Asforprices,inthesecircumstancestheywouldbeaffected
  ornot,accordingastheimprovementsinproductiondidordid
  notextendtothepreciousmetals。Ifthematerialsofmoneywere
  anexceptiontothegeneraldiminutionofcostofproduction,the
  valuesofallotherthingswouldfallinrelationtomoney,that
  is,therewouldbeafallofgeneralpricesthroughouttheworld。
  Butifmoney,likeotherthings,andinthesamedegreeasother
  things,wereobtainedingreaterabundanceandcheapness,prices
  wouldbenomoreaffectedthanvalueswould:andtherewouldbe
  novisiblesigninthestateofthemarkets,ofanyofthe
  changeswhichhadtakenplace;exceptthattherewouldbe(if
  peoplecontinuedtolabourasmuchasbefore)agreaterquantity
  ofallsortsofcommodities,circulatedatthesamepricesbya
  greaterquantityofmoney。
  Improvementsinproductionarenottheonlycircumstance
  accompanyingtheprogressofindustry,whichtendstodiminish
  thecostofproducing,oratleastofobtaining,commodities。
  Anothercircumstanceistheincreaseofintercoursebetween
  differentpartsoftheworld。Ascommerceextends,andthe
  ignorantattemptstorestrainitbytariffsbecomeobsolete,
  commoditiestendmoreandmoretobeproducedintheplacesin
  whichtheirproductioncanbecarriedonattheleastexpenseof
  labourandcapitaltomankind。Ascivilizationspreads,and
  securityofpersonandpropertybecomesestablished,inpartsof
  theworldwhichhavenothithertohadthatadvantage,the
  productivecapabilitiesofthoseplacesarecalledintofuller
  activity,forthebenefitbothoftheirowninhabitantsandof
  foreigners。Theignoranceandmisgovernmentinwhichmanyofthe
  regionsmostfavouredbynaturearestillgrovelling,afford
  work,probably,formanygenerationsbeforethosecountrieswill
  beraisedeventothepresentlevelofthemostcivilizedparts
  ofEurope。Muchwillalsodependontheincreasingmigrationof
  labourandcapitaltounoccupiedpartsoftheearth,ofwhichthe
  soil,climate,andsituationarefound,bytheamplemeansof
  explorationnowpossessed,topromisenotonlyalargereturnto
  industry,butgreatfacilitiesofproducingcommoditiessuitedto
  themarketsofoldcountries。Muchasthecollectiveindustryof
  theearthislikelytobeincreasedinefficiencybythe
  extensionofscienceandoftheindustrialarts,astillmore
  activesourceofincreasedcheapnessofproductionwillbefound,
  probably,forsometimetocome,inthegraduallyunfolding
  consequencesofFreeTrade,andintheincreasingscaleonwhich
  EmigrationandColonizationwillbecarriedon。
  Fromthecausesnowenumerated,unlesscounteractedby
  others,theprogressofthingsenablesacountrytoobtainat
  lessandlessofrealcost,notonlyitsownproductionsbut
  thoseofforeigncountries。Indeed,whateverdiminishesthecost
  ofitsownproductions,whenofanexportablecharacter,enables
  it,aswehavealreadyseen,toobtainitsimportsatlessreal
  cost。
  2。Butisitthefact,thatthesetendenciesarenot
  counteracted?Hastheprogressofwealthandindustrynoeffect
  inregardtocostofproduction,buttodiminishit?Areno
  causesofanoppositecharacterbroughtintooperationbythe
  sameprogress,sufficientinsomecasesnotonlytoneutralize,
  buttoovercometheformer,andconvertthedescendingmovement
  ofcostofproductionintoanascendingmovement?Wearealready
  awarethattherearesuchcauses,andthat,inthecaseofthe
  mostimportantclassesofcommodities,foodandmaterials,there
  isatendencydiametricallyoppositetothatofwhichwehave
  beenspeaking。Thecostofproductionofthesecommoditiestends
  toincrease。
  Thisisnotapropertyinherentinthecommodities
  themselves。Ifpopulationwerestationary,andtheproduceofthe
  earthneverneededtobeaugmentedinquantity,therewouldbeno
  causeforgreatercostofproduction。Mankindwould,onthe
  contrary,havethefullbenefitofallimprovementsin
  agriculture,orintheartssubsidiarytoit,andtherewouldbe
  nodifference,inthisrespect,betweentheproductsof
