NOTES:
1。Montesquieu,EspritdesLois,liv。xxii,ch。8。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter8
OftheValueofMoney,asDependentonDemandandSupply
1。Itisunfortunatethatintheveryoutsetofthesubject
wehavetoclearfromourpathaformidableambiguityof
language。TheValueofMoneyistoappearanceanexpressionas
precise,asfreefrompossibilityofmisunderstanding,asanyin
science。Thevalueofathing,iswhatitwillexchangefor:the
valueofmoney,iswhatmoneywillexchangefor;thepurchasing
powerofmoney。Ifpricesarelow,moneywillbuymuchofother
things,andisofhighvalue;ifpricesarehigh,itwillbuy
littleofotherthings,andisoflowvalue。Thevalueofmoney
isinverselyasgeneralprices:fallingastheyrise,andrising
astheyfall。
Butunhappilythesamephraseisalsoemployed,inthe
currentlanguageofcommerce,inaverydifferentsense。Money,
whichissocommonlyunderstoodasthesynonymeofwealth,is
moreespeciallytheterminusetodenoteitwhenitisthe
subjectofborrowing。Whenonepersonlendstoanother,aswell
aswhenhepayswagesorrenttoanother,whathetransfersis
notthemeremoney,butarighttoacertainvalueoftheproduce
ofthecountry,tobeselectedatpleasure;thelenderhaving
firstboughtthisright,bygivingforitaportionofhis
capital。Whathereallylendsissomuchcapital;themoneyis
themereinstrumentoftransfer。Butthecapitalusuallypasses
fromthelendertothereceiverthroughthemeanseitherof
money,orofanordertoreceivemoney,andatanyrateitisin
moneythatthecapitaliscomputedandestimated。Hence,
borrowingcapitalisuniversallycalledborrowingmoney;theloan
marketiscalledthemoneymarket:thosewhohavetheircapital
disposableforinvestmentonloanarecalledthemoniedclass:
andtheequivalentgivenfortheuseofcapital,orinother
words,interest,isnotonlycalledtheinterestofmoney,but,
byagrosserperversionofterms,thevalueofmoney。This
misapplicationoflanguage,assistedbysomefallacious
appearanceswhichweshallnoticeandclearuphereafter,(1*)has
createdageneralnotionamongpersonsinbusiness,thatthe
ValueofMoney,meaningtherateofinterest,hasanintimate
connexionwiththeValueofMoneyinitspropersense,thevalue
orpurchasingpowerofthecirculatingmedium。Weshallreturnto
thissubjectbeforelong:atpresentitisenoughtosay,thatby
ValueIshallalwaysmeanExchangeValue,andbymoneythemedium
ofexchange,notthecapitalwhichispassedfromhandtohand
throughthatmedium。
2。Thevalueorpurchasingpowerofmoneydepends,inthe
firstinstance,ondemandandsupply。Butdemandandsupply,in
relationtomoney,presentthemselvesinasomewhatdifferent
shapefromthedemandandsupplyofotherthings。
Thesupplyofacommoditymeansthequantityofferedfor
sale。Butitisnotusualtospeakofofferingmoneyforsale。
Peoplearenotusuallysaidtobuyorsellmoney。This,however,
ismerelyanaccidentoflanguage。Inpointoffact,moneyis
boughtandsoldlikeotherthings,wheneverotherthingsare
boughtandsoldformoney。Whoeversellscorn,ortallow,or
cotton,buysmoney。Whoeverbuysbread,orwine,orclothes,
sellsmoneytothedealerinthosearticles。Themoneywithwhich
peopleareofferingtobuy,ismoneyofferedforsale。Thesupply
ofmoney,then,isthequantityofitwhichpeoplearewantingto
layout;thatis,allthemoneytheyhaveintheirpossession,
exceptwhattheyarehoarding,oratleastkeepingbythemasa
reserveforfuturecontingencies。Thesupplyofmoney,inshort,
isallthemoneyincirculationatthetime。
Thedemandformoney,again,consistsofallthegoods
offeredforsale。Everysellerofgoodsisabuyerofmoney,and
thegoodshebringswithhimconstitutehisdemand。Thedemand
formoneydiffersfromthedemandforotherthingsinthis,that
itislimitedonlybythemeansofthepurchaser。Thedemandfor
otherthingsisforsomuchandnomore;butthereisalwaysa
demandforasmuchmoneyascanbegot。Personsmayindeedrefuse
tosell,andwithdrawtheirgoodsfromthemarket,iftheycannot
getforthemwhattheyconsiderasufficientprice。Butthisis
onlywhentheythinkthatthepricewillrise,andthatthey
shallgetmoremoneybywaiting。Iftheythoughtthelowprice
likelytobepermanent,theywouldtakewhattheycouldget。It
isalwaysasinequanonwithadealertodisposeofhisgoods。
Asthewholeofthegoodsinthemarketcomposethedemand
formoney,sothewholeofthemoneyconstitutesthedemandfor
goods。Themoneyandthegoodsareseekingeachotherforthe
purposeofbeingexchanged。Theyarereciprocallysupplyand
demandtooneanother。Itisindifferentwhether,in
characterizingthephenomena,wespeakofthedemandandsupply
ofgoods,orthesupplyandthedemandofmoney。Theyare
equivalentexpressions。
Weshallproceedtoillustratethispropositionmorefully。
Andindoingthis,thereaderwillremarkagreatdifference
betweentheclassofquestionswhichnowoccupyus,andthose
whichwepreviouslyhadunderdiscussionrespectingValues。In
consideringValue,wewereonlyconcernedwithcauseswhichacted
uponparticularcommoditiesapartfromtherest。Causeswhich
affectallcommoditiesalike,donotactuponvalues。Butin
consideringtherelationbetweengoodsandmoney,itiswiththe
causesthatoperateuponallgoodswhatever,thatweare
speciallyconcerned。Wearecomparinggoodsofallsortsonone
side,withmoneyontheotherside,asthingstobeexchanged
againsteachother。
Suppose,everythingelsebeingthesame,thatthereisan
increaseinthequantityofmoney,saybythearrivalofa
foreignerinaplace,withatreasureofgoldandsilver。Whenhe
commencesexpendingit(forthisquestionitmattersnotwhether
