"OnLabour,itsWrongfulClaimsandRightfulDues,itsActualPresentandPossibleFuture"ByWilliamThomasThornton,PartI,FortnightlyReview,(May,1869),pp。505—18;PartII,(June,1869),pp。680—700。
republishedinDebatesandDissertation(1875),25—85。
PARTI
Mr。Thorntonlongagogaveproofofhiscompetencytothetreatmentofsomeofthemostimportantquestionsofpracticalpoliticaleconomy,bytwoworksofgreatmerit,"OverPopulationanditsRemedy,"(1)and"APleaforPeasantProprietors。"(2)Ofthelatteroftheseespeciallyitmaybesaid,thatnothingbutthetotalabsence,atthetimeofitspublication,ofanygeneralinterestinitssubject,canaccountforitsnothavingachievedahighreputeandawidecirculation。Thelackofinterestinthesubjecthasnowceased;
opinionisrapidlyadvancinginthedirectionwhichtheauthorfayours;
andanewedition,withitsfactsbroughtdowntothelatestdate,wouldbewelcomedbyadvancedpoliticians,andwouldmateriallycontributetotheformationofanenlightenedjudgmentononeoftheeconomicalquestionsonwhichtruthismostimportant,andprejudicestillmostrife。
Thepresentwork,thoughpopularandattractiveinstyle,isstrictlyscientificinitsprinciplesandreasonings;andistherefore,asmightbeexpected,strictlyimpartialinitsjudgments。Aconsiderablepartofthevolumeisemployedinrefutingtheprinciplesonwhichitisusualtorestthoseclaimsandaspirationsofthelabouringclasses,whichneverthelesstheauthor,onbettergrounds,supports。Noblindpartisanoneithersideofthefeudoflabouragainstcapital,willrelishthebook;butfewpersonsofintelligenceandimpartialitywhoreaditthrough,willlayitdownwithouthavingreasontofeelthattheyunderstandbetterthanbeforesomeofthebearingsofthequestionsinvolvedinthatconflict。
Tothisgreatpracticalmeritaretobeaddedtwoofamoretheoretickind,tothevalueofwhichIamthemorecalledupontobeartestimony,asontheparticularpointstoucheduponinthisdepartmentIshallhavetoexpressmoredifferencethanagreement。First:itcontainsadiscussionofoneofthefundamentalquestionsofabstractpoliticaleconomy(theinfluenceofdemandandsupplyonprice),whichisarealcontributiontoscience,though,inmyestimation,anaddition,andnot,astheauthorthinks,acorrection,tothereceiveddoctrine。Secondly:intheattempttogototheverybottomofthequestion,whatarethejustrightsoflabourononeside,andcapitalontheother,itraisesthegreatissuesrespectingthefoundationofrightandwrong,ofjusticeandinjustice,inamannerhighlyprovocativeofthought。Tolaydownadefinitedoctrineofsocialjustice,aswellasadistinctviewofthenaturallawsoftheexchangeofcommodities,asthebasisforthedeductionsofaworkdevotedtosuchasubjectastheprinciplesandpracticeofTrades—Unionism,wasinseparablefromthethoroughnesswithwhichtheauthorhassoughttodohiswork。
Everyopinionastotherelativerightsoflabourersandemployers,involvesexpresslyortacitlysometheoryofjustice,anditcannotbeindifferenttoknowwhattheory。Neither,again,canitbedecidedinwhatmannerthecombinedproceedingsoflabourersorofemployersaffecttheinterestsofeitherside,withoutaclearviewofthecauseswhichgovernthebargainbetweenthem——withoutasoundtheoryofthelawofwages。
Indeed,atheoryofwagesobtrusivelymeetstheinquirer,atthethresholdofeveryquestionrespectingtherelationsbetweenlabourersandemployers,andiscommonlyregardedasrenderingsuperfluousanyfurtherargument。
