Asforprices,inthesecircumstancestheywouldbeaffected
ornot,accordingastheimprovementsinproductiondidordid
notextendtothepreciousmetals。Ifthematerialsofmoneywere
anexceptiontothegeneraldiminutionofcostofproduction,the
valuesofallotherthingswouldfallinrelationtomoney,that
is,therewouldbeafallofgeneralpricesthroughouttheworld。
Butifmoney,likeotherthings,andinthesamedegreeasother
things,wereobtainedingreaterabundanceandcheapness,prices
wouldbenomoreaffectedthanvalueswould:andtherewouldbe
novisiblesigninthestateofthemarkets,ofanyofthe
changeswhichhadtakenplace;exceptthattherewouldbe(if
peoplecontinuedtolabourasmuchasbefore)agreaterquantity
ofallsortsofcommodities,circulatedatthesamepricesbya
greaterquantityofmoney。
Improvementsinproductionarenottheonlycircumstance
accompanyingtheprogressofindustry,whichtendstodiminish
thecostofproducing,oratleastofobtaining,commodities。
Anothercircumstanceistheincreaseofintercoursebetween
differentpartsoftheworld。Ascommerceextends,andthe
ignorantattemptstorestrainitbytariffsbecomeobsolete,
commoditiestendmoreandmoretobeproducedintheplacesin
whichtheirproductioncanbecarriedonattheleastexpenseof
labourandcapitaltomankind。Ascivilizationspreads,and
securityofpersonandpropertybecomesestablished,inpartsof
theworldwhichhavenothithertohadthatadvantage,the
productivecapabilitiesofthoseplacesarecalledintofuller
activity,forthebenefitbothoftheirowninhabitantsandof
foreigners。Theignoranceandmisgovernmentinwhichmanyofthe
regionsmostfavouredbynaturearestillgrovelling,afford
work,probably,formanygenerationsbeforethosecountrieswill
beraisedeventothepresentlevelofthemostcivilizedparts
ofEurope。Muchwillalsodependontheincreasingmigrationof
labourandcapitaltounoccupiedpartsoftheearth,ofwhichthe
soil,climate,andsituationarefound,bytheamplemeansof
explorationnowpossessed,topromisenotonlyalargereturnto
industry,butgreatfacilitiesofproducingcommoditiessuitedto
themarketsofoldcountries。Muchasthecollectiveindustryof
theearthislikelytobeincreasedinefficiencybythe
extensionofscienceandoftheindustrialarts,astillmore
activesourceofincreasedcheapnessofproductionwillbefound,
probably,forsometimetocome,inthegraduallyunfolding
consequencesofFreeTrade,andintheincreasingscaleonwhich
EmigrationandColonizationwillbecarriedon。
Fromthecausesnowenumerated,unlesscounteractedby
others,theprogressofthingsenablesacountrytoobtainat
lessandlessofrealcost,notonlyitsownproductionsbut
thoseofforeigncountries。Indeed,whateverdiminishesthecost
ofitsownproductions,whenofanexportablecharacter,enables
it,aswehavealreadyseen,toobtainitsimportsatlessreal
cost。
2。Butisitthefact,thatthesetendenciesarenot
counteracted?Hastheprogressofwealthandindustrynoeffect
inregardtocostofproduction,buttodiminishit?Areno
causesofanoppositecharacterbroughtintooperationbythe
sameprogress,sufficientinsomecasesnotonlytoneutralize,
buttoovercometheformer,andconvertthedescendingmovement
ofcostofproductionintoanascendingmovement?Wearealready
awarethattherearesuchcauses,andthat,inthecaseofthe
mostimportantclassesofcommodities,foodandmaterials,there
isatendencydiametricallyoppositetothatofwhichwehave
beenspeaking。Thecostofproductionofthesecommoditiestends
toincrease。
Thisisnotapropertyinherentinthecommodities
themselves。Ifpopulationwerestationary,andtheproduceofthe
earthneverneededtobeaugmentedinquantity,therewouldbeno
causeforgreatercostofproduction。Mankindwould,onthe
contrary,havethefullbenefitofallimprovementsin
agriculture,orintheartssubsidiarytoit,andtherewouldbe
nodifference,inthisrespect,betweentheproductsof
agricultureandthoseofmanufactures。Theonlyproductsof
industry,which,ifpopulationdidnotincrease,wouldbeliable
toarealincreaseofcostofproduction,arethosewhich,
dependingonamaterialwhichisnotrenewed,areeitherwholly
orpartiallyexhaustible;suchascoal,andmostifnotall
metals;foreveniron,themostabundantaswellasmostuseful
ofmetallicproducts,whichformsaningredientofmostminerals
andofalmostallrocks,issusceptibleofexhaustionsofaras
regardsitsrichestandmosttractableores。
When,however,populationincreases,asithasneveryet
failedtodowhentheincreaseofindustryandofthemeansof
subsistencemaderoomforit,thedemandformostofthe
productionsoftheearth,andparticularlyforfood,increasesin
acorrespondingproportion。Andthencomesintoeffectthat
fundamentallawofproductionfromthesoil,onwhichwehaveso
frequentlyhadoccasiontoexpatiate;thelaw,thatincreased
labour,inanygivenstateofagriculturalskill,isattended
withalessthanproportionalincreaseofproduce。Thecostof
productionofthefruitsoftheearthincreases,caeteris
paribus,witheveryincreaseofthedemand。
Notendencyofalikekindexistswithrespectto
manufacturedarticles。Thetendencyisinthecontrarydirection。
Thelargerthescaleonwhichmanufacturingoperationsare
carriedon,themorecheaplytheycaningeneralbeperformed。Mr
Seniorhasgonethelengthofenunciatingasaninherentlawof
manufacturingindustry,thatinitincreasedproductiontakes
placeatasmallercost,whileinagriculturalindustryincreased
productiontakesplaceatagreatercost。Icannotthink,
however,thateveninmanufactures,increasedcheapnessfollows
increasedproductionbyanythingamountingtoalaw。Itisa
probableandusual,butnotanecessary,consequence。
Asmanufactures,however,dependfortheirmaterialseither
uponagriculture,ormining,orthespontaneousproduceofthe
earth,manufacturingindustryissubject,inrespectofoneof
itsessentials,tothesamelawasagriculture。Butthecrude