productivelyorunproductively),headdstothesupplyofmoney,
andbythesameact,tothedemandforgoods。Doubtlessheadds,
inthefirstinstance,tothedemandonlyforcertainkindsof
goods,namely,thosewhichheselectsforpurchase;hewill
immediatelyraisethepriceofthose,andsofarasheis
individuallyconcerned,ofthoseonly。Ifhespendshisfundsin
givingentertainments,hewillraisethepricesoffoodandwine。
Ifheexpendstheminestablishingamanufactory,hewillraise
thepricesoflabourandmaterials。Butatthehigherprices,
moremoneywillpassintothehandsofthesellersofthese
differentarticles;andthey,whetherlabourersordealers,
havingmoremoneytolayout,willcreateanincreaseddemandfor
allthethingswhichtheyareaccustomedtopurchase:these
accordinglywillriseinprice,andsoonuntiltherisehas
reachedeverything。Isayeverything,thoughitisofcourse
possiblethattheinfluxofmoneymighttakeplacethroughthe
mediumofsomenewclassofconsumers,orinsuchamannerasto
altertheproportionsofdifferentclassesofconsumerstoone
another,sothatagreatershareofthenationalincomethan
beforewouldthenceforthbeexpendedinsomearticles,anda
smallerinothers;exactlyasifachangehadtakenplaceinthe
tastesandwantsofthecommunity。Ifthiswerethecase,then
untilproductionhadaccommodateditselftothischangeinthe
comparativedemandfordifferentthings,therewouldbeareal
alterationinvalues,andsomethingswouldriseinpricemore
thanothers,whilesomeperhapswouldnotriseatall。These
effects,however,wouldevidentlyproceed,notfromthemere
increaseofmoney,butfromaccessorycircumstancesattendingit。
Wearenowonlycalledupontoconsiderwhatwouldbetheeffect
ofanincreaseofmoney,consideredbyitself。Supposingthe
moneyinthehandsofindividualstobeincreased,thewantsand
inclinationsofthecommunitycollectivelyinrespectto
consumptionremainingexactlythesame;theincreaseofdemand
wouldreachallthingsequally,andtherewouldbeanuniversal
riseofprices。Wemightsuppose,withHume,thatsomemorning,
everypersoninthenationshouldwakeandfindagoldcoinin
hispocket:thisexample,however,wouldinvolveanalterationof
theproportionsinthedemandfordifferentcommodities;the
luxuriesofthepoorwould,inthefirstinstanceberaisedin
price,inamuchgreaterdegreethanotherthings。Letusrather
suppose,therefore,thattoeverypound,orshilling,orpenny,
inthepossessionofanyone,anotherpound,shilling,orpenny,
weresuddenlyadded。Therewouldbeanincreasedmoneydemand,
andconsequentlyanincreasedmoneyvalue,orprice,forthings
ofallsorts。Thisincreasedvaluewoulddonogoodtoanyone;
wouldmakenodifference,exceptthatofhavingtoreckonpounds,
shillings,andpence,inhighernumbers。Itwouldbeanincrease
ofvaluesonlyasestimatedinmoney,athingonlywantedtobuy
otherthingswith;andwouldnotenableanyonetobuymoreof
themthanbefore。Priceswouldhaveriseninacertainratio,and
thevalueofmoneywouldhavefalleninthesameratio。
Itistoberemarkedthatthisratiowouldbepreciselythat
inwhichthequantityofmoneyhadbeenincreased。Ifthewhole
moneyincirculationwasdoubled,priceswouldbedoubled。Ifit
wasonlyincreasedone—fourth,priceswouldriseone—fourth。
Therewouldbeone—fourthmoremoney,allofwhichwouldbeused
topurchasegoodsofsomedescription。Whentherehadbeentime
fortheincreasedsupplyofmoneytoreachallmarkets,or
(accordingtotheconventionalmetaphor)topermeateallthe
channelsofcirculation,allpriceswouldhaverisenone—fourth。
Butthegeneralriseofpriceisindependentofthisdiffusing
andequalizingprocess。Evenifsomepriceswereraisedmore,and
othersless,theaveragerisewouldbeone—fourth。Thisisa
necessaryconsequenceofthefact,thatafourthmoremoneywould
havebeengivenforonlythesamequantityofgoods。General
prices,therefore,wouldinanycasebeafourthhigher。
Theverysameeffectwouldbeproducedonpricesifwe
supposethegoodsdiminished,insteadofthemoneyincreased:and
thecontraryeffectifthegoodswereincreasedorthemoney
diminished。Iftherewerelessmoneyinthehandsofthe
community,andthesameamountofgoodstobesold,lessmoney
altogetherwouldbegivenforthem,andtheywouldbesoldat
lowerprices;lower,too,inthepreciseratioinwhichthemoney
wasdiminished。Sothatthevalueofmoney,otherthingsbeing
thesame,variesinverselyasitsquantity;everyincreaseof
quantityloweringthevalue,andeverydiminutionraisingit,in
aratioexactlyequivalent。
This,itmustbeobserved,isapropertypeculiartomoney。
Wedidnotfindittobetrueofcommoditiesgenerally,that
everydiminutionofsupplyraisedthevalueexactlyinproportion
tothedeficiency,orthateveryincreaselowereditinthe
preciseratiooftheexcess。Somethingsareusuallyaffectedin
agreaterratiothanthatoftheexcessordeficiency,others
usuallyinaless:because,inordinarycasesofdemand,the
desire,beingforthethingitself,maybestrongerorweaker:
andtheamountofwhatpeoplearewillingtoexpendonit,being
inanycasealimitedquantity,maybeaffectedinveryunequal
degreesbydifficultyorfacilityofattainment。Butinthecase
ofmoney,whichisdesiredasthemeansofuniversalpurchase,
thedemandconsistsofeverythingwhichpeoplehavetosell;and
theonlylimittowhattheyarewillingtogive,isthelimitset
bytheirhavingnothingmoretooffer。Thewholeofthegoods
beinginanycaseexchangedforthewholeofthemoneywhich
comesintothemarkettobelaidout,theywillsellforlessor
moreofit,exactlyaccordingaslessormoreisbrought。
3。Fromwhatprecedes,itmightforamomentbesupposed,
