Inthecasejustnowsupposed,ofacompetitionbetweenEnglandandFrance,thestateofinternationalvaluesaffectedbothcompetitorsalike,sincetheyweresupposedtotradewiththesamecountry,andtoexportandimportthesamecommodities。
Thedifference,therefore,inwhattheirimportscostthem,dependedsolelyontheothercause,theunequalefficiencyoftheirlabour。Theygavethesamequantities;thedifferencecouldonlybeinthecostofproduction。ButifEnglandtradedtoGermanywithcloth,andFrancewithiron,thecomparativedemandinGermanyforthosetwocommoditieswouldbearashareindeterminingthecomparativecost,inlabourandcapital,withwhichEnglandandFrancewouldobtainGermanproducts。IfironweremoreindemandinGermanythancloth,Francewouldrecover,throughthatchannel,partofherdisadvantage;ifless,herdisadvantagewouldbeincreased。Theefficiency,therefore,ofacountry’slabour,isnottheonlythingwhichdetermineseventhecostatwhichthatcountryobtainsimportedcommodities——whileithasnosharewhateverindeterminingeithertheirexchangevalue,or,asweshallpresentlysee,theirprice。
NOTES:
1。Supra,bookiii,chap。ii。section4。
2。Itmaybeasked,whywehavesupposedthenumberntohaveasitsextremelimits,mand2m(orp/qm)?whymaynotnbelessthanm,orgreaterthan2m;andifso,whatwillbetheresult?
Thisweshallnowexamine,andwhenwedosoitwillappearthatnisalways,practicallyspeaking,codedwithintheselimits。
Suppose,forexample,thatnislessthanm;or,revertingtoourformerfigures,thatthemillionyardsofcloth,whichEnglandcanmake,willnotsatisfythewholeofGermany’spre—existingdemand;thatdemandbeing(letussuppose)for1,200,000yards。Itwouldthen,atfirstsight,appearthatEnglandwouldsupplyGermanywithclothuptotheextentofamillion;thatGermanywouldcontinuetosupplyherselfwiththeremaining200,000byhomeproduction:thatthisportionofthesupplywouldregulatethepriceofthewhole;thatEnglandthereforewouldbeablepermanentlytosellhermillionofclothattheGermancostofproduction(viz。fortwomillionsoflinen)
andwouldgainthewholeadvantageofthetrade,Germanybeingnobetteroffthanbefore。
Thatsuch,however,wouldnotbethepracticalresult,willsoonbeevident。TheresiduarydemandofGermanyfor200,000
yardsofclothfurnishesaresourcetoEnglandforpurposesofforeigntradeofwhichitisstillherinteresttoavailherself;
andthoughshehasnomorelabourandcapitalwhichshecanwithdrawfromlinenfortheproductionofthisextraquantityofcloth,theremustbesomeothercommoditiesinwhichGermanyhasarelativeadvantageoverher(thoughperhapsnotsogreatasinlinen):theseshewillnowimport,insteadofproducing,andthelabourandcapitalformerlyemployedinproducingthemwillbetransferredtocloth,untiltherequiredamountismadeup。Ifthistransferjustmakesupthe200,000andnomore,thisaugmentednwillnowbeequaltom;Englandwillsellthewhole1,200,000attheGermanvalues;andwillstillgainthewholeadvantageofthetrade。Butifthetransfermakesupmorethanthe200,000,Englandwillhavemorecloththan1,200,000yardstooffer;nwillbecomegreaterthanm,andEnglandmustpartwithenoughoftheadvantagetoinduceGermanytotakethesurplus。
Thusthecasewhichseemedatfirstsighttobebeyondthelimits,istransformedpracticallyintoacaseeithercoincidingwithoneofthelimitsorbetweenthem。Andsowitheveryothercasewhichcanbesupposed。
3。Theincreaseofdemandfrom800,000to900,000,andthatfromamillionto1,440,000,areneitherequalinthemselves,norbearanequalproportiontotheincreaseofcheapness。Germany’sdemandforclothhasincreasedone—eighth,whilethecheapnessisincreasedone—fourth。England’sdemandforlineniscreased44
percent,whilethecheapnessisincreased60percent。
4。ThreeLecturesontheCostofObtainingMoney。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter19
OfMoney,ConsideredasanImportedCommodity
1。Thedegreeofprogresswhichwehavenowmadeinthe
theoryofForeignTrade,putsitinourpowertosupplywhatwas
previouslydeficientinourviewofthetheoryofMoney;and
this,whencompleted,willinitsturnenableustoconcludethe
subjectofForeignTrade。
Money,orthematerialofwhichitiscomposed,is,inGreat
Britain,andinmostothercountries,aforeigncommodity。Its
valueanddistributionmustthereforeberegulated,notbythe
lawofvaluewhichobtainsinadjacentplaces,butbythatwhich
isapplicabletoimportedcommodities——thelawofInternational
Values。
Inthediscussionintowhichwearenowabouttoenter,I
shallusethetermsMoneyandthePreciousMetals
indiscriminately。Thismaybedonewithoutleadingtoanyerror;
ithavingbeenshownthatthevalueofmoney,whenitconsistsof
thepreciousmetals,orofapapercurrencyconvertibleintothem
ondemand,isentirelygovernedbythevalueofthemetals
themselves:fromwhichitneverpermanentlydiffers,exceptby
theexpenseofcoinagewhenthisispaidbytheindividualand
notbythestate。
Moneyisbroughtintoacountryintwodifferentways。Itis
imported(chieflyintheformofbullion)likeanyother
merchandize,asbeinganadvantageousarticleofcommerce。Itis
alsoimportedinitsothercharacterofamediumofexchange,to
paysomedebtduetothecountry,eitherforgoodsexportedoron
anyotheraccount。Thereareotherwaysinwhichitmaybe
introducedcasually;thesearethetwoinwhichitisreceivedin
theordinarycourseofbusiness,andwhichdetermineitsvalue。
Theexistenceofthesetwodistinctmodesinwhichmoneyflows
intoacountry,whileothercommoditiesarehabituallyintroduced
onlyinthefirstofthesemodes,occasionssomewhatmoreof