Itislaiddownthatwages,byanirresistiblelaw,dependonthedemandandsupplyoflabour,andcaninnocircumstancesbeeithermoreorlessthanwhatwilldistributetheexistingwages—fundamongtheexistingnumberofcompetitorsforemployment。Thosewhoarecontenttosetoutfromgenerally—receiveddoctrinesasfromself—evidentaxioms,aresatisfiedwiththis,andinquirenofurther。Butthosewhousetheirownunderstanding,andlookcloselyintowhattheyassentto,areboundtoaskthemselveswhetherorinwhatsensewagesdodependonthedemandandsupplyoflabour,andwhatismeantbythewages—fund。
Theauthorofthisworkhasaskedhimselfthesequestions;andwhileheis,ashiswritingsgiveevidence,wellversedinpoliticaleconomy,andisabletoholdhisgroundwiththebestinfollowingouteconomicallawsintotheirmoreobscureandintricateworkings,hehasbecomeconvincedthatthebarrierwhichseemstoclosetheentranceintooneofthemostimportantprovincesofeconomicalandsocialinquiry,isashadowwhichwillvanishifwegoboldlyuptoit。Heisofopinionthateconomistshavemistakenthescientificlawnotonlyofthepriceoflabour,butofpricesingeneral。Itisanerror,hethinks,thatprice,orvalueinexchange,dependsonsupplyanddemand。
Thereisonesense,inwhichthispropositionofMr。Thorntonwouldbeassentedtobyalleconomists;theynoneofthemconsidersupplyanddemandtobetheultimateregulatorsofvalue。(3)Thatcharacter,theyhold,belongstocostofproduction;alwayssupposingthecommoditytobeaproductoflabour,andnaturalorartificialmonopolytobeoutofthequestion。Subjecttotheseconditions,allcommodities,inthelongrunandontheaverage,tendtoexchangeforoneanother(and,thoughthispointisalittlemoreintricate,tendalsotoexchangeformoney)intheratioofwhatitcosts,inlabourandabstinence,toproducethearticlesandtobringthemtotheplaceofsale。Butthoughtheaveragepriceofeverything,thepricetowhichtheproducerlooksforwardforhisremuneration,mustapproximatelyconformtothecostofproduction,itisnotsowiththepriceatanygivenmoment。Thatisalwaysheldtodependonthedemandandsupplyatthemoment。Andtheinfluenceevenofcostofproductiondependsonsupply;fortheonlythingwhichcompelsprice,ontheaverage,toconformtocostofproduction,isthatifthepriceiseitheraboveorbelowthatstandard,itisbroughtbacktoiteitherbyanincreaseorbyadiminutionofthesupply;though,afterthishasbeeneffected,thesupplyadjustsitselftothedemandwhichexistsforthecommodityattheremuneratingprice。Thesearethelimitswithinwhichpoliticaleconomistsconsidersupplyanddemandasthearbitersofprice。ButevenwithintheselimitsMr。Thorntondeniesthedoctrine。
Likeallfaircontroversialists,Mr。Thorntondirectshisattackagainstthestrongestformoftheopinionheassails。Hedoesnotmuchconcernhimselfwiththeinfantineformofthetheory,inwhichdemandisdefinedasadesireforthecommodity,orasthedesirecombinedwiththepowerofpurchase;orinwhichpriceissupposedtodependontheratiobetweendemandandsupply。Itistobehopedthatfewarenowdwellinginthislimbusinfantum。Demand,tobecapableofcomparisonwithsupply,mustbetakentomean,notawish,norapower,butaquantity。Neitherisitatanytimeafixedquantity,butvarieswiththeprice。Nordoesthepricedependonanyratio。Thedemandandsupplytheory,whenrightlyunderstood——indeedwhencapableofbeingunderstoodatall——signifies,thattheratiowhichexistsbetweendemandandsupply,whenthepricehasadjusteditself,isalwaysoneofequality。Ifatthemarketpricethedemandexceedsthesupply,thecompetitionofbuyerswilldriveupthepricetothepointatwhichtherewillonlybepurchasersforasmuchasisofferedforsale。