materialgenerallyformssosmallaportionofthetotalcost,
thatanytendencywhichmayexisttoaprogressiveincreasein
thatsingleitem,ismuchover。balancedbythediminution
continuallytakingplaceinalltheotherelements;towhich
diminutionitisimpossibleatpresenttoassignanylimit。
Thetendency,then,beingtoaperpetualincreaseofthe
productivepoweroflabourinmanufactures,whileinagriculture
andminingthereisaconflictbetweentwotendencies,theone
towardsanincreaseofproductivepower,theothertowardsa
diminutionofit,thecostofproductionbeinglessenedbyevery
improvementintheprocesses,andaugmentedbyeveryadditionto
population;itfollowsthattheexchangevaluesofmanufactured
articles,comparedwiththeproductsofagricultureandofmines,
have,aspopulationandindustryadvance,acertainanddecided
tendencytofall。Moneybeingaproductofmines,itmayalsobe
laiddownasarule,thatmanufacturedarticlestend,associety
advances,tofallinmoneyprice。Theindustrialhistoryof
modernnations,especiallyduringthelasthundredyears,fully
bearsoutthisassertion。
3。Whetheragriculturalproduceincreasesinabsoluteaswell
ascomparativecostofproduction,dependsontheconflictofthe
twoantagonistagencies,increaseofpopulation,andimprovement
inagriculturalskill。Insome,perhapsinmost,statesof
society,(lookingatthewholesurfaceoftheearth,)both
agriculturalskillandpopulationareeitherstationary,or
increaseveryslowly,andthecostofproductionoffood,
therefore,isnearlystationary。Inasocietywhichisadvancing
inwealth,populationgenerallyincreasesfasterthan
agriculturalskill,andfoodconsequentlytendstobecomemore
costly;buttherearetimeswhenastrongimpulsesetsintowards
agriculturalimprovement。Suchanimpulsehasshownitselfin
GreatBritainduringthelasttwentyorthirtyyears。InEngland
andScotlandagriculturalskillhasoflateincreased
considerablyfasterthanpopulation,insomuchthatfoodandother
agriculturalproduce,notwithstandingtheincreaseofpeople,can
begrownatlesscostthantheywerethirtyyearsago:andthe
abolitionoftheCornLawshasgivenanadditionalstimulusto
thespiritofimprovement。Insomeothercountries,and
particularlyinFrance,theimprovementofagriculturegains
groundstillmoredecidedlyuponpopulation,becausethough
agriculture,exceptinafewprovinces,advancesslowly,
populationadvancesstillmoreslowly,andevenwithincreasing
slowness;itsgrowthbeingkeptdown,notbypoverty,whichis
diminishing,butbyprudence。
Whichofthetwoconflictingagenciesisgaininguponthe
otheratanyparticulartime,mightbeconjecturedwithtolerable
accuracyfromthemoneypriceofagriculturalproduce(supposing
bullionnottovarymateriallyinvalue),providedasufficient
numberofyearscouldbetaken,toformanaverageindependentof
thefluctuationsofseasons。This,however,ishardly
practicable,sinceMrTookehasshownthatevensolongaperiod
ashalfacenturymayincludeamuchgreaterproportionof
abundantandasmallerofdeficientseasonsthanisproperlydue
toit。Amereaverage,therefore,mightleadtoconclusionsonly
themoremisleading,fortheirdeceptivesemblanceofaccuracy。
Therewouldbelessdangeroferrorintakingtheaverageofonly
asmallnumberofyears,andcorrectingitbyaconjectural
allowanceforthecharacteroftheseasons,thanintrustingtoa
longeraveragewithoutanysuchcorrection。Itishardly
necessarytoadd,thatinfoundingconclusionsonquotedprices,
allowancemustalsobemadeasfaraspossibleforanychangesin
thegeneralexchangevalueofthepreciousmetals。(1*)
4。Thusfar,oftheeffectoftheprogressofsocietyonthe
permanentoraveragevaluesandpricesofcommodities。Itremains
tobeconsidered,inwhatmannerthesameprogressaffectstheir
fluctuations。Concerningtheanswertothisquestiontherecanbe
nodoubt。Ittendsinaveryhighdegreetodiminishthem。In
poorandbackwardsocieties,asintheEast,andinEuropeduring
theMiddleAges,extraordinarydifferencesinthepriceofthe
samecommoditymightexistinplacesnotverydistantfromeach
other,becausethewantofroadsandcanals,theimperfectionof
marinenavigation,andtheinsecurityofcommunications
generally,preventedthingsfrombeingtransportedfromthe
placeswheretheywerecheaptothosewheretheyweredear。The
thingsmostliabletofluctuationsinvalue,thosedirectly
influencedbytheseasons,andespeciallyfood,wereseldom
carriedtoanygreatdistances。Eachlocalitydepended,asa
generalrule,onitsownproduceandthatofitsimmediate
neighbourhood。Inmostyears,accordingly,therewas,insome
partorotherofanylargecountry,arealdearth。Almostevery
seasonmustbeunpropitioustosomeamongthemanysoilsand
climatestobefoundinanextensivetractofcountry;butasthe
sameseasonisalsoingeneralmorethanordinarilyfavourableto
others,itisonlyoccasionallythattheaggregateproduceofthe
wholecountryisdeficient,andeventheninalessdegreethan
thatofmanyseparateportions;whileadeficiencyatall
considerable,extendingtothewholeworld,isathingalmostun。
known。Inmoderntimes,therefore,thereisonlydearth,where
thereformerlywouldhavebeenfamine,andsufficiencyeverywhere
whenancientlytherewouldhavebeenscarcityinsomeplacesand
superfluityinothers。
Thesamechangehastakenplacewithrespecttoallother
articlesofcommerce。Thesafetyandcheapnessofcommunications,
whichenableadeficiencyinoneplacetobesuppliedfromthe
surplusofanother,atamoderateorevenasmalladvanceonthe
ordinaryprice,renderthefluctuationsofpricesmuchless
extremethanformerly。Thiseffectismuchpromotedbythe
existenceoflargecapitals,belongingtowhatarecalled
speculativemerchants,whosebusinessitistobuygoodsinorder
toresellthemataprofit。Thesedealersnaturallybuyingthings
whentheyarecheapest,andstoringthemuptobebroughtagain
intothemarketwhenthepricehasbecomeunusuallyhigh;the
tendencyoftheiroperationsistoequalizeprice,oratleastto