thatallthegoodsonsaleinacountryatanyonetime,are
exchangedforallthemoneyexistingandincirculationatthat
sametime:orinotherwords,thatthereisalwaysincirculation
inacountry,aquantityofmoneyequalinvaluetothewholeof
thegoodsthenandthereonsale。Butthiswouldbeacomplete
misapprehension。Themoneylaidoutisequalinvaluetothe
goodsitpurchases;butthequantityofmoneylaidoutisnotthe
samethingwiththequantityincirculation。Asthemoneypasses
fromhandtohand,thesamepieceofmoneyislaidoutmany
times,beforeallthethingsonsaleatonetimearepurchased
andfinallyremovedfromthemarket:andeachpoundordollar
mustbecountedforasmanypoundsordollars,asthenumberof
timesitchangeshandsinordertoeffectthisobject。The
greaterpartofthegoodsmustalsobecountedmorethanonce,
notonlybecausemostthingspassthroughthehandsofseveral
setsofmanufacturersanddealersbeforetheyassumetheformin
whichtheyarefinallyconsumed,butbecauseintimesof
speculation(andalltimesareso,moreorless)thesamegoods
areoftenboughtrepeatedly,toberesoldforaprofit,before
theyareboughtforthepurposeofconsumptionatall。
Ifweassumethequantityofgoodsonsale,andthenumberof
timesthosegoodsareresold,tobefixedquantities,thevalue
ofmoneywilldependuponitsquantity,togetherwiththeaverage
numberoftimesthateachpiecechangeshandsintheprocess。The
wholeofthegoodssold(countingeachresaleofthesamegoods
assomuchaddedtothegoods)havebeenexchangedforthewhole
ofthemoney,multipliedbythenumberofpurchasesmadeonthe
averagebyeachpiece。Consequently,theamountofgoodsandof
transactionsbeingthesame,thevalueofmoneyisinverselyas
itsquantitymultipliedbywhatiscalledtherapidityof
circulation。Andthequantityofmoneyincirculation,isequal
tothemoneyvalueofallthegoodssold,dividedbythenumber
whichexpressestherapidityofcirculation。
Thephrase,rapidityofcirculation,requiressomecomment。
Itmustnotbeunderstoodtomean,thenumberofpurchasesmade
byeachpieceofmoneyinagiventime。Timeisnotthethingto
beconsidered。Thestateofsocietymayhesuch,thateachpiece
ofmoneyhardlyperformsmorethanonepurchaseinayear;butif
thisarisesfromthesmallnumberoftransactions—fromthesmall
amountofbusinessdone,thewantofactivityintraffic,or
becausewhattrafficthereis,mostlytakesplacebybarter——it
constitutesnoreasonwhypricesshouldbelower,orthevalueof
moneyhigher。Theessentialpointis,nothowoftenthesame
moneychangeshandsinagiventime,buthowoftenitchanges
handsinordertoperformagivenamountoftraffic。Wemust
comparethenumberofpurchasesmadebythemoneyinagiven
time,notwiththetimeitself,butwiththegoodssoldinthat
sametime。Ifeachpieceofmoneychangeshandsonanaverageten
timeswhilegoodsaresoldtothevalueofamillionsterling,it
isevidentthatthemoneyrequiredtocirculatethosegoodsis
100,000l。Andconversely,ifthemoneyincirculationis
100,000l。,andeachpiecechangeshandsbythepurchaseofgoods
tentimesinamonth,thesalesofgoodsformoneywhichtake
placeeverymonthmustamountontheaverageto1,000,000l。
Rapidityofcirculationbeingaphrasesoilladaptedto
expresstheonlythingwhichitisofanyimportancetoexpress
byit,andhavingatendencytoconfusethesubjectbysuggesting
ameaningextremelydifferentfromtheoneintended,itwouldbe
agoodthingifthephrasecouldbegotridof,andanother
substituted,moredirectlysignificantoftheideameanttobe
conveyed。Somesuchexpressionas"theefficiencyofmoney,"
thoughnotunexceptionable,woulddobetter;asitwouldpoint
attentiontothequantityofworkdone,withoutsuggestingthe
ideaofestimatingitbytime。Untilanappropriatetermcanbe
devised,wemustbecontentwhenambiguityistobeapprehended,
toexpresstheideabythecircumlocutionwhichaloneconveysit
adequately,namely,theaveragenumberofpurchasesmadebyeach
pieceinordertoeffectagivenpecuniaryamountof
transactions。
4。Thepropositionwhichwehavelaiddownrespectingthe
dependenceofgeneralpricesuponthequantityofmoneyin
circulation,mustbeunderstoodasapplyingonlytoastateof
thingsinwhichmoney,thatis,goldorsilver,istheexclusive
instrumentofexchange,andactuallypassesfromhandtohandat
everypurchase,creditinanyofitsshapesbeingunknown。When
creditcomesintoplayasameansofpurchasing,distinctfrom
moneyinhand,weshallhereafterfindthattheconnexionbetween
pricesandtheamountofthecirculatingmediumismuchless
directandintimate,andthatsuchconnexionasdoesexist,no
longeradmitsofsosimpleamodeofexpression。Butonasubject
sofullofcomplexityasthatofcurrencyandprices,itis
necessarytolaythefoundationofourtheoryinathorough
understandingofthemostsimplecases,whichweshallalways
findlyingasagroundworkorsubstratumunderthosewhicharise
inpractice。Thatanincreaseofthequantityofmoneyraises
prices,andadiminutionlowersthem,isthemostelementary
propositioninthetheoryofcurrency,andwithoutitweshould
havenokeytoanyoftheothers。Inanystateofthings,
however,exceptthesimpleandprimitiveonewhichwehave
supposed,thepropositionisonlytrueotherthingsbeingthe
same:andwhatthoseotherthingsare,whichmustbethesame,we
arenotyetreadytopronounce。Wecan,however,pointout,even
now,oneortwoofthecautionswithwhichtheprinciplemustbe
guardedinattemptingtomakeuseofitforthepractical
explanationofphenomena;cautionsthemoreindispensable,asthe
doctrine,thoughascientifictruth,hasoflateyearsbeenthe
foundationofagreatermassoffalsetheory,anderroneous
