Inthecasejustnowsupposed,ofacompetitionbetweenEnglandandFrance,thestateofinternationalvaluesaffectedbothcompetitorsalike,sincetheyweresupposedtotradewiththesamecountry,andtoexportandimportthesamecommodities。
  Thedifference,therefore,inwhattheirimportscostthem,dependedsolelyontheothercause,theunequalefficiencyoftheirlabour。Theygavethesamequantities;thedifferencecouldonlybeinthecostofproduction。ButifEnglandtradedtoGermanywithcloth,andFrancewithiron,thecomparativedemandinGermanyforthosetwocommoditieswouldbearashareindeterminingthecomparativecost,inlabourandcapital,withwhichEnglandandFrancewouldobtainGermanproducts。IfironweremoreindemandinGermanythancloth,Francewouldrecover,throughthatchannel,partofherdisadvantage;ifless,herdisadvantagewouldbeincreased。Theefficiency,therefore,ofacountry’slabour,isnottheonlythingwhichdetermineseventhecostatwhichthatcountryobtainsimportedcommodities——whileithasnosharewhateverindeterminingeithertheirexchangevalue,or,asweshallpresentlysee,theirprice。
  NOTES:
  1。Supra,bookiii,chap。ii。section4。
  2。Itmaybeasked,whywehavesupposedthenumberntohaveasitsextremelimits,mand2m(orp/qm)?whymaynotnbelessthanm,orgreaterthan2m;andifso,whatwillbetheresult?
  Thisweshallnowexamine,andwhenwedosoitwillappearthatnisalways,practicallyspeaking,codedwithintheselimits。
  Suppose,forexample,thatnislessthanm;or,revertingtoourformerfigures,thatthemillionyardsofcloth,whichEnglandcanmake,willnotsatisfythewholeofGermany’spre—existingdemand;thatdemandbeing(letussuppose)for1,200,000yards。Itwouldthen,atfirstsight,appearthatEnglandwouldsupplyGermanywithclothuptotheextentofamillion;thatGermanywouldcontinuetosupplyherselfwiththeremaining200,000byhomeproduction:thatthisportionofthesupplywouldregulatethepriceofthewhole;thatEnglandthereforewouldbeablepermanentlytosellhermillionofclothattheGermancostofproduction(viz。fortwomillionsoflinen)
  andwouldgainthewholeadvantageofthetrade,Germanybeingnobetteroffthanbefore。
  Thatsuch,however,wouldnotbethepracticalresult,willsoonbeevident。TheresiduarydemandofGermanyfor200,000
  yardsofclothfurnishesaresourcetoEnglandforpurposesofforeigntradeofwhichitisstillherinteresttoavailherself;
  andthoughshehasnomorelabourandcapitalwhichshecanwithdrawfromlinenfortheproductionofthisextraquantityofcloth,theremustbesomeothercommoditiesinwhichGermanyhasarelativeadvantageoverher(thoughperhapsnotsogreatasinlinen):theseshewillnowimport,insteadofproducing,andthelabourandcapitalformerlyemployedinproducingthemwillbetransferredtocloth,untiltherequiredamountismadeup。Ifthistransferjustmakesupthe200,000andnomore,thisaugmentednwillnowbeequaltom;Englandwillsellthewhole1,200,000attheGermanvalues;andwillstillgainthewholeadvantageofthetrade。Butifthetransfermakesupmorethanthe200,000,Englandwillhavemorecloththan1,200,000yardstooffer;nwillbecomegreaterthanm,andEnglandmustpartwithenoughoftheadvantagetoinduceGermanytotakethesurplus。
  Thusthecasewhichseemedatfirstsighttobebeyondthelimits,istransformedpracticallyintoacaseeithercoincidingwithoneofthelimitsorbetweenthem。Andsowitheveryothercasewhichcanbesupposed。
  3。Theincreaseofdemandfrom800,000to900,000,andthatfromamillionto1,440,000,areneitherequalinthemselves,norbearanequalproportiontotheincreaseofcheapness。Germany’sdemandforclothhasincreasedone—eighth,whilethecheapnessisincreasedone—fourth。England’sdemandforlineniscreased44
  percent,whilethecheapnessisincreased60percent。
  4。ThreeLecturesontheCostofObtainingMoney。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book3:Distribution
  Chapter19
  OfMoney,ConsideredasanImportedCommodity
  1。Thedegreeofprogresswhichwehavenowmadeinthe
  theoryofForeignTrade,putsitinourpowertosupplywhatwas
  previouslydeficientinourviewofthetheoryofMoney;and
  this,whencompleted,willinitsturnenableustoconcludethe
  subjectofForeignTrade。
  Money,orthematerialofwhichitiscomposed,is,inGreat
  Britain,andinmostothercountries,aforeigncommodity。Its
  valueanddistributionmustthereforeberegulated,notbythe
  lawofvaluewhichobtainsinadjacentplaces,butbythatwhich
  isapplicabletoimportedcommodities——thelawofInternational
  Values。
  Inthediscussionintowhichwearenowabouttoenter,I
  shallusethetermsMoneyandthePreciousMetals
  indiscriminately。Thismaybedonewithoutleadingtoanyerror;
  ithavingbeenshownthatthevalueofmoney,whenitconsistsof
  thepreciousmetals,orofapapercurrencyconvertibleintothem
  ondemand,isentirelygovernedbythevalueofthemetals
  themselves:fromwhichitneverpermanentlydiffers,exceptby
  theexpenseofcoinagewhenthisispaidbytheindividualand
  notbythestate。
  Moneyisbroughtintoacountryintwodifferentways。Itis
  imported(chieflyintheformofbullion)likeanyother
  merchandize,asbeinganadvantageousarticleofcommerce。Itis
  alsoimportedinitsothercharacterofamediumofexchange,to
  paysomedebtduetothecountry,eitherforgoodsexportedoron
  anyotheraccount。Thereareotherwaysinwhichitmaybe
  introducedcasually;thesearethetwoinwhichitisreceivedin
  theordinarycourseofbusiness,andwhichdetermineitsvalue。
  Theexistenceofthesetwodistinctmodesinwhichmoneyflows
  intoacountry,whileothercommoditiesarehabituallyintroduced
  onlyinthefirstofthesemodes,occasionssomewhatmoreof
  complexityandobscuritythanexistsinthecaseofother
