
  101/2d。ofcoin。
  Itisoftenasserted,thataguineaisworthatHamburgh26
  or28shillings;butweshouldbeverymuchdeceivedifweshouldthereforeconcludethataguineacouldbesoldatHamburghforasmuchsilverasiscontainedin26or28shillings。Beforethealterationintherelativevalueofgoldandsilver,aguineawouldnotsellatHamburghforasmuchsilvercoinasiscontainedin21standardshillings;itwillatthepresentmarketpricesellforasumofsilvercurrency,which,ifimportedandcarriedtoourminttobecoined,willproduceinourstandardsilvercoin21s。5d。(7*)
  Itisneverthelesstrue,thatthesamequantityofsilverwill,atHamburgh,purchaseabillpayableinLondon,inbanknotes,for26or28shillings。Cantherebeamoresatisfactoryproofofthedepreciationofourcirculatingmedium?
  Itissaid,that,iftheRestriction-billwerenotinforce,everyguineawouldleavethecountry。(8*)
  Thisis,nodoubt,true;butiftheBankweretodiminishthequantityoftheirnotesuntiltheyhadincreasedtheirvaluefifteenpercent。,therestrictionmightbesafelyremoved,astherewouldthenbenotemptationtoexportspecie。Howeverlongitmaybedeferred,howevergreatmaybethediscountontheirnotes,theBankcanneverresumetheirpaymentsinspecie,untiltheyfirstreducetheamountoftheirnotesincirculationtotheselimits。
  Thelawisallowedbyallwritersonpoliticaleconomytobeauselessbarrieragainsttheexportationofguineas:itissoeasilyevaded,thatitisdoubtedwhetherithashadtheeffectofkeepingasingleguineamoreinEnglandthantherewouldhavebeenwithoutsuchlaw。MrLocke,SirJ。Stuart,DrA。Smith,LordLiverpool,andMrThornton,allagreeonthissubject。Thelattergentlemanobserves,"ThatthestateoftheBritishlawunquestionablyservestodiscourageandlimit,thoughnoteffectuallytohinder,thatexportationofguineaswhichisencouragedbyanunfavourablebalanceoftrade,andperhapsscarcelylessensitwhentheprofitonexportationbecomesverygreat。"Yetaftereveryguineathatcaninthepresentstateofthingsbeprocuredbytheillicittraderhasbeenmeltedandexported,hewillhesitatebeforeheopenlybuysguineaswithbank-notesatapremium,because,thoughconsiderableprofitmayattendsuchspeculation,hewilltherebyrenderhimselfanobjectofsuspicion。Hemaybewatched,andpreventedfromeffectinghisobject。Asthepenaltiesofthelawaresevere,andthetemptationtoinformersgreat,secrecyisessentialtohisoperations。Whenguineascanbeprocuredbymerelysendingabank-noteforthemtotheBank,thelawwillbeeasilyevaded;
  butwhenitisnecessarytocollectthemopenlyandfromawidelydiffusedcirculation,consistingalmostwhollyofpaper,theadvantageattendingitmustbeveryconsiderablebeforeanyonewillencountertheriskofbeingdetected。
  WhenwereflectthatabovesixtymillionssterlinghavebeencoinedintoguineasduringhispresentMajesty'sreign,wemayformsomeideaoftheextenttowhichtheexportationofgoldmusthavebeencarried-Butrepealthelawagainsttheexportationofguineas,permitthemtobeopenlysentoutofthecounty,andwhatcanpreventanounceofstandardgoldinguineasfromsellingatasgoodapriceforbank-notes,asanounceofPortuguezegoldcoin,orstandardgoldinbars,whenitisknowntobeequaltotheminfineness?Andifanounceofstandardgoldinguineaswouldsellinthemarket,asstandardbarsdonow,at4l。10s。peroz。,orastheyhavelatelydoneat4l。13s。peroz。,whatshopkeeperwouldsellhisgoodsatthesamepriceeitherforgoldorbank-notesindifferently?Ifthepriceofacoatwere3l。17s。101/2d。oranounceofgold,andifatthesametimeanounceofgoldwouldsellfor4l。13s。,isitconceivablethatitwouldbeamatterofindifferencetothetailorwhetherhewerepaidingoldorinbank-notes?