interpretationoffacts,thananyotherpropositionrelatingto
interchange。Fromthetimeoftheresumptionofcashpaymentsby
theActof1819,andespeciallysincethecommercialcrisisof
1825,thefavouriteexplanationofeveryriseorfallofprices
hasbeen"thecurrency;"andlikemostpopulartheories,the
doctrinehasbeenappliedwithlittleregardtotheconditions
necessaryformakingitcorrect。
Forexample,itishabituallyassumedthatwheneverthereis
agreateramountofmoneyinthecountry,orinexistence,arise
ofpricesmustnecessityfollow。Butthisisbynomeansan
inevitableconsequence。Innocommodityisitthequantityin
existence,butthequantityofferedforsale,thatdeterminesthe
value。Whatevermaybethequantityofmoneyinthecountry,only
thatpartofitwillaffectprices,whichgoesintothemarketof
commodities,andisthereactuallyexchangedagainstgoods。
Whateverincreasestheamountofthisportionofthemoneyinthe
country,tendstoraiseprices。Butmoneyhoardeddoesnotacton
prices。Moneykeptinreservebyindividualstomeet
contingencieswhichdonotoccur,doesnotactonprices。The
moneyinthecoffersoftheBank,orretainedasareserveby
privatebankers,doesnotactonpricesuntildrawnout,noreven
thenunlessdrawnouttobeexpendedincommodities。
Itfrequentlyhappensthatmoney,toaconsiderableamount,
isbroughtintothecountry,isthereactuallyinvestedas
capital,andagainflowsout,withouthavingeveronceactedupon
themarketsofcommodities,butonlyuponthemarketof
securities,or,asitiscommonlythoughimproperlycalled,the
moneymarket。Letusreturntothecasealreadyputfor
illustration,thatofaforeignerlandinginthecountrywitha
treasure。Wesupposedhimtoemployhistreasureinthepurchase
ofgoodsforhisownuse,orinsettingupamanufactoryand
employinglabourers;andineithercasehewould,caeteris
paribus,raiseprices。Butinsteadofdoingeitherofthese
things,hemightveryprobablyprefertoinvesthisfortuneat
interest;whichweshallsupposehimtodointhemostobvious
way,bybecomingacompetitorforaportionofthestock,
exchequerbills,railwaydebentures,mercantilebills,mortgages,
&c。,whichareatalltimesinthehandsofthepublic。Bydoing
thishewouldraisethepricesofthosedifferentsecurities,or
inotherwordswouldlowertherateofinterest;andsincethis
woulddisturbtherelationpreviouslyexistingbetweentherate
ofinterestoncapitalinthecountryitself,andthatinforeign
countries,itwouldprobablyinducesomeofthosewhohad
floatingcapitalseekingemployment,tosenditabroadfor
foreigninvestmentratherthanbuysecuritiesathomeatthe
advancedprice。Asmuchmoneymightthusgooutashadpreviously
comein,whilethepricesofcommoditieswouldhaveshownno
traceofitstemporarypresence。Thisisacasehighlydeserving
ofattention:anditisafactnowbeginningtoberecognised,
thatthepassageofthepreciousmetalsfromcountrytocountry
isdeterminedmuchmorethanwasformerlysupposed,bythestate
oftheloanmarketindifferentcountries,andmuchlessbythe
stateofprices。
Anotherpointmustbeadvertedto,inordertoavoidserious
errorintheinterpretationofmercantilephenomena。Iftherebe,
atanytime,anincreaseinthenumberofmoneytransactions,a
thingcontinuallyliabletohappenfromdifferencesinthe
activityofspeculation,andeveninthetimeofyear(since
certainkindsofbusinessaretransactedonlyatparticular
seasons);anincreaseofthecurrencywhichisonlyproportional
tothisincreaseoftransactions,andisofnolongerduration,
hasnotendencytoraiseprices。Atthequarterlyperiodswhen
thepublicdividendsarepaidattheBank,asuddenincrease
takesplaceofthemoneyinthehandsofthepublic;anincrease
estimatedatfromafifthtotwo—fifthsofthewholeissuesof
theBankofEngland。Yetthisneverhasanyeffectonprices;and
inaveryfewweeks,thecurrencyhasagainshrunkintoitsusual
dimensions,byamerereductioninthedemandsofthepublic
(aftersocopiousasupplyofreadymoney)foraccommodationfrom
theBankinthewayofdiscountorloan。Inlikemannerthe
currencyoftheagriculturaldistrictsfluctuatesinamountat
differentseasonsoftheyear。ItisalwayslowestinAugust:"it
risesgenerallytowardsChristmas,andobtainsitsgreatest
elevationaboutLady—day,whenthefarmercommonlylaysinhis
stock,andhastopayhisrentandsummertaxes,"andwhenhe
thereforemakeshisprincipalapplicationstocountrybankersfor
loans。"Thosevariationsoccurwiththesameregularityasthe
season,andwithjustaslittledisturbanceofthemarketsasthe
quarterlyfluctuationsofthenotesoftheBankofEngland。As
soonastheextrapaymentshavebeencompleted,thesuperfluous"
currency,whichisestimatedathalfamillion,"ascertainlyand
immediatelyisreabsorbedanddisappears。"(2*)
Ifextracurrencywerenotforthcomingtomaketheseextra
payments,oneofthreethingsmusthappen。Eitherthepayments
mustbemadewithoutmoney,byaresorttosomeofthose
contrivancesbywhichitsuseisdispensedwith;ortheremustbe
anincreaseintherapidityofcirculation,thesamesumofmoney
beingmadetoperformmorepayments;orifneitherofthese
thingstookplace,moneytomaketheextrapaymentsmustbe
withdrawnfromthemarketforcommodities,andprices,
consequently,mustfall。Anincreaseofthecirculatingmedium,
conformableinextentanddurationtothetemporarystressof
business,doesnotraiseprices,butmerelypreventsthisfall。
Thesequelofourinvestigationwillpointoutmanyother
qualificationswithwhichthepropositionmustbereceived,that
thevalueofthecirculatingmediumdependsonthedemandand