  commodities,andforthisreasononlyisanyspecialandminute
  expositionnecessary。
  2。Insofarasthepreciousmetalsareimportedinthe
  ordinarywayofcommerce,theirvaluemustdependonthesame
  causes,andconformtothesamelaws,asthevalueofanyother
  foreignproduction。Itisinthismodechieflythatgoldand
  silverdiffusethemselvesfromtheminingcountriesintoall
  otherpartsofthecommercialworld。Theyarethestaple
  commoditiesofthosecountries,oratleastareamongtheirgreat
  articlesofregularexport;andareshippedonspeculation,in
  thesamemannerasotherexportablecommodities。Thequantity,
  therefore,whichacountry(sayEngland)willgiveofitsown
  produce,foracertainquantityofbullion,willdepend,ifwe
  supposeonlytwocountriesandtwocommodities,uponthedemand
  inEnglandforbullion,comparedwiththedemandinthemining
  country(whichwewillcallBrazil)forwhatEnglandhastogive。
  Theymustexchangeinsuchproportionsaswillleaveno
  unsatisfieddemandoneitherside,toaltervaluesbyits
  competition。ThebullionrequiredbyEnglandmustexactlypayfor
  thecottonsorotherEnglishcommoditiesrequiredbyBrazil。If,
  however,wesubstituteforthissimplicitythedegreeof
  complicationwhichreallyexists,theequationofinternational
  demandmustbeestablishednotbetweenthebullionwantedin
  EnglandandthecottonsorbroadclothwantedinBrazil,but
  betweenthewholeoftheimportsofEnglandandthewholeofher
  exports。ThedemandinforeigncountriesforEnglishproducts,
  mustbebroughtintoequilibriumwiththedemandinEnglandfor
  theproductsofforeigncountries;andallforeigncommodities,
  billionamongtherest,mustbeexchangedagainstEnglish
  productsinsuchproportions,aswill,bytheeffecttheyproduce
  onthedemand,establishthisequilibrium。
  Thereisnothinginthepeculiarnatureorusesofthe
  preciousmetals,whichshouldmakethemanexceptiontothe
  generalprinciplesofdemand。Sofarastheyarewantedfor
  purposesofluxuryorthearts,thedemandincreaseswiththe
  cheapness,inthesameirregularwayasthedemandforanyother
  commodity。Sofarastheyarerequiredformoney,thedemand
  increaseswiththecheapnessinaperfectlyregularway,the
  quantityneededbeingalwaysininverseproportiontothevalue。
  Thisistheonlyrealdifference,inrespecttodemand,between
  moneyandotherthings;andforthepresentpurposeitisa
  differencealtogetherimmaterial。
  Money,then,ifimportedsolelyasamerchandize,will,like
  otherimportedcommodities,beoflowestvalueinthecountries
  forwhoseexportsthereisthegreatestforeigndemand,andwhich
  havethemselvestheleastdemandforforeigncommodities。To
  thesetwocircumstancesitishowevernecessarytoaddtwo
  others,whichproducetheireffectthroughcostofcarriage。The
  costofobtainingbullioniscompoundedoftwoelements;the
  goodsgiventopurchaseit,andtheexpenseoftransport:of
  whichlast,thebullioncountrieswillbearapart,(thoughan
  uncertainpart,)intheadjustmentofinternationalvalues。The
  expenseoftransportispartlythatofcarryingthegoodstothe
  bullioncountries,andpartlythatofbringingbackthebullion;
  boththeseitemsareinfluencedbythedistancefromthemines;
  andtheformerisalsomuchaffectedbythebulkinessofthe
  goods。Countrieswhoseexportableproduceconsistsofthefiner
  manufactures,obtainbullion,aswellasallotherforeign
  articles,caeterisparibus,atlessexpensethancountrieswhich
  exportnothingbutbulkyrawproduce。
  Tobequiteaccurate,therefore,wemustsay——Thecountries
  whoseexportableproductionsaremostindemandabroad,and
  containgreatestvalueinsmallestbulk,whicharenearesttothe
  mines,andwhichhaveleastdemandforforeignproductions,are
  thoseinwhichmoneywillbeoflowestvalue,orinotherwords,
  inwhichpriceswillhabituallyrangethehighest。Ifweare
  speakingnotofthevalueofmoney,butofitscost,(thatis,
  thequantityofthecountry’slabourwhichmustbeexpendedto
  obtainit,)wemustaddtothesefourconditionsofcheapnessa
  fifthcondition,namely,"whoseproductiveindustryisthemost
  efficient。"Thislast,however,doesnotatallaffectthevalue
  ofmoney,estimatedincommodities:itaffectsthegeneral
  abundanceandfacilitywithwhichallthings,moneyand
  commoditiestogether,canbeobtained。
  Although,therefore,MrSeniorisrightinpointingoutthe
  greatefficiencyofEnglishlabourasthechiefcausewhythe
  preciousmetalsareobtainedatlesscostbyEnglandthanbymost
  othercountries,Icannotadmitthatitatallaccountsfortheir
  beingoflessvalue;fortheirgoinglessfarinthepurchaseof
  commodities。This,insofarasitisafact,andnotan
  illusion,mustbeoccasionedbythegreatdemandinforeign
  countriesforthestaplecommoditiesofEngland,andthe
  generallyunbulkycharacterofthosecommodities,comparedwith
  thecorn,wine,timber,sugar,wool,hides,tallow,hemp,flax,
  tobacco,rawcotton,&c。,whichformtheexportsofother
  commercialcountries。Thesetwocauseswillaccountfora
  somewhathigherrangeofgeneralpricesinEnglandthan
  elsewhere,notwithstandingthecounteractinginfluenceofherown
  greatdemandforforeigncommodities。Iam,however,stronglyof
  opinionthatthehighpricesofcommodities,andlowpurchasing
  powerofmoneyinEngland,aremoreapparentthanreal。Food,
  indeed,issomewhatdearer;andfoodcomposessolargeaportion
  oftheexpenditurewhentheincomeissmallandthefamilylarge,
  thattosuchfamiliesEnglandisadearcountry。Services,also,
  ofmostdescriptions,aredearerthanintheothercountriesof
  Europe,fromthelesscostlymodeoflivingofthepoorerclasses
  ontheContinent。Butmanufacturedcommodities(exceptmostof
