Astheseprojects,howeveroftenslain,alwaysresuscitate,
  itisnotsuperfluoustoexamineoneortwoofthefallaciesby
  whichtheschemersimposeuponthemselves。Oneofthecommonest
  is,thatapapercurrencycannotbeissuedinexcesssolongaS
  everynoteissuedrepresentsproperty,orhasafoundationof
  actualpropertytoreston。Thesephrases,ofrepresentingand
  resting,seldomconveyanydistinctorwell—definedidea:when
  theydo,theirmeaningisnomorethanthis——thattheissuers
  ofthepapermusthaveproperty,eitheroftheirown,or
  entrustedtothem,tothevalueofallthenotestheyissue:
  thoughforwhatpurposedoesnotveryclearlyappear;forifthe
  propertycannotbeclaimedinexchangeforthenotes,itis
  difficulttodivineinwhatmanneritsmereexistencecanserve
  toupholdtheirvalue。Ipresume,however,itisintendedasa
  guaranteethattheholderswouldbefinallyreimbursed,incase
  anyuntowardeventshouldcausethewholeconcerntobewoundup。
  Onthistheorytherehavebeenmanyschemesfor"coiningthe
  wholelandofthecountryintomoney"andthelike。
  Insofarasthisnotionhasanyconnexionatallwith
  reason,itseemstooriginateinconfoundingtwoentirely
  distinctevils,towhichapapercurrencyisliable。Oneis,the
  insolvencyoftheissuers;which,ifthepaperisgroundedon
  theircredit——ifitmakesanypromiseofpaymentincash,
  eitherondemandoratanyfuturetime——ofcoursedeprivesthe
  paperofanyvaLuewhichitderivesfromthepromise。Tothis
  evilpapercreditisequallyliable,howevermoderatelyused;and
  againstit,aprovisothatallissuesshouldbe"foundedon
  property,"asforinstancethatnotesshouldonlybeissuedon
  thesecurityofsomevaluablethingexpresslypledgedfortheir
  redemption,wouldreallybeefficaciousasaprecaution。Butthe
  theorytakesnoaccountofanotherevil,whichisincidenttothe
  notesofthemostsolventfirm,company,orgovernment;thatof
  beingdepreciatedinvaluefrombeingissuedinexcessive
  quantity。Theassignats,duringtheFrenchRevolutionwerean
  exampleofacurrencygroundedontheseprinciples。Theassignats
  "represented"animmenseamountofhighlyvaluableproperty,
  namelythelandsofthecrown,thechurch,themonasteries,and
  theemigrants;amountingpossiblytohalftheterritoryof
  France。Theywere,infact,ordersorassignmentsonthismassof
  land。Therevolutionarygovernmenthadtheideaof"coining"
  theselandsintomoney;but,todothemjustice,theydidnot
  originallycontemplatetheimmensemultiplicationofissuesto
  whichtheywereeventuallydrivenbythefailureofallother
  financialresources。Theyimaginedthattheassignatswouldcome
  rapidlybacktotheissuersinexchangeforland,andthatthey
  shouldbeabletoreissuethemcontinuallyuntilthelandswere
  alldisposedof,withouthavingatanytimemorethanavery
  moderatequantityincirculation。Theirhopewasfrustrated:the
  landdidnotsellsoquicklyastheyexpected;buyerswerenot
  inclinedtoinvesttheirmoneyinpossessionswhichwerelikely
  toberesumedwithoutcompensationiftheRevolutionsuccumbed:
  thebitsofpaperwhichrepresentedland,becomingprodigiously
  multiplied,couldnomorekeepuptheirvaluethantheland
  itselfwouldhavedoneifithadallbeenbroughttomarketat
  once;andtheresultwasthatitatlastrequiredanassignatof
  sixhundredfrancstopayforapoundofbutter。
  Theexampleoftheassignatshasbeensaidnottobe
  conclusive,becauseanassignatonlyrepresentedlandingeneral,
  butnotadefinitequantityofland。Tohavepreventedtheir
  depreciation,thepropercourse,itisaffirmed,wouldhavebeen
  tohavemadeavaluationofalltheconfiscatedpropertyatits
  metallicvalue,andtohaveissuedassignatsupto,butnot
  beyond,thatlimit;givingtotheholdersarighttodemandany
  pieceofland,atitsregisteredvaluation,inexchangefor
  assignatstothesameamount。Therecanbenoquestionaboutthe
  superiorityofthisplanovertheoneactuallyadopted。Hadthis
  coursebeenfollowed,theassignatscouldneverhavebeen
  depreciatedtotheinordinatedegreetheywere;for——asthey
  wouldhaveretainedalltheirpurchasingpowerinrelationto
  land,howevermuchtheymighthavefalleninrespecttoother
  things——beforetheyhadlostverymuchoftheirmarketvalue,
  theywouldprobablyhavebeenbroughtintobeexchangedfor
  land。Itmustberemembered,however,thattheirnotbeing
  depreciatedwouldpresupposethatnogreaternumberofthem
  continuedincirculationthanwouldhavecirculatediftheyhad
  beenconvertibleintocash。Howeverconvenient,therefore,ina
  timeofrevolution,thiscurrencyconvertibleintolandondemand
  mighthavebeen,asacontrivanceforsellingrapidlyagreat
  quantityoflandwiththeleastpossiblesacrifice;itis
  difficulttoseewhatadvantageitwouldhave,asthepermanent
  systemofacountry,overacurrencyconvertibleintocoin:while
  itisnotatalldifficulttoseewhatwouldbeits
  disadvantages;sincelandisfarmorevariableinvaluethangold
  andsilver;andbesides,land,tomostpersons,beingratheran
  encumbrancethanadesirablepossession,excepttobeconverted
  intomoney,peoplewouldsubmittoamuchgreaterdepreciation
  beforedemandingland,thantheywillbeforedemandinggoldor
  silver。(1*)
  4Anotherofthefallaciesfromwhichtheadvocatesofan
  inconvertiblecurrencyderivesupport,isthenotionthatan
  increaseofthecurrencyquickensindustry。Thisideawasset
  afloatbyHume,inhisEssayonMoney,andhashadmanydevoted
  adherentssince;witnesstheBirminghamcurrencyschool,ofwhom
  Mr。Attwoodwasatonetimethemostconspicuousrepresentative。
  Mr。Attwoodmaintainedthatariseofpricesproducedbyan