supply,andisintheinverseratioofthequantity;
qualificationswhich,underacomplexsystemofcreditlikethat
existinginEngland,renderthepropositionanextremely
incorrectexpressionofthefact。
NOTES:
1。Infra,chap。xxiii。
2。FullartonontheRegulationofCurrencies,2ndedit。,pp。
87—9。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter9
OftheValueofMoney,asDependentonCostofProduction
1。Butmoney,nomorethancommoditiesingeneral,hasits
valuedefinitivelydeterminedbydemandandsupply。Theultimate
regulatorofitsvalueisCostofProduction。
Wearesupposing,ofcourse,thatthingsareleftto
themselves。Governmentshavenotalwaysleftthingsto
themselves。Theyhaveundertakentopreventthequantityofmoney
fromadjustingitselfaccordingtospontaneouslaws,andhave
endeavouredtoregulateitattheirpleasure;generallywitha
viewofkeepingagreaterquantityofmoneyinthecountry,than
wouldotherwisehaveremainedthere。Itwas,untillately,the
policyofallgovernmentstointerdicttheexportationandthe
meltingofmoney;while,byencouragingtheexportationand
impedingtheimportationofotherthings,theyendeavouredto
haveastreamofmoneyconstantlyflowingin。Bythiscoursethey
gratifiedtwoprejudices;theydrew,orthoughtthattheydrew,
moremoneyintothecountry,whichtheybelievedtobetantamount
tomorewealth;andtheygave,orthoughtthattheygave,toall
producersanddealers,highprices,which,thoughnoreal
advantage,peoplearealwaysinclinedtosupposetobeone。
Inthisattempttoregulatethevalueofmoneyartificially
bymeansofthesupply,governmentshaveneversucceededinthe
degree,oreveninthemanner,whichtheyintended。Their
prohibitionsagainstexportingormeltingthecoinhavenever
beeneffectual。Acommodityofsuchsmallbulkinproportionto
itsvalueissoeasilysmuggled,andstillmoreeasilymelted,
thatithasbeenimpossiblebythemoststringentmeasuresto
preventtheseoperations。Alltheriskwhichitwasinthepower
ofgovernmentstoattachtothem,wasoutweighedbyavery
moderateprofit。(1*)Inthemoreindirectmodeofaimingatthe
samepurpose,bythrowingdifficultiesinthewayofmakingthe
returnsforexportedgoodsinanyothercommoditythanmoney,
theyhavenotbeenquitesounsuccessful。Theyhavenot,indeed,
succeededinmakingmoneyflowcontinuouslyintothecountry;but
theyhavetoacertainextentbeenabletokeepitatahigher
thanitsnaturallevel;andhave,thusfar,removedthevalueof
moneyfromexclusivedependenceonthecauseswhichfixthevalue
ofthingsnotartificiallyinterferedwith。
Weare,however,tosupposeastate,notofartificial
regulation,butoffreedom。Inthatstate,andassumingnocharge
tobemadeforcoinage,thevalueofmoneywillconformtothe
valueofthebullionofwhichitismade。Apoundweightofgold
orsilverincoin,andthesameweightinaningot,will
preciselyexchangeforoneanother。Onthesuppositionof
freedom,themetalcannotbeworthmoreinthestateofbullion
thanofcoin;forasitcanbemeltedwithoutanylossoftime,
andwithhardlyanyexpense,thiswouldofcoursebedoneuntil
thequantityincirculationwassomuchdiminishedastoequalize
itsvaluewiththatofthesameweightinbullion。Itmaybe
thoughthoweverthatthecoin,thoughitcannotbeofless,may
be,andbeingamanufacturedarticlewillnaturallybe,of
greatervaluethanthebullioncontainedinit,onthesame
principleonwhichlinenclothisofmorevaluethananequal
weightoflinenyarn。Thiswouldbetrue,wereitnotthat
Government,inthiscountry,andinsomeothers,coinsmoney
gratisforanyonewhofurnishesthemetal。Thelabourand
expenseofcoinage,whennotchargedtothepossessor,donot
raisethevalueofthearticle。IfGovernmentopenedanoffice
where,ondeliveryofagivenweightofyarn,itreturnedthe
sameweightofclothtoanyonewhoaskedforit,clothwouldbe
worthnomoreinthemarketthantheyarnitcontained。Assoon
ascoinisworthafractionmorethanthevalueofthebullion,
itbecomestheinterestoftheholdersofbulliontosenditto
becoined。IfGovernment,however,throwstheexpenseofcoinage,
asisreasonable,upontheholder,bymakingachargetocover
theexpense(whichisdonebygivingbackratherlessincoin
thanhasbeenreceivedinbullion,andiscalledlevyinga
seignorage),thecoinwillrise,totheextentoftheseignorage,
abovethevalueofthebullion。IftheMintkeptbackoneper
cent,topaytheexpenseofcoinage,itwouldbeagainstthe
interestoftheholdersofbulliontohaveitcoined,untilthe
coinwasmorevaluablethanthebullionbyatleastthat
fraction。Thecoin,therefore,wouldbekeptonepercenthigher
invalue,whichcouldonlybebykeepingitonepercentlessin
quantity,thanifitscoinageweregratuitous。
TheGovernmentmightattempttoobtainaprofitbythe
transaction,andmightlayonaseignoragecalculatedforthat
purpose;butwhatevertheytookforcoinagebeyonditsexpenses,
wouldbesomuchprofitonprivatecoining。Coining,thoughnot
soeasyanoperationasmelting,isfarfromadifficultone,
and,whenthecoinproducedisoffullweightandstandard
fineness,isverydifficulttodetect。If,therefore,aprofit
couldbemadebycoininggoodmoney,itwouldcertainlybedone:
andtheattempttomakeseignorageasourceofrevenuewouldbe
defeated。Anyattempttokeepthevalueofthecoinatan
artificialelevation,notbyaseignorage,butbyrefusingto
coin,wouldbefrustratedinthesamemanner。(2*)
2。Thevalueofmoney,then,conforms,permanently,and,ina
stateoffreedom,almostimmediately,tothevalueofthemetal
ofwhichitismade;withtheaddition,ornot,oftheexpenses
ofcoinage,accordingasthoseexpensesarebornebythe