  thoseinwhichgoodtasteisrequired)aredecidedlycheaper;or
  wouldbeso,ifbuyerswouldbecontentwiththesamequalityof
  materialandofworkmanship。Whatiscalledthedearnessof
  livinginEngland,ismainlyanaffairnotofnecessitybutof
  foolishcustom;itbeingthoughtimperativebyallclassesin
  Englandabovetheconditionofaday—labourer,thatthethings
  theyconsumeshouldeitherbeofthesamequalitywiththoseused
  bymuchricherpeople,oratleastshouldbeasnearlyas
  possibleundistinguishablefromtheminoutwardappearance。
  3。Fromtheprecedingconsiderations,itappearsthatthose
  aregreatlyinerrorwhocontendthatthevalueofmoney,in
  countrieswhereitisanimportedcommodity,mustbeentirely
  regulatedbyitsvalueinthecountrieswhichproduceit;and
  cannotberaisedorloweredinanypermanentmannerunlesssome
  changehastakenplaceinthecostofproductionatthemines。On
  thecontrary,anycircumstancewhichdisturbstheequationof
  internationaldemandwithrespecttoaparticularcountry,not
  onlymay,butmust,affectthevalueofmoneyinthatcountry——
  itsvalueattheminesremainingthesame。Theopeningofanew
  branchofexporttradefromEngland;anincreaseintheforeign
  demandforEnglishproducts,eitherbythenaturalcourseof
  events,orbytheabrogationofduties;achecktothedemandin
  Englandforforeigncommodities,bythelayingonofimport
  dutiesinEnglandorofexportdutieselsewhere;theseandall
  othereventsofsimilartendency,wouldmaketheimportsof
  England(bullionandotherthingstakentogether)nolongeran
  equivalentfortheexports;andthecountrieswhichtakeher
  exportswouldbeobligedtooffertheircommodities,andbullion
  amongtherest,oncheaperterms,inordertore—establishthe
  equationofdemand:andthusEnglandwouldobtainmoneycheaper,
  andwouldacquireagenerallyhigherrangeofprices。Incidents
  thereverseofthesewouldproduceeffectsthereverse——would
  reduceprices;or,inotherwords,raisethevalueofthe
  preciousmetals。Itmustbeobserved,however,thatmoneywould
  bethusraisedinvalueonlywithrespecttohomecommodities:in
  relationtoallimportedarticlesitwouldremainasbefore,
  sincetheirvalueswouldbeaffectedinthesamewayandinthe
  samedegreewithitsown。Acountrywhich,fromanyofthecauses
  mentioned,getsmoneycheaper,obtainsallitsotherimports
  cheaperlikewise。
  Itisbynomeansnecessarythattheincreaseddemandfor
  Englishcommodities:whichenablesEnglandtosupplyherselfwith
  bullionatacheaperrate,shouldbeademandinthemining
  countries。Englandmightexportnothingwhatevertothose
  countries,andyetmightbethecountrywhichobtainedbullion
  fromthemonthelowestterms,providedtherewereasufficient
  intensityofdemandinotherforeigncountriesforEnglishgoods,
  whichwouldbepaidforcircuitously,withgoldandsilverfrom
  theminingcountries。Thewholeofitsexportsarewhatacountry
  exchangesagainstthewholeofitsimports,andnotitsexports
  andimportstoandfromanyonecountry;andthegeneralforeign
  demandforitsproductionswilldeterminewhatequivalentitmust
  giveforimportedgoods,inordertoestablishanequilibrium
  betweenitssalesandpurchasesgenerally;withoutregardtothe
  maintenanceofasimilarequilibriumbetweenitandanycountry
  singly。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book3:Distribution
  Chapter20
  OftheForeignExchanges
  1。Wehavethusfarconsideredthepreciousmetalsasa
  commodity,importedlikeothercommoditiesinthecommoncourse
  oftrade,andhaveexaminedwhatarethecircumstanceswhich
  wouldinthatcasedeterminetheirvalue。Butthosemetalsare
  alsoimportedinanothercharacter,thatwhichbelongstothemas
  amediumofexchange;notasanarticleofcommerce,tohesold
  formoney,butasthemselvesmoney,topayadebt,oreffecta
  transferofproperty。Itremainstoconsiderwhetherthe
  liabilityofgoldandsilvertobetransportedfromcountryto
  countryforsuchpurposes,inanywaymodifiestheconclusionswe
  havealreadyarrivedat,orplacesthosemetalsunderadifferent
  lawofvaluefromthattowhich,incommonwithallother
  importedcommodities,theywouldbesubjectifinternational
  tradewereanaffairofdirectbarter。
  Moneyissentfromonecountrytoanotherforvarious
  purposes:suchasthepaymentoftributesorsubsidies;
  remittancesofrevenuetoorfromdependencies,orofrentsor
  otherincomestotheirabsentowners;emigrationofcapital,or
  transmissionofitforforeigninvestment。Themostusual
  purpose,however,isthatofpaymentforgoods。Toshowinwhat
  circumstancesmoneyactuallypassesfromcountrytocountryfor
  thisoranyoftheotherpurposesmentioned,itisnecessary
  brieflytostatethenatureofthemechanismbywhich
  internationaltradeiscarriedon,whenittakesplacenotby
  barterbutthroughthemediumofmoney。
  2。Inpractice,theexportsandimportsofacountrynotonly
  arenotexchangeddirectlyagainsteachother,butoftendonot
  evenpassthroughthesamehands。Eachisseparatelyboughtand
  paidforwithmoney。Wehaveseen,however,that,eveninthe
  samecountry,moneydoesnotactuallypassfromhandtohandeach
  timethatpurchasesaremadewithit,andstilllessdoesthis
  happenbetweendifferentcountries。Thehabitualmodeofpaying
  andreceivingpaymentforcommodities,betweencountryand
  country,isbybillsofexchange。
  AmerchantinEngland,A,hasexportedEnglishcommodities,
  consigningthemtohiscorrespondentBinFrance。Another
  merchantinFrance,C,hasexportedFrenchcommodities,suppose
  ofequivalentvalue,toamerchantDinEngland。Itisevidently
  unnecessarythatBinFranceshouldsendmoneytoAinEngland,