  agricultureandthoseofmanufactures。Theonlyproductsof
  industry,which,ifpopulationdidnotincrease,wouldbeliable
  toarealincreaseofcostofproduction,arethosewhich,
  dependingonamaterialwhichisnotrenewed,areeitherwholly
  orpartiallyexhaustible;suchascoal,andmostifnotall
  metals;foreveniron,themostabundantaswellasmostuseful
  ofmetallicproducts,whichformsaningredientofmostminerals
  andofalmostallrocks,issusceptibleofexhaustionsofaras
  regardsitsrichestandmosttractableores。
  When,however,populationincreases,asithasneveryet
  failedtodowhentheincreaseofindustryandofthemeansof
  subsistencemaderoomforit,thedemandformostofthe
  productionsoftheearth,andparticularlyforfood,increasesin
  acorrespondingproportion。Andthencomesintoeffectthat
  fundamentallawofproductionfromthesoil,onwhichwehaveso
  frequentlyhadoccasiontoexpatiate;thelaw,thatincreased
  labour,inanygivenstateofagriculturalskill,isattended
  withalessthanproportionalincreaseofproduce。Thecostof
  productionofthefruitsoftheearthincreases,caeteris
  paribus,witheveryincreaseofthedemand。
  Notendencyofalikekindexistswithrespectto
  manufacturedarticles。Thetendencyisinthecontrarydirection。
  Thelargerthescaleonwhichmanufacturingoperationsare
  carriedon,themorecheaplytheycaningeneralbeperformed。Mr
  Seniorhasgonethelengthofenunciatingasaninherentlawof
  manufacturingindustry,thatinitincreasedproductiontakes
  placeatasmallercost,whileinagriculturalindustryincreased
  productiontakesplaceatagreatercost。Icannotthink,
  however,thateveninmanufactures,increasedcheapnessfollows
  increasedproductionbyanythingamountingtoalaw。Itisa
  probableandusual,butnotanecessary,consequence。
  Asmanufactures,however,dependfortheirmaterialseither
  uponagriculture,ormining,orthespontaneousproduceofthe
  earth,manufacturingindustryissubject,inrespectofoneof
  itsessentials,tothesamelawasagriculture。Butthecrude
  materialgenerallyformssosmallaportionofthetotalcost,
  thatanytendencywhichmayexisttoaprogressiveincreasein
  thatsingleitem,ismuchover。balancedbythediminution
  continuallytakingplaceinalltheotherelements;towhich
  diminutionitisimpossibleatpresenttoassignanylimit。
  Thetendency,then,beingtoaperpetualincreaseofthe
  productivepoweroflabourinmanufactures,whileinagriculture
  andminingthereisaconflictbetweentwotendencies,theone
  towardsanincreaseofproductivepower,theothertowardsa
  diminutionofit,thecostofproductionbeinglessenedbyevery
  improvementintheprocesses,andaugmentedbyeveryadditionto
  population;itfollowsthattheexchangevaluesofmanufactured
  articles,comparedwiththeproductsofagricultureandofmines,
  have,aspopulationandindustryadvance,acertainanddecided
  tendencytofall。Moneybeingaproductofmines,itmayalsobe
  laiddownasarule,thatmanufacturedarticlestend,associety
  advances,tofallinmoneyprice。Theindustrialhistoryof
  modernnations,especiallyduringthelasthundredyears,fully
  bearsoutthisassertion。
  3。Whetheragriculturalproduceincreasesinabsoluteaswell
  ascomparativecostofproduction,dependsontheconflictofthe
  twoantagonistagencies,increaseofpopulation,andimprovement
  inagriculturalskill。Insome,perhapsinmost,statesof
  society,(lookingatthewholesurfaceoftheearth,)both
  agriculturalskillandpopulationareeitherstationary,or
  increaseveryslowly,andthecostofproductionoffood,
  therefore,isnearlystationary。Inasocietywhichisadvancing
  inwealth,populationgenerallyincreasesfasterthan
  agriculturalskill,andfoodconsequentlytendstobecomemore
  costly;buttherearetimeswhenastrongimpulsesetsintowards
  agriculturalimprovement。Suchanimpulsehasshownitselfin
  GreatBritainduringthelasttwentyorthirtyyears。InEngland
  andScotlandagriculturalskillhasoflateincreased