  Itisonlybecauseaguineawillnotpurchasemorethanapound-noteandashilling,thatmanyhesitatetoallowthatbank-notesareatadiscount。TheEdinburghReviewsupportsthesameopinion;butifmyreasoningbecorrect,Ihaveshewnsuchobjectionstobegroundless。
  MrThorntonhastoldusthatanunfavourabletradewillaccountforanunfavourableexchange;butwehavealreadyseenthatanunfavourabletrade,ifsuchbeanaccurateterm,islimitedinitseffectsontheexchange。Thatlimitisprobablyfourorfivepercent。Thiswillnotaccountforadepreciationoffifteenortwentypercent。MoreoverMrThorntonhastoldus,andIentirelyagreewithhim,"Thatitmaybelaiddownasageneraltruth,thatthecommercialexportsandimportsofastatenaturallyproportionthemselvesinsomedegreetoeachother,andthatthebalanceoftradethereforecannotcontinueforaverylongtimetobeeitherhighlyfavourableorhighlyunfavourabletoacounty。"Nowthelowexchange,sofarfrombeingtemporary,existedbeforeMrThorntonwrotein1802,andhassincebeenprogressivelyincreasing,andisnowfromfifteentotwentypercent。againstus。MrThorntonmusttherefore,accordingtohisownprinciples,attributeittosomemorepermanentcausethananunfavourablebalanceoftrade,andwill,Idoubtnot,whateverhisopinionmayformerlyhavebeen,nowagreethatitistobeaccountedforonlybythedepreciationofthecirculatingmedium。
  Itcan,Ithink,nolongerbedisputedthatbank-notesareatadiscount。Whilethepriceofgoldbullionis4l。10s。peroz。,orinotherwords,whileanymanwillconsenttogivethatwhichprofessestobeanobligationtopaynearlyanounce,andasixthofanounceofgold,foranounce,itcannotbecontendedthat4
  l。10s。innotesand4l。10s。ingoldcoinareofthesamevalue。
  Anounceofgoldiscoinedinto3l。17s。101/2d。;bypossessingthatsumthereforeIhaveanounceofgold,andwouldnotgive4l。10s。ingoldcoin,ornoteswhichIcouldimmediatelyexchangefor4l。10s。,foranounceofgold。
  Itiscontrarytocommonsensetosupposethatsuchcouldbethemarketvalue,unlessthepricewereestimatedinadepreciatedmedium。
  Ifthepriceofgoldwereestimatedinsilverindeed,thepricemightriseto4l。,5l。,or10l。anounce,anditwould,ofitself,benoproofofthedepreciationofpapercurrency,butofanalterationintherelativevalueofgoldandsilver。I
  have,however,Ithinkproved,thatsilverisnotthestandardmeasureofvalue,andthereforenotthemediuminwhichthevalueofgoldisestimated。Butifitwere;asanounceofgoldisonlyworthinthemarket151/2oz。ofsilver,andas151/2ouncesofsilverispreciselyequalinweight,andisthereforecoinedinto80shillings,anounceofgoldoughtnottosellformorethan4
  l。
  Thosethenwhomaintainthatsilveristhemeasureofvaluecannotprovethatanydemandforgoldwhichmayhavetakenplace,fromwhatevercauseitmayhaveproceeded,canhaveraiseditspriceabove4l。peroz。Allabovethatpricemust,ontheirownprinciples,becalledadepreciationinthevalueofbank-notes。
  Itthereforefollows,thatifbank-notesbetherepresentativeofsilvercoin,thenanounceofgold,sellingasitnowdoesfor4
  l。10s。sellsforanamountofnoteswhichrepresent171/2
  ouncesofsilver,whereasinthebullionmarketitcanonlybeexchangedfor151/2ounces。FifteenouncesandahalfofsilverbullionarethereforeofequalvaluewithanengagementoftheBanktopaytobearerseventeenouncesandahalf。
  Themarketpriceofsilverisatthepresenttime5s。91/2d。
  peroz。estimatedinbank-notes,themintpricebeingonly5s。
  2d。,consequentlythestandardsilverin100l。isworthmorethan112l。inbank-notes。
  Butbank-notes,itmaybesaid,aretherepresentativesofourdebasedsilvercoin,andnotofourstandardsilver。Thisisnottrue,becausethelawwhichIhavealreadyquoteddeclaressilvertobealegaltenderforsumsonlynotexceeding25l。
  exceptbyweight。IftheBankinsistedonpayingtheholderofabank-noteof1000l。insilvercoin,theywouldbeboundeithertogivehimstandardsilveroffullweight,ordebasedsilverofanequalvalue,withtheexceptionof25l。whichtheymightpayhimindebasedcoin。Butthe1000l。soconsistingof975l。puremoney,and25l。debased,isworthmorethan1112l。atthepresentmarketvalueofsilverbullion。
  Itissaidthattheamountofbank-noteshasnotincreasedinagreaterproportionthantheaugmentationofourtraderequired,andthereforecannotbeexcessive。Thisassertionwouldbedifficulttoprove,andiftrue,noargumentbutwhatisdelusivecouldbefoundedonit。Inthefirstplace,thedailyimprovementswhichwearemakingintheartofeconomizingtheuseofcirculatingmedium,byimprovedmethodsofbanking,wouldrenderthesameamountofnotesexcessivenow,whichwerenecessaryforthesamestateofcommerceataformerperiod。
  Secondly,thereisaconstantcompetitionbetweentheBankofEnglandandthecountry-bankstoestablishtheirnotes,totheexclusionofthoseoftheirrivals,ineverydistrictwherethecountrybanksareestablished。
  Asthelatterhavemorethandoubledinnumberwithinveryfewyears,isitnotprobablethattheiractivitymayhavebeencrownedwithsuccess,indisplacingwiththeirownnotesmanyofthoseoftheBankofEngland?