complexityandobscuritythanexistsinthecaseofother
commodities,andforthisreasononlyisanyspecialandminute
expositionnecessary。
2。Insofarasthepreciousmetalsareimportedinthe
ordinarywayofcommerce,theirvaluemustdependonthesame
causes,andconformtothesamelaws,asthevalueofanyother
foreignproduction。Itisinthismodechieflythatgoldand
silverdiffusethemselvesfromtheminingcountriesintoall
otherpartsofthecommercialworld。Theyarethestaple
commoditiesofthosecountries,oratleastareamongtheirgreat
articlesofregularexport;andareshippedonspeculation,in
thesamemannerasotherexportablecommodities。Thequantity,
therefore,whichacountry(sayEngland)willgiveofitsown
produce,foracertainquantityofbullion,willdepend,ifwe
supposeonlytwocountriesandtwocommodities,uponthedemand
inEnglandforbullion,comparedwiththedemandinthemining
country(whichwewillcallBrazil)forwhatEnglandhastogive。
Theymustexchangeinsuchproportionsaswillleaveno
unsatisfieddemandoneitherside,toaltervaluesbyits
competition。ThebullionrequiredbyEnglandmustexactlypayfor
thecottonsorotherEnglishcommoditiesrequiredbyBrazil。If,
however,wesubstituteforthissimplicitythedegreeof
complicationwhichreallyexists,theequationofinternational
demandmustbeestablishednotbetweenthebullionwantedin
EnglandandthecottonsorbroadclothwantedinBrazil,but
betweenthewholeoftheimportsofEnglandandthewholeofher
exports。ThedemandinforeigncountriesforEnglishproducts,
mustbebroughtintoequilibriumwiththedemandinEnglandfor
theproductsofforeigncountries;andallforeigncommodities,
billionamongtherest,mustbeexchangedagainstEnglish
productsinsuchproportions,aswill,bytheeffecttheyproduce
onthedemand,establishthisequilibrium。
Thereisnothinginthepeculiarnatureorusesofthe
preciousmetals,whichshouldmakethemanexceptiontothe
generalprinciplesofdemand。Sofarastheyarewantedfor
purposesofluxuryorthearts,thedemandincreaseswiththe
cheapness,inthesameirregularwayasthedemandforanyother
commodity。Sofarastheyarerequiredformoney,thedemand
increaseswiththecheapnessinaperfectlyregularway,the
quantityneededbeingalwaysininverseproportiontothevalue。
Thisistheonlyrealdifference,inrespecttodemand,between
moneyandotherthings;andforthepresentpurposeitisa
differencealtogetherimmaterial。
Money,then,ifimportedsolelyasamerchandize,will,like
otherimportedcommodities,beoflowestvalueinthecountries
forwhoseexportsthereisthegreatestforeigndemand,andwhich
havethemselvestheleastdemandforforeigncommodities。To
thesetwocircumstancesitishowevernecessarytoaddtwo
others,whichproducetheireffectthroughcostofcarriage。The
costofobtainingbullioniscompoundedoftwoelements;the
goodsgiventopurchaseit,andtheexpenseoftransport:of
whichlast,thebullioncountrieswillbearapart,(thoughan
uncertainpart,)intheadjustmentofinternationalvalues。The
expenseoftransportispartlythatofcarryingthegoodstothe
bullioncountries,andpartlythatofbringingbackthebullion;
boththeseitemsareinfluencedbythedistancefromthemines;
andtheformerisalsomuchaffectedbythebulkinessofthe
goods。Countrieswhoseexportableproduceconsistsofthefiner
manufactures,obtainbullion,aswellasallotherforeign
articles,caeterisparibus,atlessexpensethancountrieswhich
exportnothingbutbulkyrawproduce。
Tobequiteaccurate,therefore,wemustsay——Thecountries
whoseexportableproductionsaremostindemandabroad,and
containgreatestvalueinsmallestbulk,whicharenearesttothe
mines,andwhichhaveleastdemandforforeignproductions,are
thoseinwhichmoneywillbeoflowestvalue,orinotherwords,
inwhichpriceswillhabituallyrangethehighest。Ifweare
speakingnotofthevalueofmoney,butofitscost,(thatis,
thequantityofthecountry’slabourwhichmustbeexpendedto
obtainit,)wemustaddtothesefourconditionsofcheapnessa
fifthcondition,namely,"whoseproductiveindustryisthemost
efficient。"Thislast,however,doesnotatallaffectthevalue
ofmoney,estimatedincommodities:itaffectsthegeneral
abundanceandfacilitywithwhichallthings,moneyand
commoditiestogether,canbeobtained。
Although,therefore,MrSeniorisrightinpointingoutthe
greatefficiencyofEnglishlabourasthechiefcausewhythe
preciousmetalsareobtainedatlesscostbyEnglandthanbymost
othercountries,Icannotadmitthatitatallaccountsfortheir
beingoflessvalue;fortheirgoinglessfarinthepurchaseof
commodities。This,insofarasitisafact,andnotan
illusion,mustbeoccasionedbythegreatdemandinforeign
countriesforthestaplecommoditiesofEngland,andthe
generallyunbulkycharacterofthosecommodities,comparedwith
thecorn,wine,timber,sugar,wool,hides,tallow,hemp,flax,
tobacco,rawcotton,&c。,whichformtheexportsofother
commercialcountries。Thesetwocauseswillaccountfora
somewhathigherrangeofgeneralpricesinEnglandthan
elsewhere,notwithstandingthecounteractinginfluenceofherown
greatdemandforforeigncommodities。Iam,however,stronglyof
opinionthatthehighpricesofcommodities,andlowpurchasing
powerofmoneyinEngland,aremoreapparentthanreal。Food,
indeed,issomewhatdearer;andfoodcomposessolargeaportion
oftheexpenditurewhentheincomeissmallandthefamilylarge,
thattosuchfamiliesEnglandisadearcountry。Services,also,
ofmostdescriptions,aredearerthanintheothercountriesof