  considerablyfasterthanpopulation,insomuchthatfoodandother
  agriculturalproduce,notwithstandingtheincreaseofpeople,can
  begrownatlesscostthantheywerethirtyyearsago:andthe
  abolitionoftheCornLawshasgivenanadditionalstimulusto
  thespiritofimprovement。Insomeothercountries,and
  particularlyinFrance,theimprovementofagriculturegains
  groundstillmoredecidedlyuponpopulation,becausethough
  agriculture,exceptinafewprovinces,advancesslowly,
  populationadvancesstillmoreslowly,andevenwithincreasing
  slowness;itsgrowthbeingkeptdown,notbypoverty,whichis
  diminishing,butbyprudence。
  Whichofthetwoconflictingagenciesisgaininguponthe
  otheratanyparticulartime,mightbeconjecturedwithtolerable
  accuracyfromthemoneypriceofagriculturalproduce(supposing
  bullionnottovarymateriallyinvalue),providedasufficient
  numberofyearscouldbetaken,toformanaverageindependentof
  thefluctuationsofseasons。This,however,ishardly
  practicable,sinceMrTookehasshownthatevensolongaperiod
  ashalfacenturymayincludeamuchgreaterproportionof
  abundantandasmallerofdeficientseasonsthanisproperlydue
  toit。Amereaverage,therefore,mightleadtoconclusionsonly
  themoremisleading,fortheirdeceptivesemblanceofaccuracy。
  Therewouldbelessdangeroferrorintakingtheaverageofonly
  asmallnumberofyears,andcorrectingitbyaconjectural
  allowanceforthecharacteroftheseasons,thanintrustingtoa
  longeraveragewithoutanysuchcorrection。Itishardly
  necessarytoadd,thatinfoundingconclusionsonquotedprices,
  allowancemustalsobemadeasfaraspossibleforanychangesin
  thegeneralexchangevalueofthepreciousmetals。(1*)
  4。Thusfar,oftheeffectoftheprogressofsocietyonthe
  permanentoraveragevaluesandpricesofcommodities。Itremains
  tobeconsidered,inwhatmannerthesameprogressaffectstheir
  fluctuations。Concerningtheanswertothisquestiontherecanbe
  nodoubt。Ittendsinaveryhighdegreetodiminishthem。In
  poorandbackwardsocieties,asintheEast,andinEuropeduring
  theMiddleAges,extraordinarydifferencesinthepriceofthe
  samecommoditymightexistinplacesnotverydistantfromeach
  other,becausethewantofroadsandcanals,theimperfectionof
  marinenavigation,andtheinsecurityofcommunications
  generally,preventedthingsfrombeingtransportedfromthe
  placeswheretheywerecheaptothosewheretheyweredear。The
  thingsmostliabletofluctuationsinvalue,thosedirectly
  influencedbytheseasons,andespeciallyfood,wereseldom
  carriedtoanygreatdistances。Eachlocalitydepended,asa
  generalrule,onitsownproduceandthatofitsimmediate
  neighbourhood。Inmostyears,accordingly,therewas,insome
  partorotherofanylargecountry,arealdearth。Almostevery
  seasonmustbeunpropitioustosomeamongthemanysoilsand
  climatestobefoundinanextensivetractofcountry;butasthe
  sameseasonisalsoingeneralmorethanordinarilyfavourableto
  others,itisonlyoccasionallythattheaggregateproduceofthe
  wholecountryisdeficient,andeventheninalessdegreethan
  thatofmanyseparateportions;whileadeficiencyatall
  considerable,extendingtothewholeworld,isathingalmostun。
  known。Inmoderntimes,therefore,thereisonlydearth,where
  thereformerlywouldhavebeenfamine,andsufficiencyeverywhere
  whenancientlytherewouldhavebeenscarcityinsomeplacesand
  superfluityinothers。
  Thesamechangehastakenplacewithrespecttoallother
  articlesofcommerce。Thesafetyandcheapnessofcommunications,
  whichenableadeficiencyinoneplacetobesuppliedfromthe
  surplusofanother,atamoderateorevenasmalladvanceonthe
  ordinaryprice,renderthefluctuationsofpricesmuchless
  extremethanformerly。Thiseffectismuchpromotedbythe
  existenceoflargecapitals,belongingtowhatarecalled
  speculativemerchants,whosebusinessitistobuygoodsinorder
  toresellthemataprofit。Thesedealersnaturallybuyingthings
  whentheyarecheapest,andstoringthemuptobebroughtagain