  increaseofpapercurrency,stimulateseveryproducertohis
  utmostexertions,andbringsallthecapitalandlabourofthe
  countryintocompleteemployment;andthatthishasinvariably
  happenedinallperiodsofrisingprices,whentherisewasona
  sufficientlygreatscale。Ipresume,however,thattheinducement
  which,accordingtoMrAttwood,excitedthisunusualardourin
  allpersonsengagedinproduction,musthavebeentheexpectation
  ofgettingmorecommoditiesgenerally,morerealwealth,in
  exchangefortheproduceoftheirlabour,andnotmerelymore
  piecesofpaper。Thisexpectation,however,musthavebeen,by
  theverytermsofthesupposition,disappointed,since,all
  pricesbeingsupposedtoriseequally,noonewasreallybetter
  paidforhisgoodsthanbefore。ThosewhoagreewithMr。Attwood
  couldonlysucceedinwinningpeopleontotheseunwonted
  exertions,byaprolongationofwhatwouldinfactbeadelusion;
  contrivingmattersso,thatbyaprogressiveriseofmoney
  prices,everyproducershallalwaysseemtobeintheveryactof
  obtaininganincreasedremunerationwhichhenever,inreality,
  doesobtain。Itisunnecessarytoadverttoanyotherofthe
  objectionstothisplan,thanthatofitstotalimpracticability。
  Itcalculatesonfindingthewholeworldpersistingforeverin
  thebeliefthatmorepiecesofpaperaremoreriches,andnever
  discoveringthat,withalltheirpaper,theycannotbuymoreof
  anythingthattheycouldbefore。Nosuchmistakewasmadeduring
  anyoftheperiodsofhighprices,ontheexperienceofwhich
  thisschoollayssomuchstress。AttheperiodswhichMr。Attwood
  mistookfortimesofprosperity,andwhichweresimply(asall
  periodsofhighprices,underaconvertiblecurrency,mustbe)
  timesofspeculation,thespeculatorsdidnotthinktheywere
  growingrichbecausethehighpriceswouldlast,butbecausethey
  wouldnotlast,andbecausewhoevercontrivedtorealizewhile
  theydidlast,wouldfindhimself,aftertherecoil,in
  possessionofagreaternumberofpoundssterling,withouttheir
  havingbecomeoflessvalue。If,atthecloseofthespeculation,
  anissueofpaperhadbeenmade,sufficienttokeeppricesupto
  thepointwhichtheyattainedwhenatthehighest,noonewould
  havebeenmoredisappointedthanthespeculators;sincethegain
  whichtheythoughttohavereapedbyrealizingintime(atthe
  expenseoftheircompetitors,whoboughtwhentheysold,andhad
  tosellaftertherevulsion)wouldhavefadedawayintheir
  hands,andinsteadofittheywouldhavegotnothingexceptafew
  morepaperticketstocountby。
  Hume’sversionofthedoctrinedifferedinaslightdegree
  fromMr。Attwood’s。Hethoughtthatallcommoditieswouldnot
  riseinpricesimultaneously,andthatsomepersonstherefore
  wouldobtainarealgain,bygettingmoremoneyforwhattheyhad
  tosell,whilethethingswhichtheywishedtobuymightnotyet
  haverisen。Andthosewhowouldreapthisgainwouldalwaysbe
  (heseemstothink)thefirstcomers。Itseemsobvious,however,
  thatforeverypersonwhothusgainsmorethanusual,thereis
  necessarilysomeotherpersonwhogainsless。Theloser,if
  thingstookplaceasHumesupposes,wouldbethesellerofthe
  commoditieswhichareslowesttorise;who,bythesupposition,
  partswithhisgoodsattheoldprices,topurchaserswhohave
  alreadybenefitedbythenew。Thissellerhasobtainedforhis
  commodityonlytheaccustomedquantityofmoney,whilethereare
  alreadysomethingsofwhichthatmoneywillnolongerpurchase
  asmuchasbefore。If,therefore,heknowswhatisgoingon,he
  willraisehisprice,andthenthebuyerwillnothavethegain,
  whichissupposedtostimulatehisindustry。Butif,onthe
  contrary,thesellerdoesnotknowthestateofthecase,and
  onlydiscoversitwhenhefinds,inlayinghismoneyout,thatit
  doesnotgosofar,hethenobtainslessthantheordinary
  remunerationforhislabourandcapital;andiftheother
  dealer’sindustryisencouraged,itshouldseemthathismust,
  fromtheoppositecause,beimpaired。
  5。Thereisnowayinwhichageneralandpermanentriseof
  prices,orinotherwords,depreciationofmoney,canbenefit
  anybody,exceptattheexpenseofsomebodyelse。Thesubstitution
  ofpaperformetalliccurrencyisanationalgain:anyfurther
  increaseofpaperbeyondthisisbutaformofrobbery。
  Anissueofnotesisamanifestgaintotheissuers,who,
  untilthenotesarereturnedforpayment,obtaintheuseofthem
  asiftheywerearealcapital:andsolongasthenotesareno
  permanentadditiontothecurrency,butmerelysupersedegoldor
  silvertothesameamount,thegainoftheissuerisalosstono
  one;itisobtainedbysavingtothecommunitytheexpenseofthe
  morecostlymaterial。Butifthereisnogoldorsilvertobe
  superseded——ifthenotesareaddedtothecurrency,insteadof
  beingsubstitutedforthemetallicpartofit——allholdersof
  currencylose,bythedepreciationofitsvalue,theexact
  equivalentofwhattheissuergains。Ataxisvirtuallyleviedon
  themforhisbenefit。Itwillbeobjectedbysome,thatgainsare
  alsomadebytheproducersanddealerswho,bymeansofthe
  increasedissue,areaccommodatedwithloans。Theirs,however,is
  notanadditionalgain,butaportionofthatwhichisreapedby
  theissuerattheexpenseofallpossessorsofmoney。Theprofits
  arisingfromthecontributionlevieduponthepublic,hedoesnot
  keeptohimself,butdivideswithhiscustomers。Butbesidesthe
  benefitreapedbytheissuers,orbyothersthroughthem,atthe
  expenseofthepublicgenerally,thereisanotherunjustgain
  obtainedbyalargerclass,namelybythosewhoareunderfixed
  pecuniaryobligations。Allsuchpersonsarefreed,bya
  depreciationofthecurrency,fromaportionoftheburthenof