Europe,fromthelesscostlymodeoflivingofthepoorerclasses
ontheContinent。Butmanufacturedcommodities(exceptmostof
thoseinwhichgoodtasteisrequired)aredecidedlycheaper;or
wouldbeso,ifbuyerswouldbecontentwiththesamequalityof
materialandofworkmanship。Whatiscalledthedearnessof
livinginEngland,ismainlyanaffairnotofnecessitybutof
foolishcustom;itbeingthoughtimperativebyallclassesin
Englandabovetheconditionofaday—labourer,thatthethings
theyconsumeshouldeitherbeofthesamequalitywiththoseused
bymuchricherpeople,oratleastshouldbeasnearlyas
possibleundistinguishablefromtheminoutwardappearance。
3。Fromtheprecedingconsiderations,itappearsthatthose
aregreatlyinerrorwhocontendthatthevalueofmoney,in
countrieswhereitisanimportedcommodity,mustbeentirely
regulatedbyitsvalueinthecountrieswhichproduceit;and
cannotberaisedorloweredinanypermanentmannerunlesssome
changehastakenplaceinthecostofproductionatthemines。On
thecontrary,anycircumstancewhichdisturbstheequationof
internationaldemandwithrespecttoaparticularcountry,not
onlymay,butmust,affectthevalueofmoneyinthatcountry——
itsvalueattheminesremainingthesame。Theopeningofanew
branchofexporttradefromEngland;anincreaseintheforeign
demandforEnglishproducts,eitherbythenaturalcourseof
events,orbytheabrogationofduties;achecktothedemandin
Englandforforeigncommodities,bythelayingonofimport
dutiesinEnglandorofexportdutieselsewhere;theseandall
othereventsofsimilartendency,wouldmaketheimportsof
England(bullionandotherthingstakentogether)nolongeran
equivalentfortheexports;andthecountrieswhichtakeher
exportswouldbeobligedtooffertheircommodities,andbullion
amongtherest,oncheaperterms,inordertore—establishthe
equationofdemand:andthusEnglandwouldobtainmoneycheaper,
andwouldacquireagenerallyhigherrangeofprices。Incidents
thereverseofthesewouldproduceeffectsthereverse——would
reduceprices;or,inotherwords,raisethevalueofthe
preciousmetals。Itmustbeobserved,however,thatmoneywould
bethusraisedinvalueonlywithrespecttohomecommodities:in
relationtoallimportedarticlesitwouldremainasbefore,
sincetheirvalueswouldbeaffectedinthesamewayandinthe
samedegreewithitsown。Acountrywhich,fromanyofthecauses
mentioned,getsmoneycheaper,obtainsallitsotherimports
cheaperlikewise。
Itisbynomeansnecessarythattheincreaseddemandfor
Englishcommodities:whichenablesEnglandtosupplyherselfwith
bullionatacheaperrate,shouldbeademandinthemining
countries。Englandmightexportnothingwhatevertothose
countries,andyetmightbethecountrywhichobtainedbullion
fromthemonthelowestterms,providedtherewereasufficient
intensityofdemandinotherforeigncountriesforEnglishgoods,
whichwouldbepaidforcircuitously,withgoldandsilverfrom
theminingcountries。Thewholeofitsexportsarewhatacountry
exchangesagainstthewholeofitsimports,andnotitsexports
andimportstoandfromanyonecountry;andthegeneralforeign
demandforitsproductionswilldeterminewhatequivalentitmust
giveforimportedgoods,inordertoestablishanequilibrium
betweenitssalesandpurchasesgenerally;withoutregardtothe
maintenanceofasimilarequilibriumbetweenitandanycountry
singly。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter20
OftheForeignExchanges
1。Wehavethusfarconsideredthepreciousmetalsasa
commodity,importedlikeothercommoditiesinthecommoncourse
oftrade,andhaveexaminedwhatarethecircumstanceswhich
wouldinthatcasedeterminetheirvalue。Butthosemetalsare
alsoimportedinanothercharacter,thatwhichbelongstothemas
amediumofexchange;notasanarticleofcommerce,tohesold
formoney,butasthemselvesmoney,topayadebt,oreffecta
transferofproperty。Itremainstoconsiderwhetherthe
liabilityofgoldandsilvertobetransportedfromcountryto
countryforsuchpurposes,inanywaymodifiestheconclusionswe
havealreadyarrivedat,orplacesthosemetalsunderadifferent
lawofvaluefromthattowhich,incommonwithallother
importedcommodities,theywouldbesubjectifinternational
tradewereanaffairofdirectbarter。
Moneyissentfromonecountrytoanotherforvarious
purposes:suchasthepaymentoftributesorsubsidies;
remittancesofrevenuetoorfromdependencies,orofrentsor
otherincomestotheirabsentowners;emigrationofcapital,or
transmissionofitforforeigninvestment。Themostusual
purpose,however,isthatofpaymentforgoods。Toshowinwhat
circumstancesmoneyactuallypassesfromcountrytocountryfor
thisoranyoftheotherpurposesmentioned,itisnecessary
brieflytostatethenatureofthemechanismbywhich
internationaltradeiscarriedon,whenittakesplacenotby
barterbutthroughthemediumofmoney。
2。Inpractice,theexportsandimportsofacountrynotonly
arenotexchangeddirectlyagainsteachother,butoftendonot
evenpassthroughthesamehands。Eachisseparatelyboughtand
paidforwithmoney。Wehaveseen,however,that,eveninthe
samecountry,moneydoesnotactuallypassfromhandtohandeach
timethatpurchasesaremadewithit,andstilllessdoesthis
happenbetweendifferentcountries。Thehabitualmodeofpaying
andreceivingpaymentforcommodities,betweencountryand
country,isbybillsofexchange。
AmerchantinEngland,A,hasexportedEnglishcommodities,
consigningthemtohiscorrespondentBinFrance。Another
merchantinFrance,C,hasexportedFrenchcommodities,suppose
ofequivalentvalue,toamerchantDinEngland。Itisevidently