  intothemarketwhenthepricehasbecomeunusuallyhigh;the
  tendencyoftheiroperationsistoequalizeprice,oratleastto
  moderateitsinequalities。Thepricesofthingsareneitherso
  muchdepressedatonetime,norsomuchraisedatanother,as
  theywouldbeifspeculativedealersdidnotexist。
  Speculators,therefore,haveahighlyusefulofficeinthe
  economyofsociety;and(contrarytocommonopinion)themost
  usefulportionoftheclassarethosewhospeculatein
  commoditiesaffectedbythevicissitudesofseasons。Ifthere
  werenocorn—dealers,notonlywouldthepriceofcornbeliable
  tovariationsmuchmoreextremethanatpresent,butina
  deficientseasonthenecessarysuppliesmightnotbeforthcoming
  atall。Unlesstherewerespeculatorsincorn,orunless,in
  defaultofdealers,thefarmersbecamespeculators,thepricein
  aseasonofabundancewouldfallwithoutanylimitorcheck,
  exceptthewastefulconsumptionthatwouldinvariablyfollow。
  Thatanypartofthesurplusofoneyearremainstosupplythe
  deficiencyofanother,isowingeithertofarmerswhowithhold
  cornfromthemarket,ortodealerswhobuyitwhenatthe
  cheapestandlayitupinstore。
  5。Amongpersonswhohavenotmuchconsideredthesubject,
  thereisanotionthatthegainsofspeculatorsareoftenmadeby
  causinganartificialscarcity;thattheycreateahighpriceby
  theirownpurchases,andthenprofitbyit。Thismayeasilybe
  showntobefallacious。Ifacorn—dealermakespurchaseson
  speculation,andproducesarise,whenthereisneitheratthe
  timenorafterwardsanycauseforariseofpriceexcepthisown
  proceedings;henodoubtappearstogrowricheraslongashis
  purchasescontinue,becauseheisaholderofanarticlewhichis
  quotedatahigherandhigherprice:butthisapparentgainonly
  seemswithinhisreachsolongashedoesnotattempttorealize
  it。Ifhehasbought,forinstance,amillionofquarters,andby
  with。holdingthemfromthemarket,hasraisedthepriceten
  shillingsaquarter;justsomuchasthepricehasbeenraisedby
  withdrawingamillionquarters,willitbeloweredbybringing
  themback,andthebestthathecanhopeisthathewilllose
  nothingexceptinterestandhisexpenses。Ifbyagradualand
  cautioussaleheisabletorealize,onsomeportionofhis
  stores,apartoftheincreasedprice,soalsohewill
  undoubtedlyhavehadtopayapartofthatpriceonsomeportion
  ofhispurchases。Herunsconsiderableriskofincurringastill
  greaterloss;forthetemporaryhighpriceisverylikelytohave
  temptedothers,whohadnoshareincausingit,andwhomight
  otherwisenothavefoundtheirwaytohismarketatall,tobring
  theircornthere,andinterceptapartoftheadvantage。Sothat
  insteadofprofitingbyascarcitycausedbyhimself,heisbyno
  meansunlikely,afterbuyinginanaveragemarket,tobeforced
  tosellinasuper—abundantone。
  Asanindividualspeculatorcannotgainbyariseofprice
  solelyofhisowncreating,soneithercananumberof
  speculatorsgaincollectivelybyarisewhichtheiroperations
  haveartificiallyproduced。Someamonganumberofspeculators
  maygain,bysuperiorjudgmentorgoodfortuneinselectingthe
  timeforrealizing,buttheymakethisgainattheexpense,not
  oftheconsumer,butoftheotherspeculatorswhoareless
  judicious。They,infact,converttotheirownbenefitthehigh
  priceproducedbythespeculationsoftheothers,leavingto
  thesethelossresultingfromtherecoil。Itisnottobedenied,
  therefore,thatspeculatorsmayenrichthemselvesbyother
  people’sloss。Butitisbythelossesofotherspeculators。As
  muchmusthavebeenlostbyonesetofdealersasisgainedby
  anotherset。
  Whenaspeculationinacommodityprovesprofitabletothe
  speculatorsasabody,itisbecause,intheintervalbetween
  theirbuyingandreselling,thepricerisesfromsomecause
  independentofthem,theironlyconnexionwithitconsistingin
  havingforeseenit。Inthiscase,theirpurchasesmaketheprice
  begintorisesoonerthanitotherwisewoulddo,thusspreading
  theprivationoftheconsumersoveralongerperiod,but
  mitigatingitatthetimeofitsgreatestheight:evidentlyto