  theirdebtsorotherengagements:inotherwords,partofthe
  propertyoftheircreditorsisgratuitouslytransferredtothem。
  Onasuperficialviewitmaybeimaginedthatthisisan
  advantagetoindustry’。sincetheproductiveclassesaregreat
  borrowers,andgenerallyowelargerdebtstotheunproductive(if
  weincludeamongthelatterallpersonsnotactuallyinbusiness)
  thantheunproductiveclassesowetothem;especiallyifthe
  nationaldebtbeincluded。Itisonlythusthatageneralriseof
  pricescanbeasourceofbenefittoproducersanddealers;by
  diminishingthepressureoftheirfixedburthens。Andthismight
  beaccountedanadvantage,ifintegrityandgoodfaithwereofno
  importancetotheworld,andtoindustryandcommercein
  particular。Notmany,however,havebeenfoundtosaythatthe
  currencyoughttobedepreciatedonthesimplegroundofits
  beingdesirabletorobthenationalcreditorandprivate
  creditorsofapartofwhatisintheirbond。Theschemeswhich
  havetendedthatwayhavealmostalwayshadsomeappearanceof
  specialandcircumstantialjustification,suchasthenecessity
  ofcompensatingforapriorinjusticecommittedinthecontrary
  direction。
  6。ThusinEngland,formanyyearssubsequentto1819,itwas
  pertinaciouslycontended,thatalargeportionofthenational
  debt,andamultitudeofprivatedebtsstillinexistence,were
  contractedbetween1797and1819,whentheBankofEnglandwas
  exemptedfromgivingcashforitsnotes;andthatitisgrossly
  unjusttoborrowers,(thatis,inthecaseofthenationaldebt,
  toalltax—payers)thattheyshouldbepayinginterestonthe
  samenominalsumsinacurrencyoffullvalue,whichwere
  borrowedinadepreciatedone。Thedepreciation,accordingtothe
  viewsandobjectsoftheparticularwriter,wasrepresentedto
  haveaveragedthirty,fifty,orevenmorethanfiftypercent:
  andtheconclusionwas,thateitherweoughttoreturntothis
  depreciatedcurrency,ortostrikeofffromthenationaldebt,
  andfrommortgagesorotherprivatedebtsofoldstanding,a
  percentagecorrespondingtotheestimatedamountofthe
  depreciation。
  Tothisdoctrine,thefollowingwastheanswerusuallymade。
  Grantingthat,byreturningtocashpaymentswithoutloweringthe
  standard,aninjusticewasdonetodebtors,inholdingthem
  liableforthesameamountofacurrencyenhancedinvalue,which
  theyhadborrowedwhileitwasdepreciated;itisnowtoolateto
  makereparationforthisinjury。Thedebtorsandcreditorsof
  to—dayarenotthedebtorsandcreditorsof1819:thelapseof
  yearshasentirelyalteredthepecuniaryrelationsofthe
  community。,anditbeingimpossiblenowtoascertainthe
  particularpersonswhowereeitherbenefitedorinjured,to
  attempttoretraceourstepswouldnotberedressingawrong,but
  superaddingasecondactofwide—spreadinjusticetotheone
  alreadycommitted。Thisargumentiscertainlyconclusiveonthe
  practicalquestion;butitplacesthehonestconclusionontoo
  narrowandtoolowaground。Itconcedesthatthemeasureof
  1819,calledPeel’sBill,bywhichcashpaymentswereresumedat
  theoriginalstandardof3l。17s。101/2d。,wasreallythe
  injusticeitwassaidtobe。Thisisanadmissionwhollyopposed
  tothetruth。Parliamenthadnoalternative;itwasabsolutely
  boundtoadheretotheacknowledgedstandard;asmaybeshownon
  threedistinctgrounds,twooffact,andoneofprinciple。
  Thereasonsoffactarethese。Inthefirstplaceitisnot
  truethatthedebts,privateorpublic,incurredduringtheBank
  restriction,werecontractedinacurrencyoflowervaluethan
  thatinwhichtheinterestisnowpaid。Itisindeedtruethat
  thesuspensionoftheobligationtopayinspecie,didputitin
  thepoweroftheBanktodepreciatethecurrency。Itistruealso
  thattheBankreallyexercisedthatpower,thoughtoafarless
  extentthanisoftenpretended;sincethedifferencebetweenthe
  marketpriceofgoldandtheMintvaluation,duringthegreater
  partoftheinterval,wasverytrifling,andwhenitwas
  greatest,duringthelastfiveyearsofthewar,didnotmuch
  exceedthirtypercent。Totheextentofthatdifference,the
  currencywasdepreciated,thatis,itsvaluewasbelowthatof
  thestandardtowhichitprofessedtoadhere。Butthestateof
  Europeatthattimewassuch——therewassounusualan
  absorptionofthepreciousmetals,byhoarding,andinthe
  militarychestsofthevastarmieswhichthendesolatedthe
  Continent,thatthevalueofthestandarditselfwasvery
  considerablyraised:andthebestauthorities,amongwhomitis
  sufficienttonameMrTooke,have,afteranelaborate
  investigation,satisfiedthemselvesthatthedifferencebetween
  paperandbullionwasnotgreaterthantheenhancementinvalue
  ofgolditself,andthatthepaper,thoughdepreciatedrelatively
  tothethenvalueofgold,didnotsinkbelowtheordinaryvalue,
  atothertimes,eitherofgoldorofaconvertiblepaper。Ifthis
  betrue(andtheevidencesofthefactareconclusivelystatedin
  Mr。Tooke’sHistoryofPrices)thefoundationofthewholecase
  againstthefundholderandothercreditorsonthegroundof
  depreciationissubverted。
  But,secondly,evenifthecurrencyhadreallybeenlowered
  invalueateachperiodoftheBankrestriction,inthesame
  degreeinwhichitwasdepreciatedinrelationtoitsstandard,
  wemustrememberthatapartonlyofthenationaldebt,orof
  otherpermanentengagements,wasincurredduringtheBank
  restriction。Alargeparthadbeencontractedbefore1797;a
  stilllargerduringtheearlyyearsoftherestriction,whenthe
  differencebetweenpaperandgoldwasyetsmall。Totheholders
  oftheformerpart,aninjurywasdone,bypayingtheinterest
  fortwenty—twoyearsinadepreciatedcurrency:thoseofthe