moderateitsinequalities。Thepricesofthingsareneitherso
muchdepressedatonetime,norsomuchraisedatanother,as
theywouldbeifspeculativedealersdidnotexist。
Speculators,therefore,haveahighlyusefulofficeinthe
economyofsociety;and(contrarytocommonopinion)themost
usefulportionoftheclassarethosewhospeculatein
commoditiesaffectedbythevicissitudesofseasons。Ifthere
werenocorn—dealers,notonlywouldthepriceofcornbeliable
tovariationsmuchmoreextremethanatpresent,butina
deficientseasonthenecessarysuppliesmightnotbeforthcoming
atall。Unlesstherewerespeculatorsincorn,orunless,in
defaultofdealers,thefarmersbecamespeculators,thepricein
aseasonofabundancewouldfallwithoutanylimitorcheck,
exceptthewastefulconsumptionthatwouldinvariablyfollow。
Thatanypartofthesurplusofoneyearremainstosupplythe
deficiencyofanother,isowingeithertofarmerswhowithhold
cornfromthemarket,ortodealerswhobuyitwhenatthe
cheapestandlayitupinstore。
5。Amongpersonswhohavenotmuchconsideredthesubject,
thereisanotionthatthegainsofspeculatorsareoftenmadeby
causinganartificialscarcity;thattheycreateahighpriceby
theirownpurchases,andthenprofitbyit。Thismayeasilybe
showntobefallacious。Ifacorn—dealermakespurchaseson
speculation,andproducesarise,whenthereisneitheratthe
timenorafterwardsanycauseforariseofpriceexcepthisown
proceedings;henodoubtappearstogrowricheraslongashis
purchasescontinue,becauseheisaholderofanarticlewhichis
quotedatahigherandhigherprice:butthisapparentgainonly
seemswithinhisreachsolongashedoesnotattempttorealize
it。Ifhehasbought,forinstance,amillionofquarters,andby
with。holdingthemfromthemarket,hasraisedthepriceten
shillingsaquarter;justsomuchasthepricehasbeenraisedby
withdrawingamillionquarters,willitbeloweredbybringing
themback,andthebestthathecanhopeisthathewilllose
nothingexceptinterestandhisexpenses。Ifbyagradualand
cautioussaleheisabletorealize,onsomeportionofhis
stores,apartoftheincreasedprice,soalsohewill
undoubtedlyhavehadtopayapartofthatpriceonsomeportion
ofhispurchases。Herunsconsiderableriskofincurringastill
greaterloss;forthetemporaryhighpriceisverylikelytohave
temptedothers,whohadnoshareincausingit,andwhomight
otherwisenothavefoundtheirwaytohismarketatall,tobring
theircornthere,andinterceptapartoftheadvantage。Sothat
insteadofprofitingbyascarcitycausedbyhimself,heisbyno
meansunlikely,afterbuyinginanaveragemarket,tobeforced
tosellinasuper—abundantone。
Asanindividualspeculatorcannotgainbyariseofprice
solelyofhisowncreating,soneithercananumberof
speculatorsgaincollectivelybyarisewhichtheiroperations
haveartificiallyproduced。Someamonganumberofspeculators
maygain,bysuperiorjudgmentorgoodfortuneinselectingthe
timeforrealizing,buttheymakethisgainattheexpense,not
oftheconsumer,butoftheotherspeculatorswhoareless
judicious。They,infact,converttotheirownbenefitthehigh
priceproducedbythespeculationsoftheothers,leavingto
thesethelossresultingfromtherecoil。Itisnottobedenied,
therefore,thatspeculatorsmayenrichthemselvesbyother
people’sloss。Butitisbythelossesofotherspeculators。As
muchmusthavebeenlostbyonesetofdealersasisgainedby
anotherset。
Whenaspeculationinacommodityprovesprofitabletothe
speculatorsasabody,itisbecause,intheintervalbetween
theirbuyingandreselling,thepricerisesfromsomecause
independentofthem,theironlyconnexionwithitconsistingin
havingforeseenit。Inthiscase,theirpurchasesmaketheprice
begintorisesoonerthanitotherwisewoulddo,thusspreading
theprivationoftheconsumersoveralongerperiod,but
mitigatingitatthetimeofitsgreatestheight:evidentlyto
thegeneraladvantage。Inthis,however,itisassumedthatthey
havenotoverratedtherisewhichtheylookedforwardto。Forit
oftenhappensthatspeculativepurchasesaremadeinthe
expectationofsomeincreaseofdemand,ordeficiencyofsupply,
whichafteralldoesnotoccur,ornottotheextentwhichthe
speculatorexpected。Inthatcasethespeculation,insteadof
moderatingfluctuation,hascausedafluctuationofpricewhich
otherwisewouldnothavehappened,oraggravatedonewhichwould。
Butinthatcase,thespeculationisalosingone,tothe
speculatorscollectively,howevermuchsomeindividualsmaygain
byit。Allthatpartoftheriseofpricebywhichitexceeds
whatthereareindependentgroundsfor,cannotgivetothe
speculatorsasabodyanybenefit,sincethepriceisasmuch
depressedbytheirsalesasitwasraisedbytheirpurchases;and
whiletheygainnothingbyit,theylose,notonlytheirtrouble
andexpenses,butalmostalwaysmuchmore,throughtheeffects
incidenttotheartificialriseofprice,inchecking
consumption,andbringingforwardsuppliesfromunforeseen
quarters。Theoperations,therefore,ofspeculativedealers,are
usefultothepublicwheneverprofitabletothemselves;and
thoughtheyaresometimesinjurioustothepublic,byheightening
thefluctuationswhichtheirmoreusualofficeistoalleviate,
yetwheneverthishappensthespeculatorsarethegreatest
losers。Theinterest,inshort,ofthespeculatorsasabody,
coincideswiththeinterestofthepublic;andastheycanonly
failtoservethepublicinterestinproportionastheymiss
theirown,thebestwaytopromotetheoneistoleavethemto
pursuetheotherinperfectfreedom。
Idonotdenythatspeculatorsmayaggravatealocal
scarcity。Incollectingcornfromthevillagestosupplythe
towns,theymakethedearthpenetrateintonooksandcorners
whichmightotherwisehaveescapedfrombearingtheirshareof
it。Tobuyandresellinthesameplace,tendstoalleviate
scarcity;tobuyinoneplaceandresellinanother,mayincrease
itintheformerofthetwoplaces,butrelievesitinthe
latter,wherethepriceishigher,andwhich,therefore,bythe