  thegeneraladvantage。Inthis,however,itisassumedthatthey
  havenotoverratedtherisewhichtheylookedforwardto。Forit
  oftenhappensthatspeculativepurchasesaremadeinthe
  expectationofsomeincreaseofdemand,ordeficiencyofsupply,
  whichafteralldoesnotoccur,ornottotheextentwhichthe
  speculatorexpected。Inthatcasethespeculation,insteadof
  moderatingfluctuation,hascausedafluctuationofpricewhich
  otherwisewouldnothavehappened,oraggravatedonewhichwould。
  Butinthatcase,thespeculationisalosingone,tothe
  speculatorscollectively,howevermuchsomeindividualsmaygain
  byit。Allthatpartoftheriseofpricebywhichitexceeds
  whatthereareindependentgroundsfor,cannotgivetothe
  speculatorsasabodyanybenefit,sincethepriceisasmuch
  depressedbytheirsalesasitwasraisedbytheirpurchases;and
  whiletheygainnothingbyit,theylose,notonlytheirtrouble
  andexpenses,butalmostalwaysmuchmore,throughtheeffects
  incidenttotheartificialriseofprice,inchecking
  consumption,andbringingforwardsuppliesfromunforeseen
  quarters。Theoperations,therefore,ofspeculativedealers,are
  usefultothepublicwheneverprofitabletothemselves;and
  thoughtheyaresometimesinjurioustothepublic,byheightening
  thefluctuationswhichtheirmoreusualofficeistoalleviate,
  yetwheneverthishappensthespeculatorsarethegreatest
  losers。Theinterest,inshort,ofthespeculatorsasabody,
  coincideswiththeinterestofthepublic;andastheycanonly
  failtoservethepublicinterestinproportionastheymiss
  theirown,thebestwaytopromotetheoneistoleavethemto
  pursuetheotherinperfectfreedom。
  Idonotdenythatspeculatorsmayaggravatealocal
  scarcity。Incollectingcornfromthevillagestosupplythe
  towns,theymakethedearthpenetrateintonooksandcorners
  whichmightotherwisehaveescapedfrombearingtheirshareof
  it。Tobuyandresellinthesameplace,tendstoalleviate
  scarcity;tobuyinoneplaceandresellinanother,mayincrease
  itintheformerofthetwoplaces,butrelievesitinthe
  latter,wherethepriceishigher,andwhich,therefore,bythe
  verysupposition,islikelytobesufferingmore。Andthese
  sufferingsalwaysfallhardestonthepoorestconsumers,since
  therich,byoutbidding,canobtaintheiraccustomedsupply
  undiminishediftheychoose。Tonopersons,therefore,arethe
  operationsofcorn—dealersonthewholesobeneficialastothe
  poor。Accidentallyandexceptionally,thepoormaysufferfrom
  them:itmightsometimesbemoreadvantageoustotheruralpoor
  tohavecorncheapinwinter,whentheyareentirelydependenton
  it,eveniftheconsequencewereadearthinspring,whenthey
  canperhapsobtainpartialsubstitutes。Butthereareno
  substitutes,procurableatthatseason,whichserveinanygreat
  degreetoreplacebread—cornasthechiefarticleoffood:if
  therewere,itspricewouldfallinthespring,insteadof
  continuing,asitalwaysdoes,torisetilltheapproachof
  harvest。
  Thereisanoppositionofimmediateinterest,atthemoment
  ofsale,betweenthedealerincornandtheconsumer,asthere
  alwaysisbetweenthesellerandthebuyer:andatimeofdearth
  beingthatinwhichthespeculatormakeshislargestprofits,he
  isanobjectofdislikeandjealousyatthattime,tothosewho
  aresufferingwhileheisgaining。Itisanerror,however,to
  supposethatthecorn。dealer’sbusinessaffordshimany
  extraordinaryprofit:hemakeshisgainsnotconstantly,butat
  particulartimes,andtheymustthereforeoccasionallybegreat,
  butthechancesofprofitinabusinessinwhichthereissomuch
  competition,cannotonthewholebegreaterthaninother
  employments。Ayearofscarcity,inwhichgreatgainsaremadeby
  corn—dealers,rarelycomestoanendwithoutarecoilwhich
  placesmanyoftheminthelistofbankrupts。Therehavebeenfew
  morepromisingseasonsforcorn—dealersthantheyear1847,and
  seldomwasthereagreaterbreak—upamongthespeculatorsthanin
  theautumnofthatyear。Thechancesoffailure,inthismost