If,onthecontrary,thesupply,beinginexcessofthedemand,cannotbealldisposedofattheexistingprice,eitherapartwillbewithdrawntowaitforabettermarket,orasalewillbeforcedbyofferingitatsuchareductionofpriceaswinbringforwardnewbuyers,ortempttheoldonestoincreasetheirpurchases。Thelaw,therefore,ofvalues,asaffectedbydemandandsupply,isthattheyadjustthemselvessoasalwaystobringaboutanequationbetweendemandandsupply,bytheincreaseoftheoneorthediminutionoftheother;themovementofpricebeingonlyarrestedwhenthequantityaskedforatthecurrentprice,andthequantityofferedatthecurrentprice,areequal。Thispointofexactequilibriummaybeasmomentary,butisneverthelessasreal,asthelevelofthesea。
ItisthisdoctrinewhichMr。Thorntoncontests:andhismodeofcornbatingitisbyadducingcaseaftercaseinwhichhethinkshecanshowthatthepropositionisfalse;mostofthecasesbeing,onthefaceofthem,altogetherexceptional;butamongthemtheycover,inhisopinion,nearlythewholefieldofpossiblecases。
Thefirstcase,whichispresentedasthetypeofaclass,ratherthanforitsintrinsicimportance,isthatofwhatiscalledaDutchauction。
Whenaherringormackerelboathasdischargedonthebeach,atHastingsorDover,lastnight’stakeoffish,theboatmen,inordertodisposeoftheircargo,commonlyresorttoaprocesscalledDutchauction。Thefisharedividedintolots,eachofwhichissetupatahigherpricethanthesalesmanexpectstogetforit,andhethengraduallylowershisterms,untilhecomestoapricewhichsomebystanderiswillingtopayratherthannothavethelot,andtowhichheaccordinglyagrees。Supposeononeoccasionthelottohavebeenahundredweight,andthepriceagreedtotwentyshillings。If,onthesameoccasion,insteadoftheDutchformofauction,theordinaryEnglishmodehadbeenadopted,theresultmighthavebeendifferent。Theoperationwouldthenhavecommencedbysomebystandermakingabid,whichothersmighthavesuccessivelyexceeded,untilapricewasarrivedatbeyondwhichnoonebuttheactualbiddercouldaffordorwasdisposedtogo。Thatsumwouldnotnecessarilybetwentyshillings;
verypossiblyitmightbeonlyeighteenshillings。Thepersonwhowaspreparedtopaytheformerpricemightverypossiblybetheonlypersonpresentpreparedtopayevensomuchasthelatterprice;andifso,hemightgetbyEnglishauctionforeighteenshillingsthefishforwhichatDutchauctionhewouldhavepaidtwentyshillings。Inthesamemarket,withthesamequantityoffishforsale,andwithcustomersinnumberandeveryotherrespectthesame,thesamelotoffishmightfetchtwoverydifferentprices。
(Thornton,pp。47—8。)
Thisinstance,thoughseeminglyatrivial,isreallyarepresentativeoneandahundredcasescouldnotshow,betterthanthisdoes,whatMr。
Thorntonhasandwhathehasnotmadeout。Hehasprovedthatthelawoftheequalisationofsupplyanddemandisnotthewholetheoryoftheparticularcase。Hehasnotprovedthatthelawisnotstrictlyconformedtointhatcase。Inordertoshowthattheequilisationofsupplyanddemandisnotthelawofprice,whathehasreallyshownisthatthelawis,inthisparticularcase,consistentwithtwodifferentprices,andisequallyandcompletelyfulfilledbyeitherofthem。Thedemandandsupplyareequalattwentyshillings,andequalalsoateighteenshillings。Theconclusionoughttobe,notthatthelawisfalse,forMr。Thorntondoesnotdenythatinthecaseinquestionitisfulfilled;butonly,thatitisnottheentirelawofthephenomenon。Thephenomenoncannothelpobeyingit,butthereissomeamountofindeterminatenessinitsoperation——acertainlimitedextentofvariationispossiblewithintheboundsofthelaw;andastheremustbeasufficientreasonforeveryvariationinaneffect,theremustbeasupplementarylaw,whichdeterminestheeffect,betweenthelimitswithinwhichtheprincipallawleavesitfree。Whoevercanteachusthissupplementarylaw,makesavaluableadditiontothescientifictheoryofthesubject;andweshallseepresentlythatinsubstance,ifnotstrictlyinform,Mr。Thorntondoesteachit。Evenifhedidnot,hewouldhaveshownthereceivedtheorytobeincomplete;buthewouldnothave,norhashenow,shownittobeinthesmallestdegreeincorrect。