  andthatDinEnglandshouldsendanequalsumofmoneytoCin
  France。Theonedebtmaybeappliedtothepaymentoftheother,
  andthedoublecostandriskofcarriagebethussaved。Adrawsa
  billonBfortheamountwhichBowestohim:D,havinganequal
  amounttopayinFrance,buysthisbillfromA,andsendsitto
  C,who,attheexpirationofthenumberofdayswhichthebill
  hastorun,presentsittoBforpayment。Thusthedebtduefrom
  FrancetoEngland,andthedebtduefromEnglandtoFrance,are
  bothpaidwithoutsendinganounceofgoldorsilverfromone
  countrytotheother。
  Inthisstatement,however,itissupposed,thatthesumof
  thedebtsduefromFrancetoEngland,andthesumofthosedue
  fromEnglandtoFrance,areequal;thateachcountryhasexactly
  thesamenumberofouncesofgoldorsilvertopayandto
  receive。Thisimplies(ifweexcludeforthepresentanyother
  internationalpaymentsthanthoseoccurringinthecourseof
  commerce),thattheexportsandimportsexactlypayforone
  another,orinotherwords,thattheequationofinternational
  demandisestablished。Whensuchisthefact,theinternational
  transactionsareliquidatedwithoutthepassageofanymoneyfrom
  onecountrytotheother。Butifthereisagreatersumduefrom
  EnglandtoFrance,thanisduefromFrancetoEngland,orvice
  versa,thedebtscannotbesimplywrittenoffagainstone
  another。Aftertheonehasbeenapplied,asfarasitwillgo,
  towardscoveringtheother,thebalancemustbetransmittedin
  thepreciousmetals。Inpointoffact,themerchantwhohasthe
  amounttopay,willeventhenpayforitbyabill。Whenaperson
  hasaremittancetomaketoaforeigncountry,hedoesnot
  himselfsearchforsomeonewhohasmoneytoreceivefromthat
  country,andaskhimforabillofexchange。Inthisasinother
  branchesofbusiness,thereisaclassofmiddlemenorbrokers,
  whobringbuyersandsellerstogether,orstandbetweenthem,
  buyingbillsfromthosewhohavemoneytoreceive,andselling
  billstothosewhohavemoneytopay。Whenacustomercomestoa
  brokerforabillonParisorAmsterdam,thebrokersellstohim,
  perhapsthebillhemayhimselfhaveboughtthatmorningfroma
  merchant,perhapsabillonhisowncorrespondentintheforeign
  city:andtoenablehiscorrespondenttopay,whendue,allthe
  billshehasgranted,heremitstohimallthosewhichhehaS
  boughtandhasnotresold。Inthismannerthesebrokerstakeupon
  themselvesthewholesettlementofthepecuniarytransactions
  betweendistantplaces,beingremuneratedbyasmallcommission
  orpercentageontheamountofeachbillwhichtheyeithersell
  orbuy。Now,ifthebrokersfindthattheyareaskedforbillson
  theonepart,toagreateramountthanbillsareofferedtothem
  ontheother,theydonotonthisaccountrefusetogivethem;
  butsince,inthatcase,theyhavenomeansofenablingthe
  correspondentsonwhomtheirbillsaredrawn,topaythemwhen
  due,exceptbytransmittingpartoftheamountingoldorsilver,
  theyrequirefromthosetowhomtheysellbillsanadditional
  price,sufficienttocoverthefreightandinsuranceofthegold
  andsilver,withaprofitsufficienttocompensatethemfortheir
  troubleandforthetemporaryoccupationofaportionoftheir
  capital。Thispremium(asitiscalled)thebuyersarewillingto
  pay,becausetheymustotherwisegototheexpenseofremitting
  thepreciousmetalsthemselves,anditisdonecheaperbythose
  whomakedoingitapartoftheirespecialbusiness。Butthough
  onlysomeofthosewhohaveadebttopaywouldhaveactuallyto
  remitmoney,allwillbeobliged,byeachother’scompetition,to
  paythepremium;andthebrokersareforthesamereasonobliged
  topayittothosewhosebillstheybuy。Thereverseofallthis
  happens,ifonthecomparisonofexportsandimports,the
  country,insteadofhavingabalancetopay,hasabalanceto
  receive。Thebrokersfindmorebillsofferedtothem,thanare
  sufficienttocoverthosewhichtheyarerequiredtogrant。Bills
  onforeigncountriesconsequentlyfalltoadiscount;andthe
  competitionamongthebrokers,whichisexceedinglyactive,
  preventsthemfromretainingthisdiscountasaprofitfor
  themselves,andobligesthemtogivethebenefitofittothose
  whobuythebillsforpurposesofremittance。
  Letussupposethatallcountrieshadthesamecurrency,as
  intheprogressofpoliticalimprovementtheyonedaywillhave:
  and,asthemostfamiliartothereader,thoughnotthebest,let
  ussupposethiscurrencytobetheEnglish。WhenEnglandhadthe
  samenumberofpoundssterlingtopaytoFrance,whichFrancehad
  topaytoher,onesetofmerchantsinEnglandwouldwantbills,
  andanothersetwouldhavebillstodisposeof,fortheverysame
  numberofpoundssterling;andconsequentlyabillonFrancefor
  100l。wouldsellforexactly100l。,or,inthephraseologyof
  merchants,theexchangewouldbeatpar。AsFrancealso,onthis
  supposition,wouldhaveanequalnumberofpoundssterlingtopay
  andtoreceive,billsonEnglandwouldbeatparinFrance,
  wheneverbillsonFrancewereatparinEngland。
  If,however,EnglandhadalargersumtopaytoFrancethan
  toreceivefromher,therewouldbepersonsrequiringbillson
  Franceforagreaternumberofpoundssterlingthantherewere
  billsdrawnbypersonstowhommoneywasdue。AbillonFrance
  for100l。wouldthensellformorethan100l。,andbiLlswouldbe
  saidtobeatapremium。Thepremium,however,couldnotexceed
  thecostandriskofmakingtheremittanceingold,togetherwith
  atriflingprofit;becauseifitdid,thedebtorwouLdsendthe
  golditself,inpreferencetobuyingthebill。
  If,onthecontrary,Englandhadmoremoneytoreceivefrom
  Francethantopay,therewouldbebillsofferedforagreater
  numberofpoundsthanwerewantedforremittance,andtheprice
  ofbillswouldfallbelowpar:abillfor100l。mightbebought