  precarioustrade,areasetoffagainstgreatoccasionalprofits。
  Ifthecorn—dealerweretosellhisstores,duringadearth,ata
  lowerpricethanthatwhichthecompetitionoftheconsumers
  assignstohim,hewouldmakeasacrifice,tocharityor
  philanthropy,ofthefairprofitsofhisemployment,whichmaybe
  quiteasreasonablyrequiredfromanyotherpersonofequal
  means。Hisbusinessbeingausefulone,itistheinterestofthe
  publicthattheordinarymotivesshouldexistforcarryingiton,
  andthatneitherlawnoropinionshouldpreventanoperation
  beneficialtothepublicfrombeingattendedwithasmuchprivate
  advantageasiscompatiblewithfullandfreecompetition。
  Itappears,then,thatthefluctuationsofvaluesandprices
  arisingfromvariationsofsupply,orfromalterationsinreal
  (asdistinguishedfromspeculative)demand,maybeexpectedto
  becomemoremoderateassocietyadvances。Withregardtothose
  whicharisefrommiscalculation,andespeciallyfromthe
  alterationsofundueexpansionandexcessivecontractionof
  credit,whichoccupysoconspicuousaplaceamongcommercial
  phenomena,thesamethingcannotbeaffirmedwithequal
  confidence。Suchvicissitudes,beginningwithirrational
  speculationandendingwithacommercialcrisis,havenot
  hithertobecomeeitherlessfrequentorlessviolentwiththe
  growthofcapitalandextensionofindustry。Rathertheymaybe
  saidtohavebecomemoreso:inconsequence,asisoftensaid,of
  increasedcompetition;but,asIprefertosay,ofalowrateof
  profitsandinterest,whichmakescapitalistsdissatisfiedwith
  theordinarycourseofsafemercantilegains。Theconnexionof
  thislowrateofprofitwiththeadvanceofpopulationand
  accumulation,isoneofthepointstobeillustratedinthe
  ensuingchapters。
  NOTES:
  1。Astillbettercriterion,perhaps,thanthatsuggestedinthe
  text,wouldbetheincreaseordiminutionoftheamountofthe
  labourer’swagesestimatedinagriculturalproduce。
  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
  byJohnStuartMill
  Book4
  Chapter3
  InfluenceoftheProgressofIndustryandPopulationonRents,
  Profits,andWages
  1。Continuingtheinquiryintothenatureoftheeconomical
  changestakingplaceinasocietywhichisinastateof
  industrialprogress,weshallnextconsiderwhatistheeffectof
  thatprogressonthedistributionoftheproduceamongthe
  variousclasseswhoshareinit。Wemayconfineourattentionto
  thesystemofdistributionwhichisthemostcomplex,andwhich
  virtuallyincludesallothers—thatinwhichtheproduceof
  manufacturesissharedbetweentwoclasses,labourersand
  capitalists,andtheproduceofagricultureamongthree,
  labourers,capitalists,andlandlords。
  Thecharacteristicfeaturesofwhatiscommonlymeantby
  industrialprogress,resolvethemselvesmainlyintothree,
  increaseofcapital,increaseofpopulation,andimprovementsin
  production;understandingthelastexpressioninitswidest
  sense,toincludetheprocessofprocuringcommoditiesfroma
  distance,aswellasthatofproducingthem。Theotherchanges
  whichtakeplacearechieflyconsequencesofthese;as,for
  example,thetendencytoaprogressiveincreaseofthecostof
  productionoffood;arisingfromanincreaseddemand,whichmay
  beoccasionedeitherbyincreasedpopulation,orbyanincrease
  ofcapitalandwages,enablingthepoorerclassestoincrease
  theirconsumption。Itwillbeconvenienttosetoutby
  consideringeachofthethreecauses,asoperatingseparately;
  afterwhichwecansupposethemcombinedinanymannerwethink
  fit。
  Letusfirstsupposethatpopulationincreases,capitaland
  theartsofproductionremainingstationary。Oneoftheeffects
  ofthischangeofcircumstancesissufficientlyobvious:wages
  willfall;thelabouringclasswillbereducedtoaninferior
  condition。Thestateofthecapitalist,onthecontrary,willbe
  improved。Withthesamecapital,hecanpurchasemorelabour,and
  obtainmoreproduce。Hisrateofprofitisincreased。The
  dependenceoftherateofprofitsonthecostoflabourishere