unnecessarythatBinFranceshouldsendmoneytoAinEngland,
andthatDinEnglandshouldsendanequalsumofmoneytoCin
France。Theonedebtmaybeappliedtothepaymentoftheother,
andthedoublecostandriskofcarriagebethussaved。Adrawsa
billonBfortheamountwhichBowestohim:D,havinganequal
amounttopayinFrance,buysthisbillfromA,andsendsitto
C,who,attheexpirationofthenumberofdayswhichthebill
hastorun,presentsittoBforpayment。Thusthedebtduefrom
FrancetoEngland,andthedebtduefromEnglandtoFrance,are
bothpaidwithoutsendinganounceofgoldorsilverfromone
countrytotheother。
Inthisstatement,however,itissupposed,thatthesumof
thedebtsduefromFrancetoEngland,andthesumofthosedue
fromEnglandtoFrance,areequal;thateachcountryhasexactly
thesamenumberofouncesofgoldorsilvertopayandto
receive。Thisimplies(ifweexcludeforthepresentanyother
internationalpaymentsthanthoseoccurringinthecourseof
commerce),thattheexportsandimportsexactlypayforone
another,orinotherwords,thattheequationofinternational
demandisestablished。Whensuchisthefact,theinternational
transactionsareliquidatedwithoutthepassageofanymoneyfrom
onecountrytotheother。Butifthereisagreatersumduefrom
EnglandtoFrance,thanisduefromFrancetoEngland,orvice
versa,thedebtscannotbesimplywrittenoffagainstone
another。Aftertheonehasbeenapplied,asfarasitwillgo,
towardscoveringtheother,thebalancemustbetransmittedin
thepreciousmetals。Inpointoffact,themerchantwhohasthe
amounttopay,willeventhenpayforitbyabill。Whenaperson
hasaremittancetomaketoaforeigncountry,hedoesnot
himselfsearchforsomeonewhohasmoneytoreceivefromthat
country,andaskhimforabillofexchange。Inthisasinother
branchesofbusiness,thereisaclassofmiddlemenorbrokers,
whobringbuyersandsellerstogether,orstandbetweenthem,
buyingbillsfromthosewhohavemoneytoreceive,andselling
billstothosewhohavemoneytopay。Whenacustomercomestoa
brokerforabillonParisorAmsterdam,thebrokersellstohim,
perhapsthebillhemayhimselfhaveboughtthatmorningfroma
merchant,perhapsabillonhisowncorrespondentintheforeign
city:andtoenablehiscorrespondenttopay,whendue,allthe
billshehasgranted,heremitstohimallthosewhichhehaS
boughtandhasnotresold。Inthismannerthesebrokerstakeupon
themselvesthewholesettlementofthepecuniarytransactions
betweendistantplaces,beingremuneratedbyasmallcommission
orpercentageontheamountofeachbillwhichtheyeithersell
orbuy。Now,ifthebrokersfindthattheyareaskedforbillson
theonepart,toagreateramountthanbillsareofferedtothem
ontheother,theydonotonthisaccountrefusetogivethem;
butsince,inthatcase,theyhavenomeansofenablingthe
correspondentsonwhomtheirbillsaredrawn,topaythemwhen
due,exceptbytransmittingpartoftheamountingoldorsilver,
theyrequirefromthosetowhomtheysellbillsanadditional
price,sufficienttocoverthefreightandinsuranceofthegold
andsilver,withaprofitsufficienttocompensatethemfortheir
troubleandforthetemporaryoccupationofaportionoftheir
capital。Thispremium(asitiscalled)thebuyersarewillingto
pay,becausetheymustotherwisegototheexpenseofremitting
thepreciousmetalsthemselves,anditisdonecheaperbythose
whomakedoingitapartoftheirespecialbusiness。Butthough
onlysomeofthosewhohaveadebttopaywouldhaveactuallyto
remitmoney,allwillbeobliged,byeachother’scompetition,to
paythepremium;andthebrokersareforthesamereasonobliged
topayittothosewhosebillstheybuy。Thereverseofallthis
happens,ifonthecomparisonofexportsandimports,the
country,insteadofhavingabalancetopay,hasabalanceto
receive。Thebrokersfindmorebillsofferedtothem,thanare
sufficienttocoverthosewhichtheyarerequiredtogrant。Bills
onforeigncountriesconsequentlyfalltoadiscount;andthe
competitionamongthebrokers,whichisexceedinglyactive,
preventsthemfromretainingthisdiscountasaprofitfor
themselves,andobligesthemtogivethebenefitofittothose
whobuythebillsforpurposesofremittance。
Letussupposethatallcountrieshadthesamecurrency,as
intheprogressofpoliticalimprovementtheyonedaywillhave:
and,asthemostfamiliartothereader,thoughnotthebest,let
ussupposethiscurrencytobetheEnglish。WhenEnglandhadthe
samenumberofpoundssterlingtopaytoFrance,whichFrancehad
topaytoher,onesetofmerchantsinEnglandwouldwantbills,
andanothersetwouldhavebillstodisposeof,fortheverysame
numberofpoundssterling;andconsequentlyabillonFrancefor
100l。wouldsellforexactly100l。,or,inthephraseologyof
merchants,theexchangewouldbeatpar。AsFrancealso,onthis
supposition,wouldhaveanequalnumberofpoundssterlingtopay
andtoreceive,billsonEnglandwouldbeatparinFrance,
wheneverbillsonFrancewereatparinEngland。
If,however,EnglandhadalargersumtopaytoFrancethan
toreceivefromher,therewouldbepersonsrequiringbillson
Franceforagreaternumberofpoundssterlingthantherewere
billsdrawnbypersonstowhommoneywasdue。AbillonFrance
for100l。wouldthensellformorethan100l。,andbiLlswouldbe
saidtobeatapremium。Thepremium,however,couldnotexceed
thecostandriskofmakingtheremittanceingold,togetherwith
atriflingprofit;becauseifitdid,thedebtorwouLdsendthe
golditself,inpreferencetobuyingthebill。
If,onthecontrary,Englandhadmoremoneytoreceivefrom
Francethantopay,therewouldbebillsofferedforagreater
numberofpoundsthanwerewantedforremittance,andtheprice