verysupposition,islikelytobesufferingmore。Andthese
sufferingsalwaysfallhardestonthepoorestconsumers,since
therich,byoutbidding,canobtaintheiraccustomedsupply
undiminishediftheychoose。Tonopersons,therefore,arethe
operationsofcorn—dealersonthewholesobeneficialastothe
poor。Accidentallyandexceptionally,thepoormaysufferfrom
them:itmightsometimesbemoreadvantageoustotheruralpoor
tohavecorncheapinwinter,whentheyareentirelydependenton
it,eveniftheconsequencewereadearthinspring,whenthey
canperhapsobtainpartialsubstitutes。Butthereareno
substitutes,procurableatthatseason,whichserveinanygreat
degreetoreplacebread—cornasthechiefarticleoffood:if
therewere,itspricewouldfallinthespring,insteadof
continuing,asitalwaysdoes,torisetilltheapproachof
harvest。
Thereisanoppositionofimmediateinterest,atthemoment
ofsale,betweenthedealerincornandtheconsumer,asthere
alwaysisbetweenthesellerandthebuyer:andatimeofdearth
beingthatinwhichthespeculatormakeshislargestprofits,he
isanobjectofdislikeandjealousyatthattime,tothosewho
aresufferingwhileheisgaining。Itisanerror,however,to
supposethatthecorn。dealer’sbusinessaffordshimany
extraordinaryprofit:hemakeshisgainsnotconstantly,butat
particulartimes,andtheymustthereforeoccasionallybegreat,
butthechancesofprofitinabusinessinwhichthereissomuch
competition,cannotonthewholebegreaterthaninother
employments。Ayearofscarcity,inwhichgreatgainsaremadeby
corn—dealers,rarelycomestoanendwithoutarecoilwhich
placesmanyoftheminthelistofbankrupts。Therehavebeenfew
morepromisingseasonsforcorn—dealersthantheyear1847,and
seldomwasthereagreaterbreak—upamongthespeculatorsthanin
theautumnofthatyear。Thechancesoffailure,inthismost
precarioustrade,areasetoffagainstgreatoccasionalprofits。
Ifthecorn—dealerweretosellhisstores,duringadearth,ata
lowerpricethanthatwhichthecompetitionoftheconsumers
assignstohim,hewouldmakeasacrifice,tocharityor
philanthropy,ofthefairprofitsofhisemployment,whichmaybe
quiteasreasonablyrequiredfromanyotherpersonofequal
means。Hisbusinessbeingausefulone,itistheinterestofthe
publicthattheordinarymotivesshouldexistforcarryingiton,
andthatneitherlawnoropinionshouldpreventanoperation
beneficialtothepublicfrombeingattendedwithasmuchprivate
advantageasiscompatiblewithfullandfreecompetition。
Itappears,then,thatthefluctuationsofvaluesandprices
arisingfromvariationsofsupply,orfromalterationsinreal
(asdistinguishedfromspeculative)demand,maybeexpectedto
becomemoremoderateassocietyadvances。Withregardtothose
whicharisefrommiscalculation,andespeciallyfromthe
alterationsofundueexpansionandexcessivecontractionof
credit,whichoccupysoconspicuousaplaceamongcommercial
phenomena,thesamethingcannotbeaffirmedwithequal
confidence。Suchvicissitudes,beginningwithirrational
speculationandendingwithacommercialcrisis,havenot
hithertobecomeeitherlessfrequentorlessviolentwiththe
growthofcapitalandextensionofindustry。Rathertheymaybe
saidtohavebecomemoreso:inconsequence,asisoftensaid,of
increasedcompetition;but,asIprefertosay,ofalowrateof
profitsandinterest,whichmakescapitalistsdissatisfiedwith
theordinarycourseofsafemercantilegains。Theconnexionof
thislowrateofprofitwiththeadvanceofpopulationand
accumulation,isoneofthepointstobeillustratedinthe
ensuingchapters。
NOTES:
1。Astillbettercriterion,perhaps,thanthatsuggestedinthe
text,wouldbetheincreaseordiminutionoftheamountofthe
labourer’swagesestimatedinagriculturalproduce。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book4
Chapter3
InfluenceoftheProgressofIndustryandPopulationonRents,
Profits,andWages
1。Continuingtheinquiryintothenatureoftheeconomical
changestakingplaceinasocietywhichisinastateof
industrialprogress,weshallnextconsiderwhatistheeffectof
thatprogressonthedistributionoftheproduceamongthe
variousclasseswhoshareinit。Wemayconfineourattentionto
thesystemofdistributionwhichisthemostcomplex,andwhich
virtuallyincludesallothers—thatinwhichtheproduceof
manufacturesissharedbetweentwoclasses,labourersand
capitalists,andtheproduceofagricultureamongthree,
labourers,capitalists,andlandlords。
Thecharacteristicfeaturesofwhatiscommonlymeantby
industrialprogress,resolvethemselvesmainlyintothree,
increaseofcapital,increaseofpopulation,andimprovementsin
production;understandingthelastexpressioninitswidest
sense,toincludetheprocessofprocuringcommoditiesfroma
distance,aswellasthatofproducingthem。Theotherchanges
whichtakeplacearechieflyconsequencesofthese;as,for
example,thetendencytoaprogressiveincreaseofthecostof
productionoffood;arisingfromanincreaseddemand,whichmay
beoccasionedeitherbyincreasedpopulation,orbyanincrease
ofcapitalandwages,enablingthepoorerclassestoincrease
theirconsumption。Itwillbeconvenienttosetoutby
consideringeachofthethreecauses,asoperatingseparately;
afterwhichwecansupposethemcombinedinanymannerwethink
fit。
Letusfirstsupposethatpopulationincreases,capitaland
theartsofproductionremainingstationary。Oneoftheeffects
ofthischangeofcircumstancesissufficientlyobvious:wages
willfall;thelabouringclasswillbereducedtoaninferior
condition。Thestateofthecapitalist,onthecontrary,willbe
improved。Withthesamecapital,hecanpurchasemorelabour,and
obtainmoreproduce。Hisrateofprofitisincreased。The
dependenceoftherateofprofitsonthecostoflabourishere
verified;forthelabourerobtainingadiminishedquantityof
commodities,andnoalterationbeingsupposedinthe
circumstancesoftheirproduction,thediminishedquantity
representsadiminishedcost。Thelabourerobtainsnotonlya