  Ifthishavehappened,thesameamountofBankofEnglandnoteswouldnowbeexcessive;which,withalessextendedcommerce,wasbeforebarelysufficienttokeepourcurrencyonalevelwiththatofothercounties。Nojustconclusioncanthereforebedrawnfromtheactualamountofbank-notesincirculation,thoughthefact,ifexamined,would,Ihavenodoubt,befoundtobe,thattheincreaseintheamountofbanknotes,andthehighpriceofgold,haveusuallyaccompaniedeachother。
  Itisdoubted,whethertwoorthreemillionsofBank-notes(thesumwhichtheBankissupposedtohaveaddedtothecirculation,overandabovetheamountwhichitwilleasilybear,)couldhavehadsucheffectsasareascribedtothem;butitshouldberecollected,thattheBankregulatetheamountofthecirculationofallthecountrybanks,anditisprobable,thatiftheBankincreasetheirissuesthreemillions,theyenablethecountrybankstoaddmorethanthreemillionstothegeneralcirculationofEngland。
  Themoneyofaparticularcountyisdividedamongstitsdifferentprovincesbythesamerulesasthemoneyoftheworldisdividedamongstthedifferentnationsofwhichitiscomposed。
  Eachdistrictwillretaininitscirculationsuchaproportionateshareofthecurrencyofthecountry,asitstrade,andconsequentlyitspayments,mayrequire,comparedtothetradeofthewhole;andnoincreasecantakeplaceinthecirculatingmediumofonedistrict,withoutbeinggenerallydiffused,orcallingforthaproportionablequantityineveryotherdistrict。
  ItisthiswhichkeepsacountrybanknotealwaysofthesamevalueasaBankofEnglandnote。IfinLondon,whereBankofEnglandnotesonlyarecurrent,onemillionbeaddedtotheamountincirculation,thecurrencywillbecomecheapertherethanelsewhere,orgoodswillbecomedearer。Goodswill,therefore,besentfromthecountrytotheLondonmarket,tobesoldatthehighprices,orwhichismuchmoreprobable,thecountrybankswilltakeadvantageoftherelativedeficiencyinthecountrycurrency,andincreasetheamountoftheirnotesinthesameproportionastheBankofEnglandhaddone;priceswouldthenbegenerally,andnotpartiallyaffected。
  Inthesamemanner,ifBankofEnglandnotesbediminishedonemillion,thecomparativevalueofthecurrencyofLondonwillbeincreased,andthepricesofgoodsdiminished。ABankofEnglandnotewillthenbemorevaluablethanacountrybanknote,becauseitwillbewantedtopurchasegoodsinthecheapmarket;
  andasthecountrybanksareobligedtogiveBankofEnglandnotesfortheirownwhendemanded,theywouldbecalleduponforthemtillthequantityofcountrypapershouldbereducedtothesameproportionwhichitbeforeboretotheLondonpaper,producingacorrespondingfallinthepricesofallgoodsforwhichitwasexchangeable。
  Thecountrybankscouldneverincreasetheamountoftheirnotes,unlesstofilluparelativedeficiencyinthecountrycurrency,causedbytheincreasedissuesoftheBankofEngland。(9*)Iftheyattemptedit,thesamecheckwhichcompelledtheBankofEnglandtowithdrawpartoftheirnotesfromcirculationwhentheyusedtopaythemondemandinspecie,wouldobligethecountrybankstoadoptthesamecourse。Theirnoteswould,onaccountoftheincreasedquantity,berenderedoflessvaluethantheBankofEnglandnotes,inthesamemannerasBankofEnglandnoteswererenderedoflessvaluethantheguineaswhichtheyrepresented。TheywouldthereforebeexchangedforBankofEnglandnotesuntiltheywereofthesamevalue。