  verified;forthelabourerobtainingadiminishedquantityof
  commodities,andnoalterationbeingsupposedinthe
  circumstancesoftheirproduction,thediminishedquantity
  representsadiminishedcost。Thelabourerobtainsnotonlya
  smallerrealreward,buttheproductofasmallerquantityof
  labour。Thefirstcircumstanceistheimportantonetohimself,
  thelasttohisemployer。
  Nothinghasoccurred,thusfar,toaffectinanywaythe
  valueofanycommodity;andnoreason,therefore,hasyetshown
  itself,whyrentshouldbeeitherraisedorlowered。Butifwe
  lookforwardanotherstageintheseriesofeffects,wemaysee
  ourwaytosuchaconsequence。Thelabourershaveincreasedin
  numbers:theirconditionisreducedinthesameproportion;the
  increasednumbersdivideamongthemonlytheproduceofthesame
  amountoflabourasbefore。Buttheymayeconomizeintheirother
  comforts,andnotintheirfood:eachmayconsumeasmuchfood,
  andofascostlyaqualityaspreviously;ortheymaysubmittoa
  reduction,butnotinproportiontotheincreaseofnumbers。On
  thissupposition,notwithstandingthediminutionofrealwages,
  theincreasedpopulationwillrequireanincreasedquantityof
  food。Butsinceindustrialskillandknowledgearesupposedtobe
  stationary,morefoodcanonlybeobtainedbyresortingtoworse
  land,ortomethodsofcultivationwhicharelessproductivein
  proportiontotheoutlay。Capitalforthisextensionof
  agriculturewillnotbewanting;forthough,byhypothesis,no
  additiontakesplacetothecapitalinexistence,asufficient
  amountcanbesparedfromtheindustrywhichpreviouslysupplied
  theotherandlesspressingwantswhichthelabourershavebeen
  obligedtocurtail。Theadditionalsupplyoffood,therefore,
  willbeproduced,butproducedatagreatercost;andthe
  exchangevalueofagriculturalproducemustrise。Itmaybe
  objected,thatprofitshavingrisen,theextracostofproducing
  foodcanbedefrayedfromprofits,withoutanyincreaseofprice。
  Itcould,undoubtedly,butitwillnot;becauseifitdid,the
  agriculturistwouldbeplacedinaninferiorpositiontoother
  capitalists。Theincreaseofprofits,beingtheeffectof
  diminishedwages,iscommontoallemployersoflabour。The
  increasedexpensesarisingfromthenecessityofamorecostly
  cultivation,affecttheagriculturistalone。Forthispeculiar
  burthenhemustbepeculiarlycompensated,whetherthegeneral
  rateofprofitbehighorlow。Hewillnotsubmitindefinitelyto
  adeductionfromhisprofits,towhichothercapitalistsarenot
  subject。Hewillnotextendhiscultivationbylayingoutfresh
  capital,unlessforareturnsufficienttoyieldhimashigha
  profitascouldbeobtainedbythesamecapitalinother
  investments。Thevalue,therefore,ofhiscommoditywillrise,
  andriseinpro。portiontotheincreasedcost。Thefarmerwill
  thusbeindemnifiedfortheburthenwhichispeculiartohimself,
  andwillalsoenjoytheaugmentedrateofprofitwhichiscommon
  toallcapitalists。
  Itfollows,fromprincipleswithwhichwearealready
  familiar,thatinthesecircumstancesrentwillrise。Anyland
  canaffordtopay,andunderfreecompetitionwillpay,arent
  equaltotheexcessofitsproduceabovethereturntoanequal
  capitalontheworstland,orundertheleastfavourable
  conditions。Whenever,therefore,agricultureisdriventodescend
  toworseland,ormoreonerousprocesses,rentrises。Itsrise
  willbetwofold,for,inthefirstplace,rentinkind,orcorn
  rent,willrise;andinthesecond,sincethevalueof
  agriculturalproducehasalsorisen,rent,estimatedin
  manufacturedorforeigncommodities(whichisrepresented,
  caeterisparibus,bymoneyrent)willrisestillmore。
  Thestepsoftheprocess(if,afterwhathasbeenformerly
  said,itisnecessarytoretracethem)areasfollows。Cornrises
  inprice,torepaywiththeordinaryprofitthecapitalrequired
  forproducingadditionalcornonworselandorbymorecostly
  processes。Sofarasregardsthisadditionalcorn,theincreased
  priceisbutanequivalentfortheadditionalexpense;butthe
  rise,extendingtoallcorn,affordsonall,exceptthelast