ofbillswouldfallbelowpar:abillfor100l。mightbebought
forsomewhatlessthan100l。,andbillswouldbesaidtobeata
discount。
WhenEnglandhasmoretopaythantoreceive,Francehasmore
toreceivethantopay,andviceversa。When,therefore,in
England,billsonFrancebearapremium,then,inFrance,bills
onEnglandareatadiscount:andwhenbillsonFranceareata
discountinEngland,billsonEnglandareatapremiuminFrance。
Iftheyareatparineithercountry,theyareso,aswehave
alreadyseen,inboth。
Thusdomattersstandbetweencountries,orplaces,which
havethesamecurrency。Somuchofbarbarism,however,still
remainsinthetransactionsofthemostcivilizednations,that
almostallindependentcountrieschoosetoasserttheir
nationalitybyhaving,totheirowninconvenienceandthatof
theirneighbours,apeculiarcurrencyoftheirown。Toour
presentpurposethismakesnootherdifference,thanthatinstead
ofspeakingofequalsumsofmoney,wehavetospeakof
equivalentsums。Byequivalentsums,whenbothcurrenciesare
composedofthesamemetal,aremeantsumswhichcontainexactly
thesamequantityofthemetal,inweightandfineness;butwhen,
asinthecaseofFranceandEngland,themetalsaredifferent,
whatismeantisthatthequantityofgoldintheonesum,and
thequantityofsilverintheother,areofthesamevalueinthe
generalmarketoftheworld:therebeingnomaterialdifference
betweenoneplaceandanotherintherelativevalueofthese
metals。Suppose25francstobe(aswithinatriflingfractionit
is)theequivalentofapoundsterling。Thedebtsandcreditsof
thetwocountrieswouldbeequal,whentheoneowedasmanytimes
25francs,astheotherowedpounds。Whenthiswasthecase,a
billonFrancefor2500francswouldbeworthinEngland100l。,
andabillonEnglandfor100l。wouldbeworthinFrance2500
francs。Theexchangeisthensaidtobeatpar:and25francs(in
reality25francsandatriflemore)(1*)iscalledtheparof
exchangewithFrance。WhenEnglandowedtoFrancemorethanthe
equivalentofwhatFranceowedtoher,abillfor2500francs
wouldbeatapremium,thatis,wouldbeworthmorethan100l。
WhenFranceowedtoEnglandmorethantheequivalentofwhat
EnglandowedtoFrance,abillfor2500francswouldbeworth
lessthan100l。,orwouldbeatadiscount。
Whenbillsonforeigncountriesareatapremium,itis
customarytosaythattheexchangesareagainstthecountry,or
unfavourabletoit。Inordertounderstandthesephrases,wemust
takenoticeofwhat"theexchange,"inthelanguageofmerchants,
reallymeans。Itmeansthepowerwhichthemoneyofthecountry
hasofpurchasingthemoneyofothercountries。Supposing25
francstobetheexactparofexchange,thenwhenitrequires
morethan100l。tobuyabillfor2500francs,100l。ofEnglish
moneyareworthlessthantheirrealequivalentofFrenchmoney:
andthisiscalledanexchangeunfavourabletoEngland。Theonly
personsinEngland,however,towhomitisreallyunfavourable,
arethosewhohavemoneytopayinFrance;fortheycomeintothe
billmarketasbuyers,andhavetopayapremium:buttothose
whohavemoneytoreceiveinFrance,thesamestateofthingsis
favourable;fortheycomeassellers,andreceivethepremium。
Thepremium,however,indicatesthatabalanceisduebyEngland,
whichmighthavetobeeventuallyliquidatedintheprecious
metals:andsince,accordingtotheoldtheory,thebenefitofa
tradeconsistedinbringingmoneyintothecountry,this
prejudiceintroducedthepracticeofcallingtheexchange
favourablewhenitindicatedabalancetoreceive,and
unfavourablewhenitindicatedonetopay:andthephrasesin
turntendedtomaintaintheprejudice。
3。Itmightbesupposedatfirstsightthatwhentheexchange
isunfavourable,orinotherwords,whenbillsareatapremium,
thepremiummustalWaysamounttoafullequivalentforthecost
oftransmittingmoney:since,asthereisreallyabalanceto
pay,andasthefullcostmustthereforebeincurredbysomeof
thosewhohaveremittancestomake,theircompetitionwillcompel
alltosubmittoanequivalentsacrifice。Andsuchwould
certainlybethecase,ifitwerealwaysnecessarythatwhatever
isdestinedtobepaidshouldbepaidimmediately。The
expectationofgreatandimmediateforeignpaymentssometimes
producesamoststartlingeffectontheexchanges。(2*)Buta
smallexcessofimportsaboveexports,oranyothersmallamount
ofdebttobepaidtoforeigncountries,doesnotusuallyaffect
theexchangestothefullextentofthecostandriskof
transportingbullion。Thelengthofcreditallowed,generally
permits,onthepartofsomeofthedebtors,apostponementof
payment,andinthemeantimethebalancemayturntheotherway,
andrestoretheequalityofdebtsandcreditswithoutanyactual
transmissionofthemetals。Andthisisthemorelikelyto
happen,asthereisaself—adjustingpowerinthevariationsof
theexchangeitself。Billsareatapremiumbecauseagreater
moneyvaluehasbeenimportedthanexported。Butthepremiumis
itselfanextraprofittothosewhoexport。Besidestheprice
theyobtainfortheirgoods,theydrawfortheamountandgain
thepremium。Itis,ontheotherhand,adiminutionofprofitto
thosewhoimport。Besidesthepriceofthegoods,theyhaveto
payapremiumforremittance。Sothatwhatiscalledan
unfavourableexchangeisanencouragementtoexport,anda
discouragementtoimport。Andifthebalancedueisofsmall
amount,andistheconsequenceofsomemerelycasualdisturbance
intheordinarycourseoftrade,itissoonliquidatedin
commodities,andtheaccountadjustedbymeansofbills,without
thetransmissionofanybullion。Notso,however,whentheexcess
ofimportsaboveexports,whichhasmadetheexchange
unfavourable,arisesfromapermanentcause。Inthatcase,what