smallerrealreward,buttheproductofasmallerquantityof
labour。Thefirstcircumstanceistheimportantonetohimself,
thelasttohisemployer。
Nothinghasoccurred,thusfar,toaffectinanywaythe
valueofanycommodity;andnoreason,therefore,hasyetshown
itself,whyrentshouldbeeitherraisedorlowered。Butifwe
lookforwardanotherstageintheseriesofeffects,wemaysee
ourwaytosuchaconsequence。Thelabourershaveincreasedin
numbers:theirconditionisreducedinthesameproportion;the
increasednumbersdivideamongthemonlytheproduceofthesame
amountoflabourasbefore。Buttheymayeconomizeintheirother
comforts,andnotintheirfood:eachmayconsumeasmuchfood,
andofascostlyaqualityaspreviously;ortheymaysubmittoa
reduction,butnotinproportiontotheincreaseofnumbers。On
thissupposition,notwithstandingthediminutionofrealwages,
theincreasedpopulationwillrequireanincreasedquantityof
food。Butsinceindustrialskillandknowledgearesupposedtobe
stationary,morefoodcanonlybeobtainedbyresortingtoworse
land,ortomethodsofcultivationwhicharelessproductivein
proportiontotheoutlay。Capitalforthisextensionof
agriculturewillnotbewanting;forthough,byhypothesis,no
additiontakesplacetothecapitalinexistence,asufficient
amountcanbesparedfromtheindustrywhichpreviouslysupplied
theotherandlesspressingwantswhichthelabourershavebeen
obligedtocurtail。Theadditionalsupplyoffood,therefore,
willbeproduced,butproducedatagreatercost;andthe
exchangevalueofagriculturalproducemustrise。Itmaybe
objected,thatprofitshavingrisen,theextracostofproducing
foodcanbedefrayedfromprofits,withoutanyincreaseofprice。
Itcould,undoubtedly,butitwillnot;becauseifitdid,the
agriculturistwouldbeplacedinaninferiorpositiontoother
capitalists。Theincreaseofprofits,beingtheeffectof
diminishedwages,iscommontoallemployersoflabour。The
increasedexpensesarisingfromthenecessityofamorecostly
cultivation,affecttheagriculturistalone。Forthispeculiar
burthenhemustbepeculiarlycompensated,whetherthegeneral
rateofprofitbehighorlow。Hewillnotsubmitindefinitelyto
adeductionfromhisprofits,towhichothercapitalistsarenot
subject。Hewillnotextendhiscultivationbylayingoutfresh
capital,unlessforareturnsufficienttoyieldhimashigha
profitascouldbeobtainedbythesamecapitalinother
investments。Thevalue,therefore,ofhiscommoditywillrise,
andriseinpro。portiontotheincreasedcost。Thefarmerwill
thusbeindemnifiedfortheburthenwhichispeculiartohimself,
andwillalsoenjoytheaugmentedrateofprofitwhichiscommon
toallcapitalists。
Itfollows,fromprincipleswithwhichwearealready
familiar,thatinthesecircumstancesrentwillrise。Anyland
canaffordtopay,andunderfreecompetitionwillpay,arent
equaltotheexcessofitsproduceabovethereturntoanequal
capitalontheworstland,orundertheleastfavourable
conditions。Whenever,therefore,agricultureisdriventodescend
toworseland,ormoreonerousprocesses,rentrises。Itsrise
willbetwofold,for,inthefirstplace,rentinkind,orcorn
rent,willrise;andinthesecond,sincethevalueof
agriculturalproducehasalsorisen,rent,estimatedin
manufacturedorforeigncommodities(whichisrepresented,
caeterisparibus,bymoneyrent)willrisestillmore。
Thestepsoftheprocess(if,afterwhathasbeenformerly
said,itisnecessarytoretracethem)areasfollows。Cornrises
inprice,torepaywiththeordinaryprofitthecapitalrequired
forproducingadditionalcornonworselandorbymorecostly
processes。Sofarasregardsthisadditionalcorn,theincreased
priceisbutanequivalentfortheadditionalexpense;butthe
rise,extendingtoallcorn,affordsonall,exceptthelast
produced,anextraprofit。Ifthefarmerwasaccustomedto
produce100quartersofwheatat40s。,and120quartersarenow
required,ofwhichthelasttwentycannotbeproducedunder45s。,
heobtainstheextrafiveshillingsontheentire120quarters,
andnotonthelasttwentyalone。Hehasthusanextra25l。
beyondtheordinaryprofits,andthis,inastateoffree
competition,hewillnotbeabletoretain。Hecannothoweverbe
compelledtogiveituptotheconsumer,sincealesspricethan
45s。wouldbeinconsistentwiththeproductionofthelasttwenty
quarters。Theprice,then,willremainat45s。,andthe25l。will
betransferredbycompetitionnottotheconsumerbuttothe
landlord。Ariseofrentsisthereforeinevitablyconsequenton
anincreaseddemandforagriculturalproduce,whenunaccompanied
byincreasedfacilitiesforitsproduction。Atruthwhich,after
thisfinalillustration,wemayhenceforthtakeforgranted。
Thenewelementnowintroduced—anincreaseddemandforfood
—besidesoccasioninganincreaseofrent,stillfurtherdisturbs
thedistributionoftheproducebetweencapitalistsand
labourers。Theincreaseofpopulationwillhavediminishedthe
rewardoflabour:andifitscostisdiminishedasgreatlyasits
realremuneration,profitswillbeincreasedbythefullamount。
If,however,theincreaseofpopulationleadstoanincreased
productionoffood,whichcannotbesuppliedbutatanenhanced
costofproduction,thecostoflabourwillnotbesomuch
diminishedastherealrewardofit,andprofits,therefore,will
notbesomuchraised。Itisevenpossiblethattheymightnotbe
raisedatall。Thelabourersmaypreviouslyhavebeensowell
providedfor,thatthewholeofwhattheynowlosemaybestruck
offfromtheirotherindulgences,andtheymaynot,eitherby
necessityorchoice,undergoanyreductioninthequantityor
qualityoftheirfood。Toproducethefoodfortheincreased
numbermaybeattendedwithsuchanincreaseofexpense,that
wages,thoughreducedinquantity,mayrepresentasgreatacost,
maybetheproductofasmuchlabour,asbefore,andthe
capitalistmaynotbeatallbenefited。Onthissuppositionthe
losstothelabourerispartlyabsorbedintheadditionallabour
requiredforproducingthelastinstalmentofagricultural
produce;andtheremainderisgainedbythelandlord,theonly