  second,sufferedaninjuryduringtheyearsinwhichtheinterest
  waspaidinacurrencymoredepreciatedthanthatinwhichthe
  loanswerecontracted。Tohaveresumedcashpaymentsatalower
  standardwouldhavebeentoperpetuatetheinjurytothesetwo
  classesofcreditors,inordertoavoidgivinganunduebenefit
  toathirdclass,whohadlenttheirmoneyduringthefewyears
  ofgreatestdepreciation。Asitis,therewasanunderpaymentto
  onesetofpersons,andanoverpaymenttoanother。ThelateMr。
  Mushettookthetroubletomakeanarithmeticalcomparison
  betweenthetwoamounts。Heascertainedbycalculation,thatif
  anaccounthadbeenmadeoutin1819,ofwhatthefundholdershad
  gainedandlostbythevariationofthepapercurrencyfromits
  standard,theywouldhavebeenfoundasabodytohavebeen
  losers;sothatifanycompensationwasdueonthegroundof
  depreciation,itwouldnotbefromthefundholderscollectively,
  buttothem。
  Thusitiswiththefactsofthecase。Butthesereasonsof
  factarenotthestrongest。Thereisareasonofprinciple,still
  morepowerful。Supposethat,notapartofthedebtmerely,but
  thewhole,hadbeencontractedinadepreciatedcurrency,
  depreciatednotonlyincomparisonwithitsstandard,butwith
  itsownvaluebeforeandafter;andthatwewerenowpayingthe
  interestofthisdebtinacurrencyfiftyorevenahundredper
  centmorevaluablethanthatinwhichitwascontracted。What
  differencewouldthismakeintheobligationofpayingit,ifthe
  conditionthatitshouldbesopaidwaspartoftheoriginal
  compact?Nowthisisnotonlytruth,butlessthanthetruth。The
  compactstipulatedbettertermsforthefundholderthanhehas
  received。DuringthewholecontinuanceoftheBankrestriction,
  therewasaparliamentarypledge,bywhichthelegislaturewasas
  muchboundasanylegislatureiscapableofbindingitself,that
  cashpaymentsshouldberesumedontheoriginalfooting,at
  farthestinsixmonthsaftertheconclusionofageneralpeace。
  Thiswasthereforeanactualconditionofeveryloan;andthe
  termsoftheloanweremorefavourableinconsiderationofit。
  Withoutsomesuchstipulation,theGovernmentcouldnothave
  expectedtoborrow,unlessonthetermsonwhichloansaremade
  tothenativeprincesofIndia。Ifithadbeenunderstoodand
  avowedthat,afterborrowingthemoney,thestandardatwhichit
  wascommutedmightbepermanentlylowered,toanyextentwhichto
  the"collectivewisdom"ofalegislatureofborrowersmightseem
  fit——whocansaywhatrateofinterestwouldhavebeena
  sufficientinducementtopersonsofcommonsensetorisktheir
  savingsinsuchanadventure?Howevermuchthefundholdershad
  gainedbytheresumptionofcashpayments,thetermsofthe
  contractinsuredtheirgivingamplevalueforit。Theygavevalue
  formorethantheyreceived;sincecashpaymentswerenotresumed
  insixmonths,butinasmanyyears,afterthepeace。Sothat
  wavingallourargumentsexceptthelast,andconcedingallthe
  factsassertedontheothersideofthequestion,the
  fundholders,insteadofbeingundulybenefited,aretheinjured
  party;andwouldhaveaclaimtocompensation,ifsuchclaims
  werenotveryproperlybarredbytheimpossibilityof
  adjudication,andbythesalutarygeneralmaximoflawand
  policy,"quodinterestreipublicaeutsitfinislitium。"
  NOTES:
  1。Amongtheschemesofcurrencytowhich,strangetosay,
  intelligentwritershavebeenfoundtogivetheirsanction,one
  isasfollows:thatthestateshouldreceiveinpledgeor
  mortgage,anykindoramountofproperty,suchasland,stock,
  &c。,andshouldadvancetotheownersinconvertiblepapermoney
  totheestimatedvalue。Suchacurrencywouldnotevenhavethe
  recommendationsoftheimaginaryassignatssupposedinthetext:
  sincethoseintowhosehandsthenoteswerepaidbythepersons
  whoreceivedthem,couldnotreturnthemtotheGovernment,and
  demandinexchangelandorstockwhichwasonlypledged,not
  alienated。Therewouldbenorefluxofsuchassignatsasthese,
  andtheirdepreciationwouldbeindefinite。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book3:Distribution
  Chapter14
  OfExcessofSupply
  1。Aftertheelementaryexpositionofthetheoryofmoney
  containedinthelastfewchapters,weshallreturntoaquestion
  inthegeneraltheoryofValue,whichcouldnotbesatisfactorily
  discusseduntilthenatureandoperationsofMoneywereinsome
  measureunderstood,becausetheerrorsagainstwhichwehaveto
  contendmainlyoriginateinamisunderstandingofthose
  operations。
  Wehaveseenthatthevalueofeverythinggravitatestowards
  acertainmediumpoint(whichhasbeencalledtheNaturalValue),
  namely,thatatwhichitexchangesforeveryotherthinginthe
  ratiooftheircostofproduction。Wehaveseen,too,thatthe
  actualormarketvaluecoincides,ornearlyso,withthenatural
  value,onlyonanaverageofyears;andiscontinuallyeither
  risingabove,orfallingbelowit,fromalterationsinthe
  demand,orcasualfluctuationsinthesupply:butthatthese
  variationscorrectthemselves,throughthetendencyofthesupply
  toaccommodateitselftothedemandwhichexistsforthe
  commodityatitsnaturalvalue。Ageneralconvergencethus
  resultsfromthebalanceofoppositedivergences。Dearth,or
  scarcity,ontheonehand,andover—supply,orinmercantile
  language,glut,ontheother,areincidenttoallcommodities。In
  thefirstcase,thecommodityaffordstotheproducersor
  sellers,whilethedeficiencylasts,anunusuallyhighrateof
  profit:inthesecond,thesupplybeinginexcessofthatfor
  whichademandexistsatsuchavalueaswillaffordtheordinary
  profit,thesellersmustbecontentwithless,andmust,in
  extremecases,submittoaloss。