  forsomewhatlessthan100l。,andbillswouldbesaidtobeata
  discount。
  WhenEnglandhasmoretopaythantoreceive,Francehasmore
  toreceivethantopay,andviceversa。When,therefore,in
  England,billsonFrancebearapremium,then,inFrance,bills
  onEnglandareatadiscount:andwhenbillsonFranceareata
  discountinEngland,billsonEnglandareatapremiuminFrance。
  Iftheyareatparineithercountry,theyareso,aswehave
  alreadyseen,inboth。
  Thusdomattersstandbetweencountries,orplaces,which
  havethesamecurrency。Somuchofbarbarism,however,still
  remainsinthetransactionsofthemostcivilizednations,that
  almostallindependentcountrieschoosetoasserttheir
  nationalitybyhaving,totheirowninconvenienceandthatof
  theirneighbours,apeculiarcurrencyoftheirown。Toour
  presentpurposethismakesnootherdifference,thanthatinstead
  ofspeakingofequalsumsofmoney,wehavetospeakof
  equivalentsums。Byequivalentsums,whenbothcurrenciesare
  composedofthesamemetal,aremeantsumswhichcontainexactly
  thesamequantityofthemetal,inweightandfineness;butwhen,
  asinthecaseofFranceandEngland,themetalsaredifferent,
  whatismeantisthatthequantityofgoldintheonesum,and
  thequantityofsilverintheother,areofthesamevalueinthe
  generalmarketoftheworld:therebeingnomaterialdifference
  betweenoneplaceandanotherintherelativevalueofthese
  metals。Suppose25francstobe(aswithinatriflingfractionit
  is)theequivalentofapoundsterling。Thedebtsandcreditsof
  thetwocountrieswouldbeequal,whentheoneowedasmanytimes
  25francs,astheotherowedpounds。Whenthiswasthecase,a
  billonFrancefor2500francswouldbeworthinEngland100l。,
  andabillonEnglandfor100l。wouldbeworthinFrance2500
  francs。Theexchangeisthensaidtobeatpar:and25francs(in
  reality25francsandatriflemore)(1*)iscalledtheparof
  exchangewithFrance。WhenEnglandowedtoFrancemorethanthe
  equivalentofwhatFranceowedtoher,abillfor2500francs
  wouldbeatapremium,thatis,wouldbeworthmorethan100l。
  WhenFranceowedtoEnglandmorethantheequivalentofwhat
  EnglandowedtoFrance,abillfor2500francswouldbeworth
  lessthan100l。,orwouldbeatadiscount。
  Whenbillsonforeigncountriesareatapremium,itis
  customarytosaythattheexchangesareagainstthecountry,or
  unfavourabletoit。Inordertounderstandthesephrases,wemust
  takenoticeofwhat"theexchange,"inthelanguageofmerchants,
  reallymeans。Itmeansthepowerwhichthemoneyofthecountry
  hasofpurchasingthemoneyofothercountries。Supposing25
  francstobetheexactparofexchange,thenwhenitrequires
  morethan100l。tobuyabillfor2500francs,100l。ofEnglish
  moneyareworthlessthantheirrealequivalentofFrenchmoney:
  andthisiscalledanexchangeunfavourabletoEngland。Theonly
  personsinEngland,however,towhomitisreallyunfavourable,
  arethosewhohavemoneytopayinFrance;fortheycomeintothe
  billmarketasbuyers,andhavetopayapremium:buttothose
  whohavemoneytoreceiveinFrance,thesamestateofthingsis
  favourable;fortheycomeassellers,andreceivethepremium。
  Thepremium,however,indicatesthatabalanceisduebyEngland,
  whichmighthavetobeeventuallyliquidatedintheprecious
  metals:andsince,accordingtotheoldtheory,thebenefitofa
  tradeconsistedinbringingmoneyintothecountry,this
  prejudiceintroducedthepracticeofcallingtheexchange
  favourablewhenitindicatedabalancetoreceive,and
  unfavourablewhenitindicatedonetopay:andthephrasesin
  turntendedtomaintaintheprejudice。
  3。Itmightbesupposedatfirstsightthatwhentheexchange
  isunfavourable,orinotherwords,whenbillsareatapremium,
  thepremiummustalWaysamounttoafullequivalentforthecost
  oftransmittingmoney:since,asthereisreallyabalanceto
  pay,andasthefullcostmustthereforebeincurredbysomeof
  thosewhohaveremittancestomake,theircompetitionwillcompel
  alltosubmittoanequivalentsacrifice。Andsuchwould
  certainlybethecase,ifitwerealwaysnecessarythatwhatever
  isdestinedtobepaidshouldbepaidimmediately。The
  expectationofgreatandimmediateforeignpaymentssometimes
  producesamoststartlingeffectontheexchanges。(2*)Buta
  smallexcessofimportsaboveexports,oranyothersmallamount
  ofdebttobepaidtoforeigncountries,doesnotusuallyaffect
  theexchangestothefullextentofthecostandriskof
  transportingbullion。Thelengthofcreditallowed,generally
  permits,onthepartofsomeofthedebtors,apostponementof
  payment,andinthemeantimethebalancemayturntheotherway,
  andrestoretheequalityofdebtsandcreditswithoutanyactual
  transmissionofthemetals。Andthisisthemorelikelyto
  happen,asthereisaself—adjustingpowerinthevariationsof
  theexchangeitself。Billsareatapremiumbecauseagreater
  moneyvaluehasbeenimportedthanexported。Butthepremiumis
  itselfanextraprofittothosewhoexport。Besidestheprice
  theyobtainfortheirgoods,theydrawfortheamountandgain
  thepremium。Itis,ontheotherhand,adiminutionofprofitto
  thosewhoimport。Besidesthepriceofthegoods,theyhaveto
  payapremiumforremittance。Sothatwhatiscalledan
  unfavourableexchangeisanencouragementtoexport,anda
  discouragementtoimport。Andifthebalancedueisofsmall
  amount,andistheconsequenceofsomemerelycasualdisturbance
  intheordinarycourseoftrade,itissoonliquidatedin
  commodities,andtheaccountadjustedbymeansofbills,without
  thetransmissionofanybullion。Notso,however,whentheexcess
  ofimportsaboveexports,whichhasmadetheexchange
  unfavourable,arisesfromapermanentcause。Inthatcase,what