sharerwhoalwaysbenefitsbyanincreaseofpopulation。
2。Letusnowreverseourhypothesis,andinsteadof
supposingcapitalstationaryandpopulationadvancing,letus
supposecapitaladvancingandpopulationstationary;the
facilitiesofproduction,bothnaturalandacquired,being,as
before,unaltered。Therealwagesoflabour,insteadoffalling,
willnowrise;andsincethecostofproductionofthethings
consumedbythelabourerisnotdiminished,thisriseofwages
impliesanequivalentincreaseofthecostoflabour,and
diminutionofprofits。Tostatethesamedeductioninother
terms;thelabourersnotbeingmorenumerous,andtheproductive
poweroftheirlabourbeingonlythesameasbefore,thereisno
increaseoftheproduce;theincreaseofwages,therefore,must
beatthechargeofthecapitalist。Itisnotimpossiblethatthe
costoflabourmightbeincreasedinevenagreaterratiothan
itsrealremuneration。Theimprovedconditionofthelabourers
mayincreasethedemandforfood。Thelabourersmayhavebeenso
illoffbefore,asnottohavefoodenough;andmaynowconsume
more:ortheymaychoosetoexpendtheirincreasedmeanspartly
orwhollyinamorecostlyqualityoffood,requiringmorelabour
andmoreland;wheat,forexample,insteadofoats,orpotatoes。
Thisextensionofagricultureimplies,asusual,agreatercost
ofproductionandahigherprice,sothatbesidestheincreaseof
thecostoflabourarisingfromtheincreaseofitsreward,there
willbeafurtherincrease(andanadditionalfallofprofits)
fromtheincreasedcostlinessofthecommoditiesofwhichthat
rewardconsists。Thesamecauseswillproduceariseofrent。
Whatthecapitalistslose,abovewhatthelabourersgain,is
partlytransferredtothelandlord,andpartlyswallowedupin
thecostofgrowingfoodonworselandorbyalessproductive
process。
3。Havingdisposedofthetwosimplecases,anincreasing
populationandstationarycapital,andanincreasingcapitaland
stationarypopulation,wearepreparedtotakeintoconsideration
themixedcase,inwhichthetwoelementsofexpansionare
combined,bothpopulationandcapitalincreasing。Ifeither
elementincreasesfasterthantheother,thecaseissofar
assimilatedwithoneorotherofthetwopreceding:weshall
supposethem,therefore,toincreasewithequalrapidity;the
testofequalitybeing,thateachlabourerobtainsthesame
commoditiesasbefore,andthesamequantityofthose
commodities。Letusexaminewhatwillbetheeffect,onrentand
profits,ofthisdoubleprogress。
Populationhavingincreased,withoutanyfallingoffinthe
labourer’scondition,thereisofcourseademandformorefood。
Theartsofproductionbeingsupposedstationary,thisfoodmust
beproducedatanincreasedcost。Tocompensateforthisgreater
costoftheadditionalfood,thepriceofagriculturalproduce
mustrise。Theriseextendingoverthewholeamountoffood
produced,thoughtheincreasedexpensesonlyapplytoapart,
thereisagreatlyincreasedextraprofit,which,bycompetition,
istransferredtothelandlord。Rentwillrisebothinquantity
ofproduceandincost;whilewages,beingsupposedtobethe
sameinquantity,willbegreaterincost。Thelabourerobtaining
thesameamountofnecessaries,moneywageshaverisen;andas
theriseiscommontoallbranchesofproduction,thecapitalist
cannotindemnifyhimselfbychanginghisemployment,andtheloss
mustbebornebyprofits。
Itappears,then,thatthetendencyofanincreaseofcapital
andpopulationistoaddtorentattheexpenseofprofits:
thoughrentdoesnotgainallthatprofitslose,apartbeing
absorbedinincreasedexpensesofproduction,thatis,inhiring
orfeedingagreaternumberoflabourerstoobtainagivenamount
ofagriculturalproduce。Byprofits,mustofcoursebeunderstood
therateofprofit;foralowerrateofprofitonalarger
capitalmayyieldalargergrossprofit,consideredabsolutely,
thoughasmallerinproportiontotheentireproduce。
Thistendencyofprofitstofall,isfromtimetotime
counter。actedbyimprovementsinproduction:whetherarising
fromincreaseofknowledge,orfromanincreaseduseofthe
knowledgealreadypossessed。Thisisthethirdofthethree
elements,theeffectsofwhichonthedistributionoftheproduce
weunder。tooktoinvestigate;andtheinvestigationwillbe
facilitatedbysupposing,asinthecaseoftheothertwo
elements,thatitoperates,inthefirstinstance,alone。
4。Letusthensupposecapitalandpopulationstationary,and
asuddenimprovementmadeintheartsofproduction;bythe
inventionofmoreefficientmachines,orlesscostlyprocesses,
orbyobtainingaccesstocheapercommoditiesthroughforeign
trade。
Theimprovementmayeitherbeinsomeofthenecessariesor
indulgenceswhichenterintothehabitualconsumptionofthe
labouringclass;oritmaybeapplicableonlytoluxuries
consumedexclusivelybyricherpeople。Veryfew,however,ofthe
greatindustrialimprovementsarealtogetherofthislast
description。Agriculturalimprovements,exceptsuchasspecially
relatetosomeoftherarerandmorepeculiarproducts,act
directlyupontheprincipalobjectsofthelabourer’s
expenditure。Thesteam。engineandeveryotherinventionwhich
affordsamanageablepower,areapplicabletoallthings,andof
coursetothoseconsumedbythelabourer。Eventhepower—loomand
thespinningjenny,thoughappliedtothemostdelicatefabrics,
areavailablenolessforthecoarsecottonsandwoollenswornby
thelabouringclass。Allimprovementsinlocomotioncheapenthe
transportofnecessariesaswellasofluxuries。Seldomisanew
branchoftradeopened,without,eitherdirectlyorinsome
indirectway,causingsomeofthearticleswhichthemassofthe
peopleconsumetobeeitherproducedorimportedatsmallercost。
Itmaysafelybeaffirmed,therefore,thatimprovementsin
productiongenerallytendtocheapenthecommoditiesonwhichthe
wagesofthelabouringclassareexpended。
Insofarasthecommoditiesaffectedbyanimprovementare
thosewhichthelabourersgenerallydonotconsume,the
improvementhasnoeffectinalteringthedistributionofthe