Whatismore;whenwelookintotheconditionsrequiredtomakethecommontheoryinadequate,wefindthat,inthecaseatleastwhichwehavenowexamined,theincompletenessitstandsconvictedofamountstoanexceedinglysmallmatter。Toestablishit,Mr。Thorntonhadtoassumethatthecustomerwhowaspreparedtopaytwentyshillingsforahundredweightoffish,wastheonlypersonpresentwhowaswillingtopayevensomuchaseighteenshillings。Inotherwords,hesupposedthecasetobeanexceptiontotherule,thatdemandincreaseswithcheapness:andsincethisrule,thoughgeneral,isnotabsolutelyuniversal,heisscientificallyright。Ifthereisapartofthescalethroughwhichthepricemayvarywithoutincreasingordiminishingthedemand,thewholeofthatportionofthescalemayfulfiltheconditionofequalitybetweensupplyanddemand。Buthowmanysuchcasesreallyexist?Amongafewchafferersonthebeachofasmallfishingport,suchacase,thougheventhereimprobable,isnottotallyoutofthequestion。Butwherebuyersarecountedbythousands,orhundreds,orevenscores;inanyconsiderablemarket——and,farmore,inthegeneralmarketoftheworld——itisthenextthingtoimpossiblethatmoreofthecommodityshouldnotbeaskedforateveryreductionofprice。Thecaseofprice,therefore,whichthelawoftheequalisationdoesnotreach,isonewhichmaybeconceived,butwhich,inpractice,ishardlyeverrealised。
ThenextexamplewhichMr。Thorntonproducesofthefailureofsupplyanddemandasthelawofprice,isthefollowing:——
Supposetwopersonsatdifferenttimes,orindifferentplaces,tohaveeachahorsetosell,valuedbytheownerat£50;andthatintheonecasetherearetwo,andintheotherthreepersons,ofwhomeveryoneisreadytopayo650forthehorse,thoughnooneofthemcanaffordtopaymore。Inbothcasessupplyisthesame,viz。,onehorseat£50;
butdemandisdifferent,beinginonecasetwo,andintheotherthree,horsesat£50。Yetthepriceatwhichthehorseswillbesoldwillbethesameinbothcases,viz。,£50。(p。49。)
Thelawdoesfailinthiscase,asitfailedintheformer,butforadifferentreason;not,asintheformercase,becauseseveralpricesfulfiltheconditionequallywell,butbecausenopricefulfilsit。At£50thereisademandfortwiceorthreetimesthesupply;at£50。
0s。0¼d。thereisnodemandatall。Whenthescaleofthedemandforacommodityisbrokenbysoextraordinaryajump,thelawfailsofitsapplication;not,Iventuretosay,fromanyfaultinthelaw,butbecausetheconditionsonwhichitsapplicabilitydependsdonotexist。
Ifthepeculiaritiesofthecasedonotpermitthedemandtobeequaltothesupply,leavingitonlythealternativeofbeinggreaterorless,greaterorlessitwillbe;andallthatcanbeaffirmedis,thatitwillkeepasneartothepointofequalityasitcan。Insteadofconflictingwiththelaw,thisistheextremecasewhichprovesthelaw。Thelawis,thatthepricewillbethatwhichequalisesthedemandwiththesupply;andtheexampleprovesthatthisonlyfailstobethecasewhenthereisnopricethatwouldfulfilthecondition,andthateventhen,thesamecauses,stilloperating,keepthepriceatthepointwhichwillmostnearlyfulfilit。Isitpossibletohaveanymorecompleteconfirmationofthelaw,thanthatinordertofindacaseinwhichthepricedoesnotconformtothelaw,itisnecessarytofindoneinwhichthereisnopricethatcanconformtoit?