  disturbedtheequilibriummusthavebeenthestateofprices,and
  itcanonlyberestoredbyactingonprices。Itisimpossible
  thatpricesshouldbesuchastoinvitetoanexcessofimports,
  andyetthattheexportsshouldbekeptpermanentlyuptothe
  importsbytheextraprofitonexportationderivedfromthe
  premiumonbills;foriftheexportswerekeptuptotheimports,
  billswouldnotbeatapremium,andtheextraprofitwouldnot
  exist。Itisthroughthepricesofcommoditiesthatthe
  correctionmustbeadministered。
  Disturbances,therefore,oftheequilibriumofimportsand
  exports,andconsequentdisturbancesoftheexchange,maybe
  consideredasoftwoclasses;theonecasualoraccidental,
  which,ifnotontoolargeascale,correctthemselvesthrough
  thepremiumonbills,withoutanytransmissionoftheprecious
  metals;theotherarisingfromthegeneralstateofprices,which
  cannotbecorrectedwithoutthesubtractionofactualmoneyfrom
  thecirculationofoneofthecounties,oranannihilationof
  creditequivalenttoit;sincethemeretransmissionofbullion
  (asdistinguishedfrommoney),nothavinganyeffectonprices,
  isofnoavailtoabatethecausefromwhichthedisturbance
  proceeded。
  Itremainstoobserve,thattheexchangesdonotdependon
  thebalanceofdebtsandcreditswitheachcountryseparately,
  butwithallcountiestakentogether。Englandmayoweabalance
  ofpaymentstoFrance;butitdoesnotfollowthattheexchange
  withFrancewillbeagainstEngland,andthatbillsonFrance
  willbeatapremium;becauseabalancemaybeduetoEngland
  fromHollandorHamburg,andshemaypayherdebtstoFrancewith
  billsonthoseplaces;whichistechnicallycalledarbitrationof
  exchange。Thereissomelittleadditionalexpense,partly
  commissionandpartlylossofinterest,insettlingdebtsinthis
  circuitousmanner,andtotheextentofthatsmalldifferencethe
  exchangewithonecountrymayvaryapartfromthatwithothers;
  butinthemain,theexchangeswithallforeigncountriesvary
  together,accordingasthecountryhasabalancetoreceiveorto
  payonthegeneralresultofitsforeigntransactions。
  NOTES:
  1。Writtenbeforethechangeintherelativevalueofthetwo
  metalsproducedbythegolddiscoveries。Theparofexchange
  betweengoldandsilvercurrenciesisnowvariable,andnoone
  canforeseeatwhatpointitwillultimatelyrest。
  2。OnthenewsofBonaparte’slandingfromElba,thepriceof
  billsadvancedinonedayasmuchastenpercent。Ofcoursethis
  premiumwasnotamereequivalentforcostofcarriage,sincethe
  freightofsuchanarticleasgold,evenwiththeadditionofwar
  insurance,couldneverhaveamountedtosomuch。Thisgreatprice
  wasanequivalentnotforthedifficultyofsendinggold,butfor
  theanticipateddifficultyofprocuringittosend;the
  expectationbeingthattherewouldbesuchimmenseremittancesto
  theContinentinsubsidiesandforthesupportofarmies,as
  wouldpresshardonthestockofbullioninthecountry(which
  wasthenentirelydenudedofspecie),andthis,too,inashorter
  timethanwouldallowofitsbeingreplenished。Accordinglythe
  priceofbullionroselikewise,withthesamesuddenness。Itis
  hardlynecessarytosaythatthistookplaceduringtheBank
  restriction。Inaconvertiblestateofthecurrency,nosuch
  thingcouldhaveoccurreduntiltheBankstoppedpayment。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book3:Distribution
  Chapter21
  OftheDistributionofthePreciousMetalsThroughtheCommercial
  World
  1。Havingnowexaminedthemechanismbywhichthecommercial
  transactionsbetweennationsareactuallyconducted,wehavenext
  toinquirewhetherthismodeofconductingthemmakesany
  differenceintheconclusionsrespectinginternationalvalues,
  whichwepreviouslyarrivedatonthehypothesisofbarter。
  Thenearestanalogywouldleadustopresumethenegative。We
  didnotfindthattheinterventionofmoneyanditssubstitutes
  madeanydifferenceinthelawofvalueasappliedtoadjacent
  places。Thingswhichwouldhavebeenequalinvalueifthemode
  ofexchangehadbeenbybarter,areworthequalsumsofmoney。
  Theintroductionofmoneyisamereadditionofonemore
  commodity,ofwhichthevalueisregulatedbythesamelawsas
  thatofallothercommodities。Weshallnotbesurprised,
  therefore,ifwefindthatinternationalvaluesalsoare
  determinedbythesamecausesunderamoneyandbillsystem,as
  theywouldbeunderasystemofbarter;andthatmoneyhaslittle
  todointhematter,excepttofurnishaconvenientmodeof
  comparingvalues。
  Allinterchangeis,insubstanceandeffect,barter:whoever
  sellscommoditiesformoney,andwiththatmoneybuysother
  goods,reallybuysthosegoodswithhisowncommodities。Andso
  ofnations:theirtradeisamereexchangeofexportsfor
  imports:andwhethermoneyisemployedornot,thingsareonlyin
  theirpermanentstatewhentheexportsandimportsexactlypay
  foreachother。Whenthisisthecase,equalsumsofmoneyare
  duefromeachcountrytotheother,thedebtsaresettledby
  bills,andthereisnobalancetobepaidinthepreciousmetals。
  Thetradeisinastatelikethatwhichiscalledinmechanicsa
  conditionofstableequilibrium。
  Buttheprocessbywhichthingsarebroughtbacktothis
  statewhentheyhappentodeviatefromit,is,atleast
  outwardly,notthesameinabartersystemandinamoneysystem。
  Underthefirst,thecountrywhichwantsmoreimportsthanits
  exportswillpayfor,mustofferitsexportsatacheaperrate,
  asthesolemeansofcreatingademandforthemsufficientto
  re—establishtheequilibrium。Whenmoneyisused,thecountry
  seemstodoathingtotallydifferent。Shetakestheadditional
  importsatthesamepriceasbefore,andassheexportsno
  equivalent,thebalanceofpaymentsturnsagainsther;the