disturbedtheequilibriummusthavebeenthestateofprices,and
itcanonlyberestoredbyactingonprices。Itisimpossible
thatpricesshouldbesuchastoinvitetoanexcessofimports,
andyetthattheexportsshouldbekeptpermanentlyuptothe
importsbytheextraprofitonexportationderivedfromthe
premiumonbills;foriftheexportswerekeptuptotheimports,
billswouldnotbeatapremium,andtheextraprofitwouldnot
exist。Itisthroughthepricesofcommoditiesthatthe
correctionmustbeadministered。
Disturbances,therefore,oftheequilibriumofimportsand
exports,andconsequentdisturbancesoftheexchange,maybe
consideredasoftwoclasses;theonecasualoraccidental,
which,ifnotontoolargeascale,correctthemselvesthrough
thepremiumonbills,withoutanytransmissionoftheprecious
metals;theotherarisingfromthegeneralstateofprices,which
cannotbecorrectedwithoutthesubtractionofactualmoneyfrom
thecirculationofoneofthecounties,oranannihilationof
creditequivalenttoit;sincethemeretransmissionofbullion
(asdistinguishedfrommoney),nothavinganyeffectonprices,
isofnoavailtoabatethecausefromwhichthedisturbance
proceeded。
Itremainstoobserve,thattheexchangesdonotdependon
thebalanceofdebtsandcreditswitheachcountryseparately,
butwithallcountiestakentogether。Englandmayoweabalance
ofpaymentstoFrance;butitdoesnotfollowthattheexchange
withFrancewillbeagainstEngland,andthatbillsonFrance
willbeatapremium;becauseabalancemaybeduetoEngland
fromHollandorHamburg,andshemaypayherdebtstoFrancewith
billsonthoseplaces;whichistechnicallycalledarbitrationof
exchange。Thereissomelittleadditionalexpense,partly
commissionandpartlylossofinterest,insettlingdebtsinthis
circuitousmanner,andtotheextentofthatsmalldifferencethe
exchangewithonecountrymayvaryapartfromthatwithothers;
butinthemain,theexchangeswithallforeigncountriesvary
together,accordingasthecountryhasabalancetoreceiveorto
payonthegeneralresultofitsforeigntransactions。
NOTES:
1。Writtenbeforethechangeintherelativevalueofthetwo
metalsproducedbythegolddiscoveries。Theparofexchange
betweengoldandsilvercurrenciesisnowvariable,andnoone
canforeseeatwhatpointitwillultimatelyrest。
2。OnthenewsofBonaparte’slandingfromElba,thepriceof
billsadvancedinonedayasmuchastenpercent。Ofcoursethis
premiumwasnotamereequivalentforcostofcarriage,sincethe
freightofsuchanarticleasgold,evenwiththeadditionofwar
insurance,couldneverhaveamountedtosomuch。Thisgreatprice
wasanequivalentnotforthedifficultyofsendinggold,butfor
theanticipateddifficultyofprocuringittosend;the
expectationbeingthattherewouldbesuchimmenseremittancesto
theContinentinsubsidiesandforthesupportofarmies,as
wouldpresshardonthestockofbullioninthecountry(which
wasthenentirelydenudedofspecie),andthis,too,inashorter
timethanwouldallowofitsbeingreplenished。Accordinglythe
priceofbullionroselikewise,withthesamesuddenness。Itis
hardlynecessarytosaythatthistookplaceduringtheBank
restriction。Inaconvertiblestateofthecurrency,nosuch
thingcouldhaveoccurreduntiltheBankstoppedpayment。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter21
OftheDistributionofthePreciousMetalsThroughtheCommercial
World
1。Havingnowexaminedthemechanismbywhichthecommercial
transactionsbetweennationsareactuallyconducted,wehavenext
toinquirewhetherthismodeofconductingthemmakesany
differenceintheconclusionsrespectinginternationalvalues,
whichwepreviouslyarrivedatonthehypothesisofbarter。
Thenearestanalogywouldleadustopresumethenegative。We
didnotfindthattheinterventionofmoneyanditssubstitutes
madeanydifferenceinthelawofvalueasappliedtoadjacent
places。Thingswhichwouldhavebeenequalinvalueifthemode
ofexchangehadbeenbybarter,areworthequalsumsofmoney。
Theintroductionofmoneyisamereadditionofonemore
commodity,ofwhichthevalueisregulatedbythesamelawsas
thatofallothercommodities。Weshallnotbesurprised,
therefore,ifwefindthatinternationalvaluesalsoare
determinedbythesamecausesunderamoneyandbillsystem,as
theywouldbeunderasystemofbarter;andthatmoneyhaslittle
todointhematter,excepttofurnishaconvenientmodeof
comparingvalues。
Allinterchangeis,insubstanceandeffect,barter:whoever
sellscommoditiesformoney,andwiththatmoneybuysother
goods,reallybuysthosegoodswithhisowncommodities。Andso
ofnations:theirtradeisamereexchangeofexportsfor
imports:andwhethermoneyisemployedornot,thingsareonlyin
theirpermanentstatewhentheexportsandimportsexactlypay
foreachother。Whenthisisthecase,equalsumsofmoneyare
duefromeachcountrytotheother,thedebtsaresettledby
bills,andthereisnobalancetobepaidinthepreciousmetals。
Thetradeisinastatelikethatwhichiscalledinmechanicsa
conditionofstableequilibrium。
Buttheprocessbywhichthingsarebroughtbacktothis
statewhentheyhappentodeviatefromit,is,atleast
outwardly,notthesameinabartersystemandinamoneysystem。
Underthefirst,thecountrywhichwantsmoreimportsthanits
exportswillpayfor,mustofferitsexportsatacheaperrate,
asthesolemeansofcreatingademandforthemsufficientto
re—establishtheequilibrium。Whenmoneyisused,thecountry
seemstodoathingtotallydifferent。Shetakestheadditional
importsatthesamepriceasbefore,andassheexportsno
equivalent,thebalanceofpaymentsturnsagainsther;the