  Becausethisphenomenonofover—supply,andconsequent
  inconvenienceorlosstotheproducerordealer,mayexistinthe
  caseofanyonecommoditywhatever,manypersons,includingsome
  distinguishedpoliticaleconomists,havethoughtthatitmay
  existwithregardtoallcommodities;thattheremaybeageneral
  over—productionofwealth;asupplyofcommoditiesinthe
  aggregate,surpassingthedemand;andaconsequentdepressed
  conditionofallclassesofproducers。Againstthisdoctrine,of
  whichMr。MalthusandDr。Chalmersinthiscountry,andM。de
  SismondiontheContinent,werethechiefapostles,Ihave
  alreadycontendedintheFirstBook;(1*)butitwasnotpossible,
  inthatstageofourinquiry,toenterintoacomplete
  examinationofanerror(asIconceive)essentiallygroundedona
  misunderstandingofthephenomenaofValueandPrice。The
  doctrineappearstometoinvolvesomuchinconsistencyinits
  veryconception,thatIfeelconsiderabledifficultyingiving
  anystatementofitwhichshallbeatonceclear,and
  satisfactorytoitssupporters。Theyagreeinmaintainingthat
  theremaybe,andsometimesis,anexcessofproductionsin
  generalbeyondthedemandforthem;thatwhenthishappens,
  purchaserscannotbefoundatpriceswhichwillrepaythecostof
  productionwithaprofit;thatthereensuesageneraldepression
  ofpricesorvalues(theyareseldomaccurateindiscriminating
  betweenthetwo),sothatproducers,themoretheyproduce,find
  themselvesthepoorer,insteadofricher;andDrChalmers
  accordinglyinculcatesoncapitaliststhepracticeofamoral
  restraintinreferencetothepursuitofgain;whileSismondi
  deprecatesmachinery,andthevariousinventionswhichincrease
  productivepower。Theybothmaintainthataccumulationofcapital
  mayproceedtoofast,notmerelyforthemoral,butforthe
  materialinterestsofthosewhoproduceandaccumulate;andthey
  enjointherichtoguardagainstthisevilbyanample
  unproductiveconsumption。
  2。Whenthesewritersspeakofthesupplyofcommoditiesas
  outrunningthedemand,itisnotclearwhichofthetwoelements
  ofdemandtheyhaveinview—thedesiretopossess,orthemeans
  ofpurchase;whethertheirmeaningisthatthereare,insuch
  cases,moreconsumableproductsinexistencethanthepublic
  desirestoconsume,ormerelymorethanitisabletopayfor。In
  thisuncertainty,itisnecessarytoexaminebothsuppositions。
  First,letussupposethatthequantityofcommodities
  producedisnotgreaterthanthecommunitywouldbegladto
  consume:isit,inthatcase,possiblethatthereshouldbea
  deficiencyofdemandforallcommodities,forwantofthemeans
  ofpayment?Thosewhothinksocannothaveconsideredwhatitis
  whichconstitutesthemeansofpaymentforcommodities。Itis
  simplycommodities。Eachperson’smeansofpayingforthe
  productionsofotherpeopleconsistsofthosewhichhehimself
  possesses。Allsellersareinevitablyandexviterminibuyers。
  Couldwesuddenlydoubletheproductivepowersofthecountry,we
  shoulddoublethesupplyofcommoditiesineverymarket;butwe
  should,bythesamestroke,doublethepurchasingpower。
  Everybodywouldbringadoubledemandaswellassupply:
  everybodywouldbeabletobuytwiceasmuch,becauseeveryone
  wouldhavetwiceasmuchtoofferinexchange。Itisprobable,
  indeed,thattherewouldnowbeasuperfluityofcertainthings。
  althoughthecommunitywouldwillinglydoubleitsaggregate
  consumption,itmayalreadyhaveasmuchasitdesiresofsome
  commodities,anditmayprefertodomorethandoubleits
  consumptionofothers,ortoexerciseitsincreasedpurchasing
  poweronsomenewthing。Ifso,thesupplywilladaptitself
  accordingly,andthevaluesofthingswillcontinuetoconformto
  theircostofproduction。Atanyrate,itisasheerabsurdity
  thatallthingsshouldfallinvalue,andthatallproducers
  should,inconsequence,beinsufficientlyremunerated。Ifvalues
  remainthesame,whatbecomesofpricesisimmaterial,sincethe
  remunerationofproducersdoesnotdependonhowmuchmoney,but
  onhowmuchofconsumablearticles,theyobtainfortheirgoods。
  Besides,moneyisacommodity;andifallcommoditiesare
  supposedtobedoubledinquantity,wemustsupposemoneytobe
  doubledtoo,andthenpriceswouldnomorefallthanvalues
  would。
  3。Ageneralover—supply,orexcessofallcommoditiesabove
  thedemand,sofarasdemandconsistsinmeansofpayment,is
  thusshowntobeanimpossibility。Butitmayperhapshesupposed
  thatitisnottheabilitytopurchase,butthedesireto
  possess,thatfallsshort,andthatthegeneralproduceof
  industrymaybegreaterthanthecommunitydesirestoconsume——
  thepart,atleast,ofthecommunitywhichhasanequivalentto
  give。Itisevidentenough,thatproducemakesamarketfor
  produce,andthatthereiswealthinthecountrywithwhichto
  purchaseallthewealthinthecountry;butthosewhohavethe
  means,maynothavethewants,andthosewhohavethewantsmay
  bewithoutthemeans。Aportion,therefore,ofthecommodities
  producedmaybeunabletofindamarket,fromtheabsenceof
  meansinthosewhohavethedesiretoconsume,andthewantof
  desireinthosewhohavethemeans。
  Thisismuchthemostplausibleformofthedoctrine,and
  doesnot,likethatwhichwefirstexamined,involvea
  contradiction。Theremayeasilybeagreaterquantityofany
  particularcommoditythanisdesiredbythosewhohavethe
  abilitytopurchase,anditisabstractedlyconceivablethatthis
  mightbethecasewithallcommodities。Theerrorisinnot
  perceivingthatthoughallwhohaveanequivalenttogive,might
  befullyprovidedwitheveryconsumablearticlewhichthey
  desire,thefactthattheygoonaddingtotheproductionproves