  exchangebecomesunfavourable,andthedifferencehastobepaid
  inmoney。Thisisinappearanceaverydistinctoperationfrom
  theformer。Letusseeifitdiffersinitsessence,oronlyin
  itsmechanism。
  LetthecountrywhichhasthebalancetopaybeEngland,and
  thecountrywhichreceivesit,France。Bythistransmissionof
  thepreciousmetals,thequantityofthecurrencyisdiminished
  inEngland,andincreasedinFrance。ThisIamatlibertyto
  assume。Asweshallseehereafter,itwouldbeaveryerroneous
  assumptionifmadeinregardtoallpaymentsofinternational
  balances。Abalancewhichhasonlytobepaidonce,suchasthe
  paymentmadeforanextraimportationofcorninaseasonof
  dearth,maybepaidfromhoards,orfromthereservesofbankers,
  withoutactingonthecirculation。Butwearenowsupposingthat
  thereisanexcessofimportsoverexports,arisingfromthefact
  thattheequationofinternationaldemandisnotyetestablished:
  thatthereisattheordinarypricesapermanentdemandin
  EnglandformoreFrenchgoodsthantheEnglishgoodsrequiredin
  Franceattheordinarypriceswillpayfor。Whenthisisthe
  case,ifachangewerenotmadeintheprices,therewouldbea
  perpetuallyrenewedbalancetobepaidinmoney。Theimports
  requiretobepermanentlydiminished,ortheexportstobe
  increased;whichcanonlybeaccomplishedthroughprices;and
  hence,evenifthebalancesareatfirstpaidfromhoards,orby
  theexportationofbullion,theywillreachthecirculationat
  last,foruntiltheydo,nothingcanstopthedrain。
  When,therefore,thestateofpricesissuchthatthe
  equationofinternationaldemandcannotestablishitself,the
  countryrequiringmoreimportsthancanbepaidforbythe
  exports;itisasignthatthecountryhasmoreoftheprecious
  metalsortheirsubstitutes,incirculation,thancanpermanently
  circulate,andmustnecessarilypartwithsomeofthembeforethe
  balancecanberestored。Thecurrencyisaccordinglycontracted:
  pricesfall,andamongtherest,thepricesofexportable
  articles;forwhich,accordingly,therearises,inforeign
  countries,agreaterdemand:whileimportedcommoditieshave
  possiblyriseninprice,fromtheinfluxofmoneyintoforeign
  countries,andatalleventshavenotparticipatedinthegeneral
  fall。ButuntiltheincreasedcheapnessofEnglishgoodsinduces
  foreigncountriestotakeagreaterpecuniaryvalue,oruntilthe
  increaseddearness(positiveorcomparative)offoreigngoods
  makesEnglandtakealesspecuniaryvalue,theexportsofEngland
  willbenonearertopayingfortheimportsthanbefore,andthe
  streamofthepreciousmetalswhichhadbeguntoflowoutof
  England,willstillflowon。Thiseffluxwillcontinue,untilthe
  fallofpricesinEnglandbringswithinreachoftheforeign
  marketsomecommoditywhichEnglanddidnotpreviouslysend
  thither;oruntilthereducedpriceofthethingswhichshedid
  send,hasforcedademandabroadforasufficientquantitytopay
  fortheimports,aided,perhaps,byareductionoftheEnglish
  demandforforeigngoods,throughtheirenhancedprice,either
  positiveorcomparative。
  Nowthisistheveryprocesswhichtookplaceonouroriginal
  suppositionofbarter。Notonly,therefore,doesthetrade
  betweennationstendtothesameequilibriumbetweenexportsand
  imports,whethermoneyisemployedornot,butthemeansbywhich
  thisequilibriumisestablishedareessentiallythesame。The
  countrywhoseexportsarenotsufficienttopayforherimports,
  offersthemoncheaperterms,untilshesucceedsinforcingthe
  necessarydemand:inotherwords,theEquationofInternational
  Demand,underamoneysystemaswellasunderabartersystem,is
  thelawofinternationaltrade。Everycountryexportsandimports
  theverysamethings,andintheverysamequantity,underthe
  onesystemasundertheother。Inabartersystem,thetrade
  gravitatestothepointatwhichthesumoftheimportsexactly
  exchangesforthesumoftheexports:inamoneysystem,it
  gravitatestothepointatwhichthesumoftheimportsandthe
  sumoftheexportsexchangeforthesamequantityofmoney。And
  sincethingswhichareequaltothesamethingareequaltoone
  another,theexportsandimportswhichareequalinmoneyprice,
  would,ifmoneywerenotused,preciselyexchangeforone
  another。(1*)
  2。Itthusappearsthatthelawofinternationalvalues,and,
  consequently,thedivisionoftheadvantagesoftradeamongthe
  nationswhichcarryiton,arethesame,onthesuppositionof
  money,astheywouldbeinastateofbarter。Ininternational,
  asinordinarydomesticinterchanges,moneyistocommerceonly
  whatoilistomachinery,orrailwaystolocomotion—acontrivance
  todiminishfriction。Inorderstillfurthertotestthese
  conclusions,letusproceedtore—examine,onthesuppositionof
  money,aquestionwhichwehavealreadyinvestigatedonthe
  hypothesisofbarter,namely,towhatextentthebenefitofan
  improvementintheproductionofanexportablearticle,is
  participatedinbythecountriesimportingit。
  Theimprovementmayeitherconsistinthecheapeningofsome
  articlewhichwasalreadyastapleproductionofthecountry,or
  intheestablishmentofsomenewbranchofindustry,orofsome
  processrenderinganarticleexportablewhichhadnottillthen
  beenexportedatall。Itwillbeconvenienttobeginwiththe
  caseofanewexport,asbeingsomewhatthesimplerofthetwo。
  Thefirsteffectisthatthearticlefallsinprice,anda
  demandarisesforitabroad。Thisnewexportationdisturbsthe
  balance,turnstheexchanges,moneyflowsintothecountry(which
  weshallsupposetobeEngland),andcontinuestoflowuntil
  pricesrise。Thishigherrangeofpriceswillsomewhatcheckthe
  demandinforeigncountriesforthenewarticleofexport;and