individualorbythestate。Thissimplifiesextremelythe
questionwhichwehaveheretoconsider:sincegoldandsilver
bullionarecommoditieslikeanyothers,andtheirvaluedepends,
likethatofotherthings,ontheircostofproduction。
Tothemajorityofcivilizedcountries,goldandsilverare
foreignproducts:andthecircumstanceswhichgovernthevalues
offoreignproducts,presentsomequestionswhichwearenotyet
readytoexamine。Forthepresent,therefore,wemustsupposethe
countrywhichisthesubjectofourinquiries,tobesupplied
withgoldandsilverbyitsownmines,reservingforfuture
considerationhowfarourconclusionsrequiremodificationto
adaptthemtothemoreusualcase。
Ofthethreeclassesintowhichcommoditiesaredivided——
thoseabsolutelylimitedinsupply,thosewhichmaybehadin
unlimitedquantityatagivencostofproduction,andthosewhich
maybehadinunlimitedquantity,butatanincreasingcostof
production——thepreciousmetals,beingtheproduceofmines,
belongtothethirdclass。Theirnaturalvalue,therefore,isin
thelongrunproportionaltotheircostofproductioninthemost
unfavourableexistingcircumstances,thatis,attheworstmine
whichitisnecessarytoworkinordertoobtaintherequired
supply。Apoundweightofgoldwill,inthegold—producing
countries,ultimatelytendtoexchangeforasmuchofeveryother
commodity,asisproducedatacostequaltoitsown;meaningby
itsowncostthecostinlabourandexpense,attheleast
productivesourcesofsupplywhichthethenexistingdemandmakes
itnecessarytowork。Theaveragevalueofgoldismadeto
conformtoitsnaturalvalue,inthesamemannerasthevaluesof
otherthingsaremadetoconformtotheirnaturalvalue。Suppose
thatitweresellingaboveitsnaturalvalue;thatis,abovethe
valuewhichisanequivalentforthelabourandexpenseof
mining,andfortherisksattendingabranchofindustryinwhich
nineoutoftenexperimentshaveusuallybeenfailures。Apartof
themassoffloatingcapitalwhichisonthelookoutfor
investment,wouldtakethedirectionofminingenterprise;the
supplywouldthusbeincreased,andthevaluewouldfall。If,on
thecontrary,itweresellingbelowitsnaturalvalue,miners
wouldnotbeobtainingtheordinaryprofit;theywouldslacken
theirworks;ifthedepreciationwasgreat,someoftheinferior
mineswouldperhapsstopworkingaltogether:andafallingoffin
theannualsupply,preventingtheannualwearandtearfrombeing
completelycompensated,wouldbydegreesreducethequantity,and
restorethevalue。
Whenexaminedmoreclosely,thefollowingarethedetailsof
theprocess。Ifgoldisaboveitsnaturalorcostvalue——the
coin,aswehaveseen,conforminginitsvaluetothe
bullion—moneywillbeofhighvalue,andthepricesofall
things,labourincluded,willbelow。Theselowpriceswilllower
theexpensesofallproducers;butastheirreturnswillalsobe
lowered,noadvantagewillbeobtainedbyanyproducer,except
theproducerofgold:whosereturnsfromhismine,notdepending
onprice,willbethesameasbefore,andhisexpensesbeing
less,hewillobtainextraprofits,andwillbestimulatedto
increasehisproduction。Econversoifthemetalisbelowits
naturalvalue:sincethisisasmuchastosaythatpricesare
high,andthemoneyexpensesofallproducersunusuallygreat:
forthis,however,allotherproducerswillbecompensatedby
increasedmoneyreturns:themineralonewillextractfromhis
minenomoremetalthanbefore,whilehisexpenseswillbe
greater:hisprofitsthereforebeingdiminishedorannihilated,
hewilldiminishhisproduction,ifnotabandonhisemployment。
Inthismanneritisthatthevalueofmoneyismadeto
conformtothecostofproductionofthemetalofwhichitis
made。Itmaybewell,however,torepeat(whathasbeensaid
before)thattheadjustmenttakesalongtimetoeffect,inthe
caseofacommoditysogenerallydesiredandatthesametimeso
durableasthepreciousmetals。Beingsolargelyusednotonlyas
moneybutforplateandornament,thereisatalltimesavery
largequantityofthesemetalsinexistence:whiletheyareso
slowlywornout,thatacomparativelysmallannualproductionis
sufficienttokeepupthesupply,andtomakeanyadditiontoit
whichmayberequiredbytheincreaseofgoodstobecirculated,
orbytheincreaseddemandforgoldandsilverarticlesby
wealthyconsumers。Evenifthissmallannualsupplywerestopt
entirely,itwouldrequiremanyyearstoreducethequantityso
muchastomakeanyverymaterialdifferenceinprices。The
quantitymaybeincreased,muchmorerapidlythanitcanbe
diminished;buttheincreasemustbeverygreatbeforeitcan
makeitselfmuchfeltoversuchamassofthepreciousmetalsas
existsinthewholecommercialworld。Andhencetheeffectsof
allchangesintheconditionsofproductionoftheprecious
metalsareatfirst,andcontinuetobeformanyyears,questions
ofquantityonly,withlittlereferencetocostofproduction。
Moreespeciallyisthisthecasewhen,asatthepresenttime,
manynewsourcesofsupplyhavebeensimultaneouslyopened,most
ofthempracticablebylabouralone,withoutanycapitalin
advancebeyondapickaxeandaweek’sfood;andwhenthe
operationsareasyetwhollyexperimental,thecomparative
permanentproductivenessofthedifferentsourcesbeingentirely
unascertained。
3。Since,however,thevalueofmoneyreallyconforms,like
thatofotherthings,thoughmoreslowly,toitscostof
production,somepoliticaleconomistshaveobjectedaltogetherto
thestatementthatthevalueofmoneydependsonitsquantity
combinedwiththerapidityofcirculation;which,theythink,is
assuringalawformoneythatdoesnotexistforanyother
commodity,whenthetruthisthatitisgovernedbytheverysame