  thatthisisnotactuallythecase。Assumethemostfavourable
  hypothesisforthepurpose,thatofalimitedcommunity,every
  memberofwhichpossessesasmuchofnecessariesandofallknown
  luxuriesashedesires:andsinceitisnotconceivablethat
  personswhosewantswerecompletelysatisfiedwouldlabourand
  economizetoobtainwhattheydidnotdesire,supposethata
  foreignerarrivesandproducesanadditionalquantityof
  somethingofwhichtherewasalreadyenough。Here,itwillbe
  said,isover—production:true,Ireply;over—productionofthat
  particulararticle:thecommunitywantednomoreofthat,butit
  wantedsomething。Theoldinhabitants,indeed,wantednothing;
  butdidnottheforeignerhimselfwantsomething?Whenhe
  producedthesuperfluousarticle,washelabouringwithouta
  motive?Hehasproduced,butthewrongthinginsteadofthe
  right。Hewanted,perhaps,food,andhasproducedwatches,with
  whicheverybodywassufficientlysupplied。Thenewcomerbrought
  withhimintothecountryademandforcommodities,equaltoall
  thathecouldproducebyhisindustry,anditwashisbusinessto
  seethatthesupplyhebroughtshouldbesuitabletothatdemand。
  Ifhecouldnotproducesomethingcapableofexcitinganewwant
  ordesireinthecommunity,forthesatisfactionofwhichsome
  onewouldgrowmorefoodandgiveittohiminexchange,hehad
  thealternativeofgrowingfoodforhimself;eitheronfresh
  land,iftherewasanyunoccupied,orasatenant,orpartner,or
  servant,ofsomeformeroccupier,willingtobepartially
  relievedfromlabour。Hehasproducedathingnotwanted,instead
  ofwhatwaswanted;andhehimself,perhaps,isnotthekindof
  producerwhoiswanted;butthereisnoover—production;
  productionisnotexcessive,butmerelyillassorted。Wesaw
  before,thatwhoeverbringsadditionalcommoditiestothemarket,
  bringsanadditionalpowerofpurchase;wenowseethathebrings
  alsoanadditionaldesiretoconsume;sinceifhehadnotthat
  desire,hewouldnothavetroubledhimselftoproduce。Neitherof
  theelementsofdemand,therefore,canbewanting,whenthereis
  anadditionalsupply;thoughitisperfectlypossiblethatthe
  demandmaybeforonething,andthesupplymayunfortunately
  consistofanother。
  Driventohislastretreat,anopponentmayperhapsallege,
  thattherearepersonswhoproduceandaccumulatefrommere
  habit;notbecausetheyhaveanyobjectingrowingricher,or
  desiretoaddinanyrespecttotheirconsumption,butfromvis
  inertiae。Theycontinueproducingbecausethemachineisready
  mounted,andsaveandre—investtheirsavingsbecausetheyhave
  nothingonwhichtheycaretoexpendthem。Igrantthatthisis
  possible,andinsomefewinstancesprobablyhappens;butthese
  donotinthesmallestdegreeaffectourconclusion。For,whatdo
  thesepersonsdowiththeirsavings?Theyinvestthem
  productively。thatis,expendtheminemployinglabour。Inother
  words,havingapurchasingpowerbelongingtothem,morethan
  theyknowwhattodowith,theymakeoverthesurplusofitfor
  thegeneralbenefitofthelabouringclass。Now,willthatclass
  alsonotknowwhattodowithit?Arewetosupposethattheytoo
  havetheirwantsperfectlysatisfied,andgoonlabouringfrom
  merehabit?Untilthisisthecase;untiltheworkingclasses
  havealsoreachedthepointofsatiety—therewillbenowantof
  demandfortheproduceofcapital,howeverrapidlyitmay
  accumulate:since,ifthereisnothingelseforittodo,itcan
  alwaysfindemploymentinproducingthenecessariesorluxuries
  ofthelabouringclass。Andwhentheytoohadnofurtherdesire
  fornecessariesorluxuries,theywouldtakethebenefitofany
  furtherincreaseofwagesbydiminishingtheirwork;sothatthe
  over—productionwhichthenforthefirsttimewouldbepossible
  inidea,couldnoteventhentakeplaceinfact,forwantof
  labourers。Thus,inwhatevermannerthequestionislookedat,
  eventhoughwegototheextremevergeofpossibilitytoinventa
  suppositionfavourabletoit,thetheoryofgeneral
  over—productionimpliesanabsurdity。
  4。Whatthenisitbywhichmenwhohavereflectedmuchon
  economicalphenomena,andhaveevencontributedtothrownew
  lightuponthembyoriginalspeculations,havebeenledto
  embracesoirrationaladoctrine?Iconceivethemtohavebeen
  deceivedbyamistakeninterpretationofcertainmercantile
  facts。Theyimaginedthatthepossibilityofageneraloversupply
  ofcommoditieswasprovedbyexperience。Theybelievedthatthey
  sawthisphenomenonincertainconditionsofthemarkets,the
  trueexplanationofwhichistotallydifferent。
  Ihavealreadydescribedthestateofthemarketsfor
  commoditieswhichaccompanieswhatistermedacommercialcrisis。
  Atsuchtimesthereisreallyanexcessofallcommoditiesabove
  themoneydemand:inotherwords,thereisanunder—supplyof
  money。Fromthesuddenannihilationofagreatmassofcredit,
  everyonedislikestopartwithreadymoney,andmanyareanxious
  toprocureitatanysacrifice。Almosteverybodythereforeisa
  seller,andtherearescarcelyanybuyers;sothattheremay
  reallybe,thoughonlywhilethecrisislasts,anextreme
  depressionofgeneralprices,fromwhatmaybeindiscriminately
  calledaglutofcommoditiesoradearthofmoney。Butitisa
  greaterrortosuppose,withSismondi,thatacommercialcrisis
  istheeffectofageneralexcessofproduction。Itissimplythe
  consequenceofanexcessofspeculativepurchases。Itisnota
  gradualadventoflowprices,hutasuddenrecoilfromprices
  extravagantlyhigh:itsimmediatecauseisacontractionof
  credit,andtheremedyis,notadilutionofsupply,butthe
  restorationofconfidence。Itisalsoevidentthatthistemporary
  derangementofmarketsisanevilonlybecauseitistemporary。