Again:——
Whenatradesmanhasplaceduponhisgoodsthehighestpricewhichanyonewillpayforthem,thepricecannot,ofcourse,risehigher,yetthesupplymaybebelowthedemand。Agloverinacountrytown,ontheeveofanassizebail,havingonlyadozenpairsofwhiteglovesinstore,mightpossiblybeabletogettenshillingsapairforthem。Hewouldbeabletogetthisiftwelvepersonswerewillingtopaythatpriceratherthannotgotothebail,orthangoungloved。Buthecouldnotgetmorethanthis,eventhough,whilehewasstillhigglingwithhisfirstbatchofcustomers,asecondbatch,equallynumerousandneithermorenorlesseager,shouldenterhisshop,andoffertopaythesamebutnotahigherprice。Thedemandforgloves,whichatfirsthadbeenjustequaltothesupply,wouldnowbeexactlydoubled,yetthepricewouldnotriseabovetenshillingsapair。Suchabundanceofproofissurelydecisiveagainstthesuppositionthatpricemustrisewhendemandexceedssupply。(pp。51—2。)
Here,again,theauthorisobligedtosupposethatthewholebodyofcustomers(twenty—fourinnumber)placetheextremelimitofwhattheyarewillingtopayratherthangowithoutthearticle,exactlyatthesamepoint——anexactrepetitionofthehypothesisaboutthehorsewhoisestimatedat£50,andnotafarthingmore,byeveryonewhoiswillingtobuyhim。Thecaseisjustpossibleinaverysmallmarket——practicallyimpossibleinthegreatmarketofthecommunity。But,wereiteversofrequent,itwouldnotimpugnthetruthofthelaw,butonlyitsall—comprehensiveness。
Itwouldshowthatthelawisonlyfulfilledwhenitsfulfilmentis,inthenatureofthings,possible,andthattherearecasesinwhichitisimpossible;butthateventherethelawtakeseffect,uptothelimitofpossibility。
Mr。Thornton’snextpositionis,thatiftheequalisationtheorywereliterallytrue,itwouldbeatruthofsmallsignificance,because——
Evenifitweretruethatthepriceultimatelyresultingfromcompetitionisalwaysoneatwhichsupplyanddemandareequalised,stillonlyasmallproportionofthegoodsofferedforsalewouldactuallybesoldatanysuchprice,sinceadealerwilldisposeofasmuchofhisstockashecanatahigherprice,beforehewilllowerthepriceinordertogetridoftheremainder。(p。53。)
Thisisonlysayingthatthelawinquestionresemblesothereconomicallawsinproducingitseffectsnotsuddenly,butgradually。Thoughadealermaykeepuphispriceuntilbuyersactuallyfalloff,oruntilheismetbythecompetitionofrivaldealers,stillifthereisalargersupplyinthemarketthancanbesoldontheseterms,hispricewillgodownuntilitreachesthepointwhichwillcallforthbuyersforhisentirestock;
andwhenthatpointisreacheditwillnotdescendfurther。Alawwhichdeterminesthatthepriceofthecommodityshallfall,andfixestheexactpointwhichthefallwillreach,isnotjustlydescribedas"atruthofsmallsignificance"merelybecausethedealers,notbeingdeadmatter,butvoluntaryagents,mayresistforatimetheforcetowhichtheyatlastsuccumb。Limitationssuchastheseaffectalleconomicallaws,butareneverconsideredtodestroytheirvalue。Aswellmightitbecalledaninsignificanttruththatthereisamarketpriceofacommodity,becauseacustomerwhoisignorant,orinahurry,maypaytwiceasmuchforthethingashecouldgetitforatanothershopafewdoorsfartheroff。