exchangebecomesunfavourable,andthedifferencehastobepaid
inmoney。Thisisinappearanceaverydistinctoperationfrom
theformer。Letusseeifitdiffersinitsessence,oronlyin
itsmechanism。
LetthecountrywhichhasthebalancetopaybeEngland,and
thecountrywhichreceivesit,France。Bythistransmissionof
thepreciousmetals,thequantityofthecurrencyisdiminished
inEngland,andincreasedinFrance。ThisIamatlibertyto
assume。Asweshallseehereafter,itwouldbeaveryerroneous
assumptionifmadeinregardtoallpaymentsofinternational
balances。Abalancewhichhasonlytobepaidonce,suchasthe
paymentmadeforanextraimportationofcorninaseasonof
dearth,maybepaidfromhoards,orfromthereservesofbankers,
withoutactingonthecirculation。Butwearenowsupposingthat
thereisanexcessofimportsoverexports,arisingfromthefact
thattheequationofinternationaldemandisnotyetestablished:
thatthereisattheordinarypricesapermanentdemandin
EnglandformoreFrenchgoodsthantheEnglishgoodsrequiredin
Franceattheordinarypriceswillpayfor。Whenthisisthe
case,ifachangewerenotmadeintheprices,therewouldbea
perpetuallyrenewedbalancetobepaidinmoney。Theimports
requiretobepermanentlydiminished,ortheexportstobe
increased;whichcanonlybeaccomplishedthroughprices;and
hence,evenifthebalancesareatfirstpaidfromhoards,orby
theexportationofbullion,theywillreachthecirculationat
last,foruntiltheydo,nothingcanstopthedrain。
When,therefore,thestateofpricesissuchthatthe
equationofinternationaldemandcannotestablishitself,the
countryrequiringmoreimportsthancanbepaidforbythe
exports;itisasignthatthecountryhasmoreoftheprecious
metalsortheirsubstitutes,incirculation,thancanpermanently
circulate,andmustnecessarilypartwithsomeofthembeforethe
balancecanberestored。Thecurrencyisaccordinglycontracted:
pricesfall,andamongtherest,thepricesofexportable
articles;forwhich,accordingly,therearises,inforeign
countries,agreaterdemand:whileimportedcommoditieshave
possiblyriseninprice,fromtheinfluxofmoneyintoforeign
countries,andatalleventshavenotparticipatedinthegeneral
fall。ButuntiltheincreasedcheapnessofEnglishgoodsinduces
foreigncountriestotakeagreaterpecuniaryvalue,oruntilthe
increaseddearness(positiveorcomparative)offoreigngoods
makesEnglandtakealesspecuniaryvalue,theexportsofEngland
willbenonearertopayingfortheimportsthanbefore,andthe
streamofthepreciousmetalswhichhadbeguntoflowoutof
England,willstillflowon。Thiseffluxwillcontinue,untilthe
fallofpricesinEnglandbringswithinreachoftheforeign
marketsomecommoditywhichEnglanddidnotpreviouslysend
thither;oruntilthereducedpriceofthethingswhichshedid
send,hasforcedademandabroadforasufficientquantitytopay
fortheimports,aided,perhaps,byareductionoftheEnglish
demandforforeigngoods,throughtheirenhancedprice,either
positiveorcomparative。
Nowthisistheveryprocesswhichtookplaceonouroriginal
suppositionofbarter。Notonly,therefore,doesthetrade
betweennationstendtothesameequilibriumbetweenexportsand
imports,whethermoneyisemployedornot,butthemeansbywhich
thisequilibriumisestablishedareessentiallythesame。The
countrywhoseexportsarenotsufficienttopayforherimports,
offersthemoncheaperterms,untilshesucceedsinforcingthe
necessarydemand:inotherwords,theEquationofInternational
Demand,underamoneysystemaswellasunderabartersystem,is
thelawofinternationaltrade。Everycountryexportsandimports
theverysamethings,andintheverysamequantity,underthe
onesystemasundertheother。Inabartersystem,thetrade
gravitatestothepointatwhichthesumoftheimportsexactly
exchangesforthesumoftheexports:inamoneysystem,it
gravitatestothepointatwhichthesumoftheimportsandthe
sumoftheexportsexchangeforthesamequantityofmoney。And
sincethingswhichareequaltothesamethingareequaltoone
another,theexportsandimportswhichareequalinmoneyprice,
would,ifmoneywerenotused,preciselyexchangeforone
another。(1*)
2。Itthusappearsthatthelawofinternationalvalues,and,
consequently,thedivisionoftheadvantagesoftradeamongthe
nationswhichcarryiton,arethesame,onthesuppositionof
money,astheywouldbeinastateofbarter。Ininternational,
asinordinarydomesticinterchanges,moneyistocommerceonly
whatoilistomachinery,orrailwaystolocomotion—acontrivance
todiminishfriction。Inorderstillfurthertotestthese
conclusions,letusproceedtore—examine,onthesuppositionof
money,aquestionwhichwehavealreadyinvestigatedonthe
hypothesisofbarter,namely,towhatextentthebenefitofan
improvementintheproductionofanexportablearticle,is
participatedinbythecountriesimportingit。
Theimprovementmayeitherconsistinthecheapeningofsome
articlewhichwasalreadyastapleproductionofthecountry,or
intheestablishmentofsomenewbranchofindustry,orofsome
processrenderinganarticleexportablewhichhadnottillthen
beenexportedatall。Itwillbeconvenienttobeginwiththe
caseofanewexport,asbeingsomewhatthesimplerofthetwo。
Thefirsteffectisthatthearticlefallsinprice,anda
demandarisesforitabroad。Thisnewexportationdisturbsthe
balance,turnstheexchanges,moneyflowsintothecountry(which
weshallsupposetobeEngland),andcontinuestoflowuntil
pricesrise。Thishigherrangeofpriceswillsomewhatcheckthe
demandinforeigncountriesforthenewarticleofexport;and