  Thefallbeingsolelyofmoneyprices,ifpricesdidnotrise
  againnodealerwouldlose,sincethesmallerpricewouldbe
  worthasmuchtohimasthelargerpricewasbefore。Innomanner
  doesthisphenomenonanswertothedescriptionwhichthese
  celebratedeconomistshavegivenoftheevilofover—production。
  Thepermanentdeclineinthecircumstancesofproducers,forwant
  ofmarkets,whichthosewriterscontemplate,isaconceptionto
  whichthenatureofacommercialcrisisgivesnosupport。
  Theotherphenomenonfromwhichthenotionofageneral
  excessofwealthandsuperfluityofaccumulationseemstoderive
  countenance,isoneofamorepermanentnature,namely,thefall
  ofprofitsandinterestwhichnaturallytakesplacewiththe
  progressofpopulationandproduction。Thecauseofthisdecline
  ofprofitistheincreasedcostofmaintaininglabour,which
  resultsfromanincreaseofpopulationandofthedemandfor
  food,outstrippingtheadvanceofagriculturalimprovement。This
  importantfeatureintheeconomicalprogressofnationswill
  receivefullconsiderationanddiscussioninthesucceeding
  Book。(2*)Itisobviouslyatotallydifferentthingfromawant
  ofmarketforcommodities,thoughoftenconfoundedwithitinthe
  complaintsoftheproducingandtradingclasses。Thetrue
  interpretationofthemodernorpresentstateofindustrial
  economy,is,thatthereishardlyanyamountofbusinesswhich
  maynotbedone,ifpeoplewillbecontenttodoitonsmall
  profits;andthis,allactiveandintelligentpersonsinbusiness
  perfectlywellknow。buteventhosewhocomplywiththe
  necessitiesoftheirtime,grumbleatwhattheycomplywith,and
  wishthattherewerelesscapital,orastheyexpressit,less
  competition,inorderthattheremightbegreaterprofits。Low
  profits,however,areadifferentthingfromdeficiencyof
  demand;andtheproductionandaccumulationwhichmerelyreduce
  profits,cannotbecalledexcessofsupplyorofproduction。What
  thephenomenonreallyis,anditseffectsandnecessarylimits,
  willbeseenwhenwetreatofthatexpresssubject。
  Iknownotofanyeconomicalfacts,exceptthetwoIhave
  specified,whichcanhavegivenoccasiontotheopinionthata
  generalover—productionofcommoditieseverpresenteditselfin
  actualexperience。Iamconvincedthatthereisnofactin
  commercialaffairs,which,inordertoitsexplanation,standsin
  needofthatchimericalsupposition。
  Thepointisfundamental;anydifferenceofopiniononit
  involvesradicallydifferentconceptionsofPoliticalEconomy,
  especiallyinitspracticalaspect。Ontheoneview,wehaveonly
  toconsiderhowasufficientproductionmaybecombinedwiththe
  bestpossibledistribution;butontheotherthereisathird
  thingtobeconsidered—howamarketcanbecreatedforproduce,
  orhowproductioncanbelimitedtothecapabilitiesofthe
  market。Besides;atheorysoessentiallyself—contradictory
  cannotintrudeitselfwithoutcarryingconfusionintothevery
  heartofthesubject,andmakingitimpossibleeventoconceive
  withanydistinctnessmanyofthemorecomplicatedeconomical
  workingsofsociety。Thiserrorhasbeen,Iconceive,fatalto
  thesystems,assystems,ofthethreedistinguishedeconomiststo
  whomIbeforereferred,Malthus,Chalmers,andSismondi;allof
  whomhaveadmirablyconceivedandexplainedseveralofthe
  elementarytheoremsofpoliticaleconomy,butthisfatal
  misconceptionhasspreaditselflikeaveilbetweenthemandthe
  moredifficultportionsofthesubject,notsufferingonerayof
  lighttopenetrate。Stillmoreisthissameconfusedidea
  constantlycrossingandbewilderingthespeculationsofminds
  inferiortotheirs。Itisbutjusticetotwoeminentnames,to
  callattentiontothefact,thatthemeritofhavingplacedthis
  mostimportantpointinitstruelight,belongsprincipally,on
  theContinent,tothejudiciousJ。B。Say,andinthiscountryto
  MrMill;who(besidestheconclusiveexpositionwhichhegaveof
  thesubjectinhisElementsofPoliticalEconomy)hadsetforth
  thecorrectdoctrinewithgreatforceandclearnessinanearly
  pamphlet,calledforthbyatemporarycontroversy,andentitled,
  "CommerceDefended;"thefirstofhiswritingswhichattainedany
  celebrity,andwhichhepriedmoreashavingbeenhisfirst
  introductiontothefriendshipofDavidRicardo,themostvalued
  andmostintimatefriendshipofhislife。
  NOTES:
  1。Supra,vol。i。pp。66—8。
  2。Infra,bookiv。chap。4。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book3:Distribution
  Chapter15
  OfaMeasureofValue
  1。Therehasbeenmuchdiscussionamongpoliticaleconomists
  respectingaMeasureofValue。Animportancehasbeenattachedto
  thesubject,greaterthanitdeserved,andwhathasbeenwritten
  respectingithascontributednotalittletothereproachof
  logomachy,whichisbrought,withmuchexaggeration,butnot
  altogetherwithoutground,againstthespeculationsofpolitical
  economists。Itisnecessaryhowevertotouchuponthesubject,if
  onlytoshowhowlittlethereistobesaidonit。
  AMeasureofValue,intheordinarysenseoftheword
  measure,wouldmean,something,bycomparisonwithwhichwemay
  ascertainwhatisthevalueofanyotherthing。Whenweconsider
  farther,thatvalueitselfisrelative,andthattwothingsare
  necessarytoconstituteit,independentlyofthethirdthing
  whichistomeasureit;wemaydefineaMeasureofValuetobe
  something,bycomparingwithwhichanytwootherthings,wemay
  infertheirvalueinrelationtooneanother。
  Inthissense,anycommoditywillserveasameasureofvalue
  atagiventimeandplace;sincewecanalwaysinferthe
  proportioninwhichthingsexchangeforoneanother,whenweknow