laws。Tothiswemayanswer,inthefirstplace,thatthe
statementinquestionassumesnopeculiarlaw。Itissimplythe
lawofdemandandsupply,whichisacknowledgedtobeapplicable
toallcommodities,andwhich,inthecaseofmoneyasofmost
otherthings,iscontrolled,butnotsetaside,bythelawof
costofproduction,sincecostofproductionwouldhavenoeffect
onvalueifitcouldhavenoneonsupply。But,secondly,there
reallyis,inonerespect,acloserconnexionbetweenthevalue
ofmoneyanditsquantity,thanbetweenthevaluesofother
thingsandtheirquantity。Thevalueofotherthingsconformsto
thechangesinthecostofproduction,withoutrequiring,asa
condition,thatthereshouldbeanyactualalterationofthe
supply:thepotentialalterationissufficient;andifthereeven
beanactualalteration,itisbutatemporaryone,exceptinso
farasthealteredvaluemaymakeadifferenceinthedemand,and
sorequireanincreaseordiminutionofsupply,asaconsequence,
notacause,ofthealterationinvalue。Nowthisisalsotrueof
goldandsilver,consideredasarticlesofexpenditurefor
ornamentandluxury;butitisnottrueofmoney。Ifthe
permanentcostofproductionofgoldwerereducedone—fourth,it
mighthappenthattherewouldnotbemoreofitboughtforplate,
gilding,orjewellery,thanbefore;andifso,thoughthevalue
wouldfall,thequantityextractedfromtheminesforthese
purposeswouldbenogreaterthanpreviously。Notsowiththe
portionusedasmoney;thatportioncouldnotfallinvalue
one—fourth,unlessactuallyincreasedone—fourth;for,atprices
one—fourthhigher,one—fourthmoremoneywouldberequiredto
maketheaccustomedpurchases;andifthiswerenotforthcoming,
someofthecommoditieswouldbewithoutpurchasers,andprices
couldnotbekeptup。Alterations,therefore,inthecostof
productionofthepreciousmetals,donotactuponthevalueof
moneyexceptjustinproportionastheyincreaseordiminishits
quantity;whichcannotbesaidofanyothercommodity。Itwould
therefore,Iconceive,beanerrorbothscientificallyand
practically,todiscardthepropositionwhichassertsaconnexion
betweenthevalueofmoneyanditsquantity。
Itisevident,however,thatthecostofproduction,inthe
longrun,regulatesthequantity;andthateverycountry
(temporaryfluctuationsexcepted)willpossess,andhavein
circulation,justthatquantityofmoney,whichwillperformall
theexchangesrequiredofit,consistentlywithmaintaininga
valueconformabletoitscostofproduction。Thepricesofthings
will,ontheaverage,besuchthatmoneywillexchangeforits
owncostinallothergoods:and,preciselybecausethequantity
cannotbepreventedfromaffectingthevalue,thequantityitself
will(byasortofself—actingmachinery)bekeptattheamount
consistentwiththatstandardofprices—attheamountnecessary
forperforming,atthoseprices,allthebusinessrequiredofit。
"Thequantitywantedwilldependpartlyonthecostof
producinggold,andpartlyontherapidityofitscirculation。
Therapidityofcirculationbeinggiven,itwoulddependonthe
costofproduction:andthecostofproductionbeinggiven,the
quantityofmoneywoulddependontherapidityofits
circulation。"(3*)Afterwhathasbeenalreadysaid,Ihopethat
neitherofthesepropositionsstandsinneedofanyfurther
illustration。
Money,then,likecommoditiesingeneral,havingavalue
dependenton,andproportionalto,itscostofproduction;the
theoryofmoneyis,bytheadmissionofthisprinciple,striptof
agreatpartofthemysterywhichapparentlysurroundedit。We
mustnotforget,however,thatthisdoctrineonlyappliestothe
placesinwhichthepreciousmetalsareactuallyproduced;and
thatwehaveyettoenquirewhetherthelawofthedependenceof
valueoncostofproductionappliestotheexchangeofthings
producedatdistantplaces。Buthoweverthismaybe,our
propositionswithrespecttovaluewillrequirenoother
alteration,wheremoneyisanimportedcommodity,thanthatof
substitutingforthecostofitsproduction,thecostof
obtainingitinthecountry。Everyforeigncommodityisboughtby
givingforitsomedomesticproduction;andthelabourand
capitalwhichaforeigncommoditycoststous,isthelabourand
capitalexpendedinproducingthequantityofourowngoodswhich
wegiveinexchangeforit。Whatthisquantitydependsupon,——
whatdeterminestheproportionsofinterchangebetweenthe
productionsofonecountryandthoseofanother,——isindeeda
questionofsomewhatgreatercomplexitythanthosewehave
hithertoconsidered。Butthisatleastisindisputable,that
withinthecountryitselfthevalueofimportedcommoditiesis
determinedbythevalue,andconsequentlybythecostof
production,oftheequivalentgivenforthem;andmoney,whereit
isanimportedcommodity,issubjecttothesamelaw。
NOTES:
1。Theeffectoftheprohibitioncannot,however,havebeenso
entirelyinsignificantasithasbeensupposedtobebywriters
onthesubject。ThefactsadducedbyMrFullerton,inthenoteto
page7ofhisworkontheRegulationofCurrencies,showthatit
requiredagreaterpercentageofdifferenceinvaluebetweencoin
andbullionthathascommonlybeenimagined,tobringthecointo
themeltingpot。
2。InEngland,thoughthereisnoseignorageongoldcoin,(the
Mintreturningincointhesameweightofpuremetalwhichit
receivesinbullion)thereisadelayofafewweeksafterthe
bullionisdeposited,beforethecoincanbeobtained,
occasioningalossofinterest,which,totheholder,is
equivalenttoatriflingseignorage。Fromthiscause,thevalue
ofcoinisingeneralslightlyabovethatofthebullionit
contains。Anounceofgold,accordingtothequantityofmetalin
asovereign,shouldbeworth3l。17s。101/2d。;butitwas