diminishthedemandwhichexistedabroadfortheotherthings
whichEnglandwasinthehabitofexporting。Theexportswill
thusbediminished;whileatthesametimetheEnglishpublic,
havingmoremoney,willhaveagreaterpowerofpurchasing
foreigncommodities。Iftheymakeuseofthisincreasedpowerof
purchase,therewillbeanincreaseofimports:andbythis,and
thechecktoexportation,theequilibriumofimportsandexports
willberestored。Theresulttoforeigncountrieswillbe,that
theyhavetopaydearerthanbeforefortheirotherimports,and
obtainthenewcommoditycheaperthanbefore,butnotsomuch
cheaperasEnglandherselfdoes。Isaythis,beingwellaware
thatthearticlewouldbeactuallyattheverysameprice(cost
ofcarriageexcepted)inEnglandandinothercountries。The
cheapness,however,ofthearticleisnotmeasuredsolelybythe
money—price,butbythatpricecomparedwiththemoneyincomesof
theconsumers。ThepriceisthesametotheEnglishandtothe
foreignconsumers;buttheformerpaythatpricefrommoney
incomeswhichhavebeenincreasedbythenewdistributionofthe
preciousmetals;whilethelatterhavehadtheirmoneyincomes
probablydiminishedbythesamecause。Thetrade,therefore,has
notimpartedtotheforeignconsumerthewhole,butonlya
portion,ofthebenefitwhichtheEnglishconsumerhasderived
fromtheimprovement;whileEnglandhasalsobenefitedinthe
pricesofforeigncommodities。Thus,then,anyindustrial
improvementwhichleadstotheopeningofanewbranchofexport
trade,benefitsacountrynotonlybythecheapnessofthe
articleinwhichtheimprovementhastakenplace,butbya
generalcheapeningofallimportedproducts。
Letusnowchangethehypothesis,andsupposethatthe
improvement,insteadofcreatinganewexportfromEngland,
cheapensanexistingone。Whenweexaminedthiscaseonthe
suppositionofbarter,itappearedtousthattheforeign
consumersmighteitherobtainthesamebenefitfromthe
improvementasEnglandherself,oralessbenefit,orevena
greaterbenefit,accordingtothedegreeinwhichtheconsumption
ofthecheapenedarticleiscalculatedtoextenditselfasthe
articlediminishesinprice。Thesameconclusionswillbefound
trueonthesuppositionofmoney。
Letthecommodityinwhichthereisanimprovement,becloth。
Thefirsteffectoftheimprovementisthatitspricefalls,and
thereisanincreaseddemandforitintheforeignmarket。But
thisdemandisofuncertainamount。Supposetheforeignconsumers
toincreasetheirpurchasesintheexactratioofthecheapness,
orinotherwords,tolayoutincloththesamesumofmoneyas
before,thesameaggregatepaymentasbeforewillbeduefrom
foreigncountriestoEngland;theequilibriumofexportsand
importswillremainundisturbed,andforeignerswillobtainthe
fulladvantageoftheincreasedcheapnessofcloth。Butifthe
foreigndemandforclothisofsuchacharacterastoincreasein
agreaterratiothanthecheapness,alargersumthanformerly
willbeduetoEnglandforcloth,andwhenpaidwillraise
Englishprices,thepriceofclothincluded;thisrise,however,
willaffectonlytheforeignpurchaser,Englishincomesbeing
raisedinacorrespondingproportion;andtheforeignconsumer
willthusderivealessadvantagethanEnglandfromthe
improvement。If,onthecontrary,thecheapeningofclothdoes
notextendtheforeigndemandforitinaproportionaldegree,a
lesssumofdebtsthanbeforewillbeduetoEnglandforcloth,
whiletherewillbetheusualsumofdebtsduefromEnglandto
foreigncountries;thebalanceoftradewillturnagainst
England,moneywillbeexported,prices(thatofclothincluded)
willfall,andclothwilleventuallybecheapenedtotheforeign
purchaserinastillgreaterratio,thantheimprovementhas
cheapenedittoEngland。Thesearetheveryconclusionswhichwe
deducedonthehypothesisofbarter。
Theresultoftheprecedingdiscussioncannotbebetter
summedupthaninthewordsofRicardo。(2*)"Goldandsilver
havingbeenchosenforthegeneralmediumofcirculation,they
are,bythecompetitionofcommerce,distributedinsuch
proportionsamongstthedifferentcountriesoftheworldasto
accommodatethemselvestothenaturaltrafficwhichwouldtake
placeifnosuchmetalsexisted,andthetradebetweencountries
werepurelyatradeofbarter。"Ofthisprinciple,sofertilein
consequences,previoustowhichthetheoryofforeigntradewas
anunintelligiblechaos,Mr。Ricardo,thoughhedidnotpursueit
intoitsramifications,wastherealoriginator。Nowriterwho
precededhimappearstohavehadaglimpseofit:andfeware
thosewhoevensincehistimehavehadanadequateconceptionof
itsscientificvalue。
3。Itisnownecessarytoinquire,inwhatmannerthislawof
thedistributionofthepreciousmetalsbymeansofthe
exchanges,affectstheexchangevalueofmoneyitself;andhowit
tallieswiththelawbywhichwefoundthatthevalueofmoneyis
regulatedwhenimportedasamerearticleofmerchandize。For
thereishereasemblanceofcontradiction,whichhas,Ithink,
contributedmorethananythingelsetomakesomedistinguished
politicaleconomistsresisttheevidenceofthepreceding
doctrines。Money,theyjustlythink,isnoexceptiontothe
generallawsofvalue;itisacommoditylikeanyother,andits
averageornaturalvaluemustdependonthecostofproducing,or
atleastofobtainingit。Thatitsdistributionthroughthe
world,therefore,anditsdifferentvalueindifferentplaces,
shouldbeliabletobealtered,notbycausesaffectingitself,
butbyahundredcausesunconnectedwithit;byeverythingwhich
affectsthetradeinothercommodities,soastoderangethe
equilibriumofexportsandimports;appearstothesethinkersa
doctrinealtogetherinadmissible。