  theproportioninwhicheachexchangesforanythirdthing。To
  serveasaconvenientmeasureofvalueisoneofthefunctionsof
  thecommodityselectedasamediumofexchange。Itisinthat
  commoditythatthevaluesofallotherthingsarehabitually
  estimated。Wesaythatonethingisworth2l。,another3l。;and
  itisthenknownwithoutexpressstatement,thatoneisworth
  two—thirdsoftheother,orthatthethingsexchangeforone
  anotherintheproportionof2to3。Moneyisacompletemeasure
  oftheirvalue。
  Butthedesideratumsoughtbypoliticaleconomistsisnota
  measureofthevalueofthingsatthesametimeandplace,buta
  measureofthevalueofthesamethingatdifferenttimesand
  places:somethingbycomparisonwithwhichitmaybeknown
  whetheranygiventhingisofgreaterorlessvaluenowthana
  centuryago,orinthiscountrythaninAmericaorChina。Andfor
  thisalso,money,oranyothercommodity,willservequiteas
  wellasatthesametimeandplace,providedwecanobtainthe
  samedata;providedweareabletocomparewiththemeasurenot
  onecommodityonly,butthetwoormorewhicharenecessaryto
  theideaofvalue。Ifwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andafat
  sheepthesame,andifinthetimeofHenrytheSecondwheatwas
  20s。,andasheep10s。,weknowthataquarterofwheatwasthen
  worthtwosheep,andisnowonlyworthone,andthatthevalue
  thereforeofasheep,estimatedinwheat,istwiceasgreatasit
  wasthen;quiteindependentlyofthevalueofmoneyatthetwo
  periods,eitherinrelationtothosetwoarticles(inrespectto
  bothofwhichwesupposeittohavefallen),ortoother
  commodities,inrespecttowhichweneednotmakeany
  supposition。
  Whatseemstobedesired,however,bywritersonthesubject,
  issomemeansofascertainingthevalueofacommoditybymerely
  comparingitwiththemeasure,withoutreferringitspeciallyto
  anyothergivencommodity。Theywouldwishtobeable,fromthe
  merefactthatwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andwasformerly
  20s。,todecidewhetherwheathasvariedinitsvalue,andin
  whatdegree,withoutselectingasecondcommodity,suchasa
  sheep,tocompareitwith;becausetheyaredesirousofknowing,
  nothowmuchwheathasvariedinvaluerelativelytosheep,but
  howmuchithasvariedrelativelytothingsingeneral。
  Thefirstobstaclearisesfromthenecessaryindefiniteness
  oftheideaofgeneralexchangevalue——valueinrelationnotto
  someonecommodity,buttocommoditiesatlarge。Evenifweknew
  exactlyhowmuchaquarterofwheatwouldhavepurchasedatthe
  earlierperiod,ofeverymarketablearticleconsidered
  separately,andthatitwillnowpurchasemoreofsomethingsand
  lessofothers,weshouldoftenfinditimpossibletosaywhether
  ithadrisenorfalleninrelationtothingsingeneral。Howmuch
  moreimpossible,whenweonlyknowhowithasvariedinrelation
  tothemeasure。Toenablethemoneypriceofathingattwo
  differentperiodstomeasurethequantityofthingsingeneral
  whichitwillexchangefor,thesamesumofmoneymustcorrespond
  atbothperiodstothesamequantityofthingsingeneral,that
  is,moneymustalwayshavethesameexchangevalue,thesame
  generalpurchasingpower。Now,notonlyisthisnottrueof
  money,orofanyothercommodity,butwecannotevensupposeany
  stateofcircumstancesinwhichitwouldbetrue。
  2。Ameasureofexchangevalue,therefore,beingimpossible,
  writershaveformedanotionofsomething,underthenameofa
  measureofvalue,whichwouldbemoreproperlytermedameasure
  ofcostofproduction。Theyhaveimaginedacommodityinvariably
  producedbythesamequantityoflabour;towhichsuppositionit
  isnecessarytoadd,thatthefixedcapitalemployedinthe
  productionmustbearalwaysthesameproportiontothewagesof
  theimmediatelabour,andmustbealwaysofthesamedurability:
  inshort,thesamecapitalmustbeadvancedforthesamelength
  oftime,sothattheelementofvaluewhichconsistsofprofits,
  aswellasthatwhichconsistsofwages,maybeunchangeable。We
  shouldthenhaveacommodityalwaysproducedunderoneandthe
  samecombinationofallthecircumstanceswhichaffectpermanent
  value。Suchacommoditywouldbebynomeansconstantinits
  exchangevalue;for(evenwithoutreckoningthetemporary
  fluctuationsarisingfromsupplyanddemand)itsexchangevalue
  wouldbealteredbyeverychangeinthecircumstancesof
  productionofthethingsagainstwhichitwasexchanged。Butif
  thereexistedsuchacommodity,weshouldderivethisadvantage
  fromit,thatwheneveranyotherthingvariedpermanentlyin
  relationtoit,weshouldknowthatthecauseofvariationwas
  notinit,butintheotherthing。Itwouldthusbesuitedto
  serveasameasure,notindeedofthevalueofotherthings,but
  oftheircostofproduction。Ifacommodityacquiredagreater
  permanentpurchasingpowerinrelationtotheinvariable
  commodity,itscostofproductionmusthavebecomegreater;and
  inthecontrarycase,less。Thismeasureofcost,iswhat
  politicaleconomistshavegenerallymeantbyameasureofvalue。
  Butameasureofcost,thoughperfectlyconceivable,canno
  moreexistinfact,thanameasureofexchangevalue。Thereisno
  commoditywhichisinvariableinitscostofproduction。Goldand
  silveraretheleastvariable,buteventheseareliableto
  changesintheircostofproduction,fromtheexhaustionofold
  sourcesofsupply,thediscoveryofnew,andimprovementsinthe
  modeofworking。Ifweattempttoascertainthechangesinthe
  costofproductionofanycommodityfromthechangesinitsmoney
  price,theconclusionwillrequiretobecorrectedbythebest
  allowancewecanmakefortheintermediatechangesinthecostof
  theproductionofmoneyitself。