produce。Thoseparticularcommodities,indeed,arecheapened;
beingproducedatlesscost,theyfallinvalueandinprice,and
allwhoconsumethem,whetherlandlords,capitalists,orskilled
andprivilegedlabourers,obtainincreasedmeansofenjoyment。
Therateofprofits,however,isnotraised。Thereisalarger
grossprofit,reckonedinquantityofcommodities。Butthe
capitalalso,ifestimatedinthosecommodities,hasrisenin
value。Theprofitisthesamepercentageonthecapitalthatit
wasbefore。Thecapitalistsarenotbenefitedascapitalists,but
asconsumers。Thelandlordsandtheprivilegedclassesof
labourers,iftheyareconsumersofthesamecommodities,share
thesamebenefit。
Thecaseisdifferentwithimprovementswhichdiminishthe
costofproductionofthenecessariesoflife,orofcommodities
whichenterhabituallyintotheconsumptionofthegreatmassof
labourers。Theplayofthedifferentforcesbeinghererather
complex,itisnecessarytoanalyseitwithsomeminuteness。
Asformerlyobserved,therearetwokindsofagricultural
improvements。Someconsistinameresavingoflabour,andenable
agivenquantityoffoodtobeproducedatlesscost,butnoton
asmallersurfaceoflandthanbefore。Othersenableagiven
extentoflandtoyieldnotonlythesameproducewithless
labour,butagreaterproduce;sothatifnogreaterproduceis
required,apartofthelandalreadyunderculturemaybe
dispensedwith。Asthepartrejectedwillbetheleastproductive
portion,themarketwillthenceforthberegulatedbyabetter
descriptionoflandthanwhatwaspreviouslytheworstunder
cultivation。
Toplacetheeffectoftheimprovementinaclearlight,we
mustsupposeittotakeplacesuddenly,soastoleavenotime
duringitsintroduction,foranyincreaseofcapitalorof
population。Itsfirsteffectwillbeafallofthevalueand
priceofagriculturalproduce。Thisisanecessaryconsequenceof
eitherkindofimprovement,butespeciallyofthelast。
Animprovementofthefirstkind,notincreasingtheproduce,
doesnotdispensewithanyportionoftheland;themarginof
cultivation(asDrChalmerstermsit)remainswhereitwas;
agriculturedoesnotrecede,eitherinextentofcultivatedland,
orinelaboratenessofmethod:andthepricecontinuestobe
regardedbythesameland,andbythesamecapital,asbefore。
Butsincethatlandorcapital,andallotherlandorcapital
whichproducesfood,nowyieldsitsproduceatsmallercost,the
priceoffoodwillfallproportionally。Ifone—tenthofthe
expenseofproductionhasbeensaved,thepriceofproducewill
fallone—tenth。
Butsupposetheimprovementtobeofthesecondkind;
enablingthelandtoproduce,notonlythesamecornwith
one—tenthlesslabour,butatenthmorecornwiththesame
labour。Heretheeffectisstillmoredecided。Cultivationcan
nowbecontracted,andthemarketsuppliedfromasmaller
quantityofland。Evenifthissmallersurfaceoflandwereof
thesameaveragequalityasthelargersurface,thepricewould
fallone—tenth,becausethesameproducewouldbeobtainedwitha
tenthlesslabour。Butsincetheportionoflandabandonedwill
betheleastfertileportion,thepriceofproducewill
thenceforthberegulatedbyabetterqualityoflandthanbefore。
Inaddition,therefore,totheoriginaldiminutionofone—tenth
inthecostofproduction,therewillbeafurtherdiminution,
correspondingwiththerecessionofthe’margin’ofagriculture
tolandofgreaterfertility。Therewillthusbeatwofoldfall
ofprice。
Letusnowexaminetheeffectoftheimprovements,thus
suddenlymade,onthedivisionoftheproduce;andinthefirst
place,onrent。Bytheformerofthetwokindsofimprovement,
rentwouldbediminished。Bythesecond,itwouldbediminished
stillmore。
Supposethatthedemandforfoodrequiresthecultivationof
threequalitiesofland,yielding,onanequalsurface,andatan
equalexpense,100,80,and60bushelsofwheat。Thepriceof
wheatwill,ontheaverage,bejustsufficienttoenablethe
thirdqualitytobecultivatedwiththeordinaryprofit。The
firstqualitythereforewillyieldfortyandthesecondtwenty
bushelsofextraprofit,constitutingtherentofthelandlord。
Andfirst,letanimprovementbemade,which,withoutenabling
morecorntobegrown,enablesthesamecorntobegrownwith
one—fourthlesslabour。Thepriceofwheatwillfallone。fourth,
and8obushelswillbesoldforthepriceforwhich6oweresold
before。Buttheproduceofthelandwhichproduces6obushelsis
stillrequired,andtheexpensesbeingasmuchreducedasthe
price,thatlandcanstillbecultivatedwiththeordinary
profit。Thefirstandsecondqualitieswillthereforecontinueto
yieldasurplusof40and20bushels,andcornrentwillremain
thesameasbefore。Butcornhavingfalleninpriceone。fourth,
thesamecornrentisequivalenttoafourthlessofmoneyandof
allothercommodities。Sofar,therefore,asthelandlordexpends
hisincomeinmanufacturedorforeignproducts,heisone。fourth
worseoffthanbefore。Hisincomeaslandlordisreducedto
three。quartersofitsamount:itisonlyasaconsumerofcorn
thatheisaswelloff。
Iftheimprovementisoftheotherkind,rentwillfallina
stillgreaterratio。Supposethattheamountofproducewhichthe
marketrequires,canbegrownnotonlywithafourthlesslabour,
butonafourthlessland。Ifallthelandalreadyincultivation
continuedtobecultivated,itwouldyieldaproducemuchlarger
thannecessary。Land,equivalenttoafourthoftheproduce,must
nowbeabandoned;andasthethirdqualityyieldedexactly
one。fourth,(being60outof240,)thatqualitywillgooutof
cultivation。The240bushelscannowbegrownonlandofthe
firstandsecondqualitiesonly;being,onthefirst,100bushels
plusone—third,or1331/3bushels;onthesecond,80bushels
plusone—third,or1062/3bushels;together240。Thesecond
qualityofland,insteadofthethird,isnowthelowest,and
regulatestheprice。Insteadof6o,itissufficientif1062/3
bushelsrepaythecapitalwiththeordinaryprofit。Thepriceof
wheatwillconsequentlyfall,notintheratioof6oto8o,asin
theothercase,butintheratioof60to1062/3。Eventhis