  diminishthedemandwhichexistedabroadfortheotherthings
  whichEnglandwasinthehabitofexporting。Theexportswill
  thusbediminished;whileatthesametimetheEnglishpublic,
  havingmoremoney,willhaveagreaterpowerofpurchasing
  foreigncommodities。Iftheymakeuseofthisincreasedpowerof
  purchase,therewillbeanincreaseofimports:andbythis,and
  thechecktoexportation,theequilibriumofimportsandexports
  willberestored。Theresulttoforeigncountrieswillbe,that
  theyhavetopaydearerthanbeforefortheirotherimports,and
  obtainthenewcommoditycheaperthanbefore,butnotsomuch
  cheaperasEnglandherselfdoes。Isaythis,beingwellaware
  thatthearticlewouldbeactuallyattheverysameprice(cost
  ofcarriageexcepted)inEnglandandinothercountries。The
  cheapness,however,ofthearticleisnotmeasuredsolelybythe
  money—price,butbythatpricecomparedwiththemoneyincomesof
  theconsumers。ThepriceisthesametotheEnglishandtothe
  foreignconsumers;buttheformerpaythatpricefrommoney
  incomeswhichhavebeenincreasedbythenewdistributionofthe
  preciousmetals;whilethelatterhavehadtheirmoneyincomes
  probablydiminishedbythesamecause。Thetrade,therefore,has
  notimpartedtotheforeignconsumerthewhole,butonlya
  portion,ofthebenefitwhichtheEnglishconsumerhasderived
  fromtheimprovement;whileEnglandhasalsobenefitedinthe
  pricesofforeigncommodities。Thus,then,anyindustrial
  improvementwhichleadstotheopeningofanewbranchofexport
  trade,benefitsacountrynotonlybythecheapnessofthe
  articleinwhichtheimprovementhastakenplace,butbya
  generalcheapeningofallimportedproducts。
  Letusnowchangethehypothesis,andsupposethatthe
  improvement,insteadofcreatinganewexportfromEngland,
  cheapensanexistingone。Whenweexaminedthiscaseonthe
  suppositionofbarter,itappearedtousthattheforeign
  consumersmighteitherobtainthesamebenefitfromthe
  improvementasEnglandherself,oralessbenefit,orevena
  greaterbenefit,accordingtothedegreeinwhichtheconsumption
  ofthecheapenedarticleiscalculatedtoextenditselfasthe
  articlediminishesinprice。Thesameconclusionswillbefound
  trueonthesuppositionofmoney。
  Letthecommodityinwhichthereisanimprovement,becloth。
  Thefirsteffectoftheimprovementisthatitspricefalls,and
  thereisanincreaseddemandforitintheforeignmarket。But
  thisdemandisofuncertainamount。Supposetheforeignconsumers
  toincreasetheirpurchasesintheexactratioofthecheapness,
  orinotherwords,tolayoutincloththesamesumofmoneyas
  before,thesameaggregatepaymentasbeforewillbeduefrom
  foreigncountriestoEngland;theequilibriumofexportsand
  importswillremainundisturbed,andforeignerswillobtainthe
  fulladvantageoftheincreasedcheapnessofcloth。Butifthe
  foreigndemandforclothisofsuchacharacterastoincreasein
  agreaterratiothanthecheapness,alargersumthanformerly
  willbeduetoEnglandforcloth,andwhenpaidwillraise
  Englishprices,thepriceofclothincluded;thisrise,however,
  willaffectonlytheforeignpurchaser,Englishincomesbeing
  raisedinacorrespondingproportion;andtheforeignconsumer
  willthusderivealessadvantagethanEnglandfromthe
  improvement。If,onthecontrary,thecheapeningofclothdoes
  notextendtheforeigndemandforitinaproportionaldegree,a
  lesssumofdebtsthanbeforewillbeduetoEnglandforcloth,
  whiletherewillbetheusualsumofdebtsduefromEnglandto
  foreigncountries;thebalanceoftradewillturnagainst
  England,moneywillbeexported,prices(thatofclothincluded)
  willfall,andclothwilleventuallybecheapenedtotheforeign
  purchaserinastillgreaterratio,thantheimprovementhas
  cheapenedittoEngland。Thesearetheveryconclusionswhichwe
  deducedonthehypothesisofbarter。
  Theresultoftheprecedingdiscussioncannotbebetter
  summedupthaninthewordsofRicardo。(2*)"Goldandsilver
  havingbeenchosenforthegeneralmediumofcirculation,they
  are,bythecompetitionofcommerce,distributedinsuch
  proportionsamongstthedifferentcountriesoftheworldasto
  accommodatethemselvestothenaturaltrafficwhichwouldtake
  placeifnosuchmetalsexisted,andthetradebetweencountries
  werepurelyatradeofbarter。"Ofthisprinciple,sofertilein
  consequences,previoustowhichthetheoryofforeigntradewas
  anunintelligiblechaos,Mr。Ricardo,thoughhedidnotpursueit
  intoitsramifications,wastherealoriginator。Nowriterwho
  precededhimappearstohavehadaglimpseofit:andfeware
  thosewhoevensincehistimehavehadanadequateconceptionof
  itsscientificvalue。
  3。Itisnownecessarytoinquire,inwhatmannerthislawof
  thedistributionofthepreciousmetalsbymeansofthe
  exchanges,affectstheexchangevalueofmoneyitself;andhowit
  tallieswiththelawbywhichwefoundthatthevalueofmoneyis
  regulatedwhenimportedasamerearticleofmerchandize。For
  thereishereasemblanceofcontradiction,whichhas,Ithink,
  contributedmorethananythingelsetomakesomedistinguished
  politicaleconomistsresisttheevidenceofthepreceding
  doctrines。Money,theyjustlythink,isnoexceptiontothe
  generallawsofvalue;itisacommoditylikeanyother,andits
  averageornaturalvaluemustdependonthecostofproducing,or
  atleastofobtainingit。Thatitsdistributionthroughthe
  world,therefore,anditsdifferentvalueindifferentplaces,
  shouldbeliabletobealtered,notbycausesaffectingitself,
  butbyahundredcausesunconnectedwithit;byeverythingwhich
  affectsthetradeinothercommodities,soastoderangethe
  equilibriumofexportsandimports;appearstothesethinkersa
  doctrinealtogetherinadmissible。