usuallyquotedat3l。17s。6d。,untiltheBankCharterActof
1844madeitimperativeontheBanktogiveitsnotesforall
bullionofferedtoitattherateof3l。17s。9d。
3。Fromsomeprinted,butnotpublished,LecturesofMrSenior:
inwhichthegreatdifferencesinthebusinessdonebymoney,as
wellasintherapidityofitscirculation,indifferentstates
ofsocietyandcivilization,areinterestinglyillustrated。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter10
OfaDoubleStandard,andSubsidiaryCoins
1。Thoughthequalitiesnecessarytofitanycommodityfor
beingusedasmoneyarerarelyunitedinanyconsiderable
perfection,therearetwocommoditieswhichpossesstheminan
eminent,andnearlyanequaldegree;thetwopreciousmetals,as
theyarecalled;goldandsilver。Somenationshaveaccordingly
attemptedtocomposetheircirculatingmediumofthesetwometals
indiscriminately。Thereisanobviousconvenienceinmakinguse
ofthemorecostlymetalforlargerpayments,andthecheaperone
forsmaller;andtheonlyquestionrelatestothemodeinwhich
thiscanbestbedone。Themodemostfrequentlyadoptedhasbeen
toestablishbetweenthetwometalsafixedproportion;to
decide,forexample,thatagoldcoincalledasovereignshould
beequivalenttotwentyofthesilvercoinscalledshillings:
boththeoneandtheotherbeingcalled,intheordinarymoneyof
accountofthecountry,bythesamedenomination,apound:andit
beingleftfreetoeveryonewhohasapoundtopay,eitherto
payitintheonemetalorintheother。
Atthetimewhenthevaluationofthetwometalsrelatively
toeachother,saytwentyshillingstothesovereign,or
twenty—oneshillingstotheguinea,wasfirstmade,the
proportionprobablycorresponded,asnearlyasitcouldbemade
todo,withtheordinaryrelativevaluesofthetwometals
groundedontheircostofproduction:andifthosenaturalor
costvaluesalwayscontinuedtobearthesameratiotoone
another,thearrangementwouldbeunobjectionable。This,however,
isfarfrombeingthefact。Goldandsilver,thoughtheleast
variableinvalueofallcommodities,arenotinvariable,anddo
notalwaysvarysimultaneously。Silver,forexample,waslowered
inpermanentvaluemorethangold,bythediscoveryofthe
Americanmines;andthosesmal1variationsofvaluewhichtake
placeoccasionally,donotaffectbothmetalsalike。Supposesuch
avariationtotakeplace:thevalueofthetwometalsrelatively
tooneanothernolongeragreeingwiththeirratedproportion,
oneorotherofthemwillnowberatedbelowitsbullionvalue,
andtherewillbeaprofittobemadebymeltingit。
Suppose,forexample,thatgoldrisesinvaluerelativelyto
silver,sothatthequantityofgoldinasovereignisnowworth
morethanthequantityofsilverintwentyshillings。Two
consequenceswillensue。Nodebtorwillanylongerfindithis
interesttopayingold。Hewillalwayspayinsilver,because
twentyshillingsarealegaltenderforadebtofonepound,and
hecanprocuresilverconvertibleintotwentyshillingsforless
goldthanthatcontainedinasovereign。Theotherconsequence
willbe,thatunlessasovereigncanbesoldformorethantwenty
shillings,allthesovereignswillbemelted,sinceasbullion
theywillpurchaseagreaternumberofshillingsthanthey
exchangeforascoin。Theconverseofallthiswouldhappenif
silver,insteadofgold,werethemetalwhichhadrisenin
comparativevalue。Asovereignwouldnotnowbeworthsomuchas
twentyshillings,andwhoeverhadapoundtopaywouldprefer
payingitbyasovereign;whilethesilvercoinswouldbe
collectedforthepurposeofbeingmelted,andsoldasbullion
forgoldattheirrealvalue,thatis,abovethelegalvaluation。
Themoneyofthecommunity,therefore,wouldneverreallyconsist
ofbothmetals,butoftheoneonlywhich,attheparticular
time,bestsuitedtheinterestofdebtors;andthestandardof
thecurrencywouldbeconstantlyliabletochangefromtheone
metaltotheother,ataloss,oneachchange,oftheexpenseof
coinageonthemetalwhichfelloutofuse。
Itappears,therefore,thatthevalueofmoneyisliableto
morefrequentfluctuationswhenbothmetalsarealegaltenderat
afixedvaluation,thanwhentheexclusivestandardofthe
currencyiseithergoldorsilver。Insteadofbeingonlyaffected
byvariationsinthecostofproductionofonemetal,itis
subjecttoderangementfromthoseoftwo。Theparticularkindof
variationtowhichacurrencyisrenderedmoreliablebyhaving
twolegalstandards,isafallofvalue,orwhatiscommonly
calledadepreciation;sincepracticallythatoneofthetwo
metalswillalwaysbethestandard,ofwhichtherealhasfallen
belowtheratedvalue。Ifthetendencyofthemetalsbetorise
invalue,allpaymentswillbemadeintheonewhichhasrisen
least;andiftofall,theninthatwhichhasfallenmost。
2。Theplanofadoublestandardisstilloccasionally
broughtforwardbyhereandthereawriterororatorasagreat
improvementincurrency。Itisprobablethat,withmostofits
adherents,itschiefmeritisitstendencytoasortof
depreciation,therebeingatalltimesabundanceofsupporters
foranymode,eitheropenorcovert,ofloweringthestandard。
Some,however,areinfluencedbyanexaggeratedestimateofan
advantagewhichtoacertainextentisreal,thatofbeingable
tohaverecourse,forreplenishingthecirculation,totheunited
stockofgoldandsilverinthecommercialworld,insteadof
beingconfinedtooneofthem,which,fromaccidentalabsorption,
maynotbeobtainablewithsufficientrapidity。Theadvantage
withoutthedisadvantagesofadoublestandard,seemstobebest
obtainedbythosenationswithwhomoneonlyofthetwometalsis
alegaltender,buttheotheralsoiscoined,andallowedtopass
forwhatevervaluethemarketassignstoit。