givesaninsufficientideaofthedegreeinwhichrentwillbe
affected。Thewholeproduceofthesecondqualityoflandwill
nowberequiredtorepaytheexpensesofproduction。Thatland,
beingtheworstincultivation,willpaynorent。Andthefirst
qualitywillonlyyieldthedifferencebetween1331/3bushels
and1062/3,being262/3bushelsinsteadof40。Thelandlords
collectivelywillhavelost331/3outof60bushelsincornrent
alone,whilethevalueandpriceofwhatisleftwillhavebeen
diminishedintheratioof6oto1062/3。
Itthusappears,thattheinterestofthelandlordis
decidedlyhostiletothesuddenandgeneralintroductionof
agriculturalimprovements。Thisassertionhasbeencalleda
paradox,andmadeagroundforaccusingitsfirstpromulgator,
Ricardo,ofgreatintellectualperverseness,tosaynothing
worse。Icannotdiscerninwhattheparadoxconsists;andthe
obliquityofvisionseemstometobeonthesideofhis
assailants。Theopinionisonlymadetoappearabsurdbystating
itunfairly。Iftheassertionwerethatalandlordisinjuredby
theimprovementofhisestate,itwouldcertainlybe
indefensible;butwhatisassertedis,thatheisinjuredbythe
improvementoftheestatesofotherpeople,althoughhisownis
included。Nobodydoubtsthathewouldgaingreatlybythe
improvementifhecouldkeepittohimself,andunitethetwo
benefits,anincreasedproducefromhisland,andapriceashigh
asbefore。Butiftheincreaseofproducetookplace
simultaneouslyonalllands,thepricewouldnotbeashighas
before;andthereisnothingunreasonableinsupposingthatthe
landlordswouldbe,notbenefited,butinjured。Itisadmitted
thatwhateverpermanentlyreducesthepriceofproducediminishes
rent:anditisquiteinaccordancewithcommonnotionsto
supposethatif,bytheincreasedproductivenessofland,less
landwererequiredforcultivation,itsvalue,likethatofother
articlesforwhichthedemandhaddiminished,wouldfall。
Iamquitewillingtoadmitthatrentshavenotreallybeen
loweredbytheprogressofagriculturalimprovement;butwhy?
Becauseimprovementhasneverinrealitybeensudden,butalways
slow;atnotimemuchoutstripping,andoftenfallingfarshort
of,thegrowthofcapitalandpopulation,whichtendsasmuchto
raiserent,astheothertolowerit,andwhichisenabledaswe
shallpresentlysee,toraiseitmuchhigher,bymeansofthe
additionalmarginaffordedbyimprovementsinagriculture。First,
however,wemustexamineinwhatmannerthesuddencheapeningof
agriculturalproducewouldaffectprofitsandwages。
Inthebeginning,moneywageswouldprobablyremainthesame
asbefore,andthelabourerswouldhavethefullbenefitofthe
cheapness。Theywouldbeenabledtoincreasetheirconsumption
eitheroffoodorofotherarticles,andwouldreceivethesame
cost,andagreaterquantity。Sofar,profitswouldbe
unaffected。Butthepermanentremunerationofthelabourers
essentiallydependsonwhatwehavecalledtheirhabitual
standard;theextentoftherequirementswhich,asaclass,they
insistonsatisfyingbeforetheychoosetohavechildren。If
theirtastesandrequirementsreceiveadurableimpressfromthe
suddenimprovementintheircondition,thebenefittotheclass
willbepermanent。Butthesamecausewhichenablesthemto
purchasegreatercomfortsandindulgenceswiththesamewages,
wouldenablethemtopurchasethesameamountofcomfortsand
indulgenceswithlowerwages;andagreaterpopulationmaynow
exist,withoutreducingthelabourersbelowtheconditionto
whichtheyareaccustomed。Hithertothisandnootherhasbeen
theusewhichthelabourershavecommonlymadeofanyincreaseof
theirmeansofliving;theyhavetreateditsimplyasconvertible
intofoodforagreaternumberofchildren。Itisprobable,
therefore,thatpopulationwouldbestimulated,andthatafter
thelapseofagenerationtherealwagesoflabourwouldbeno
higherthanbeforetheimprovement:thereductionbeingpartly
broughtaboutbyafallofmoneywages,andpartlythroughthe
priceoffood,thecostofwhich,fromthedemandoccasionedby
theincreaseofpopulation,wouldbeincreased。Totheextentto
whichmoneywagesfell,profitswouldrise:thecapitalist
obtainingagreaterquantityofequallyefficientlabourbythe
sameoutlayofcapital。Wethusseethatadiminutionofthecost
ofliving,whetherarisingfromagriculturalimprovementsorfrom
theimportationofforeignproduce,ifthehabitsand
requirementsofthelabourersarenotraised,usuallylowers
moneywagesandrent,andraisesthegeneralrateofprofit。
Whatistrueofimprovementswhichcheapentheproductionof
food,istruealsoofthesubstitutionofacheaperforamore
costlyvarietyofit。Thesamelandyieldstothesamelaboura
muchgreaterquantityofhumannutrimentintheformofmaizeor
potatoes,thanintheformofwheat。Ifthelabourerswereto
giveupbread,andfeedonlyonthosecheaperproducts,takingas
theircompensationnotagreaterquantityofotherconsumable
commodities,butearliermarriagesandlargerfamilies,thecost
oflabourwouldbemuchdiminished,andiflabourcontinued
equallyefficient,profitswouldrise;whilerentwouldbemuch
lowered,sincefoodforthewholepopulationcouldberaisedon
halforathirdpartofthelandnowsownwithcorn。Atthesame
time,itbeingevidentthatlandtoobarrentobecultivatedfor
wheatmightbemadeincaseofnecessitytoyieldpotatoes
sufficienttosupportthelittlelabournecessaryforproducing
them,cultivationmightultimatelydescendlower,andrent
eventuallyrisehigher,onapotatoormaizesystem,thanona
cornsystem;becausethelandwouldbecapableoffeedingamuch
largerpopulationbeforereachingthelimitofitspowers。
Iftheimprovement,whichwesupposetotakeplace,isnotin
theproductionoffood,butofsomemanufacturedarticleconsumed
bythelabouringclass,theeffectonwagesandprofitswillat
firstbethesame;buttheeffectonrentverydifferent。Itwill
notbelowered;itwilleven,iftheultimateeffectofthe
improvementisanincreaseofpopulation,beraised:inwhich
lastcaseprofitswillbelowered。Thereasonsaretooevidentto
requirestatement。