  produced,anextraprofit。Ifthefarmerwasaccustomedto
  produce100quartersofwheatat40s。,and120quartersarenow
  required,ofwhichthelasttwentycannotbeproducedunder45s。,
  heobtainstheextrafiveshillingsontheentire120quarters,
  andnotonthelasttwentyalone。Hehasthusanextra25l。
  beyondtheordinaryprofits,andthis,inastateoffree
  competition,hewillnotbeabletoretain。Hecannothoweverbe
  compelledtogiveituptotheconsumer,sincealesspricethan
  45s。wouldbeinconsistentwiththeproductionofthelasttwenty
  quarters。Theprice,then,willremainat45s。,andthe25l。will
  betransferredbycompetitionnottotheconsumerbuttothe
  landlord。Ariseofrentsisthereforeinevitablyconsequenton
  anincreaseddemandforagriculturalproduce,whenunaccompanied
  byincreasedfacilitiesforitsproduction。Atruthwhich,after
  thisfinalillustration,wemayhenceforthtakeforgranted。
  Thenewelementnowintroduced—anincreaseddemandforfood
  —besidesoccasioninganincreaseofrent,stillfurtherdisturbs
  thedistributionoftheproducebetweencapitalistsand
  labourers。Theincreaseofpopulationwillhavediminishedthe
  rewardoflabour:andifitscostisdiminishedasgreatlyasits
  realremuneration,profitswillbeincreasedbythefullamount。
  If,however,theincreaseofpopulationleadstoanincreased
  productionoffood,whichcannotbesuppliedbutatanenhanced
  costofproduction,thecostoflabourwillnotbesomuch
  diminishedastherealrewardofit,andprofits,therefore,will
  notbesomuchraised。Itisevenpossiblethattheymightnotbe
  raisedatall。Thelabourersmaypreviouslyhavebeensowell
  providedfor,thatthewholeofwhattheynowlosemaybestruck
  offfromtheirotherindulgences,andtheymaynot,eitherby
  necessityorchoice,undergoanyreductioninthequantityor
  qualityoftheirfood。Toproducethefoodfortheincreased
  numbermaybeattendedwithsuchanincreaseofexpense,that
  wages,thoughreducedinquantity,mayrepresentasgreatacost,
  maybetheproductofasmuchlabour,asbefore,andthe
  capitalistmaynotbeatallbenefited。Onthissuppositionthe
  losstothelabourerispartlyabsorbedintheadditionallabour
  requiredforproducingthelastinstalmentofagricultural
  produce;andtheremainderisgainedbythelandlord,theonly
  sharerwhoalwaysbenefitsbyanincreaseofpopulation。
  2。Letusnowreverseourhypothesis,andinsteadof
  supposingcapitalstationaryandpopulationadvancing,letus
  supposecapitaladvancingandpopulationstationary;the
  facilitiesofproduction,bothnaturalandacquired,being,as
  before,unaltered。Therealwagesoflabour,insteadoffalling,
  willnowrise;andsincethecostofproductionofthethings
  consumedbythelabourerisnotdiminished,thisriseofwages
  impliesanequivalentincreaseofthecostoflabour,and
  diminutionofprofits。Tostatethesamedeductioninother
  terms;thelabourersnotbeingmorenumerous,andtheproductive
  poweroftheirlabourbeingonlythesameasbefore,thereisno
  increaseoftheproduce;theincreaseofwages,therefore,must
  beatthechargeofthecapitalist。Itisnotimpossiblethatthe
  costoflabourmightbeincreasedinevenagreaterratiothan
  itsrealremuneration。Theimprovedconditionofthelabourers
  mayincreasethedemandforfood。Thelabourersmayhavebeenso
  illoffbefore,asnottohavefoodenough;andmaynowconsume
  more:ortheymaychoosetoexpendtheirincreasedmeanspartly
  orwhollyinamorecostlyqualityoffood,requiringmorelabour
  andmoreland;wheat,forexample,insteadofoats,orpotatoes。
  Thisextensionofagricultureimplies,asusual,agreatercost
  ofproductionandahigherprice,sothatbesidestheincreaseof
  thecostoflabourarisingfromtheincreaseofitsreward,there
  willbeafurtherincrease(andanadditionalfallofprofits)
  fromtheincreasedcostlinessofthecommoditiesofwhichthat
  rewardconsists。Thesamecauseswillproduceariseofrent。
  Whatthecapitalistslose,abovewhatthelabourersgain,is
  partlytransferredtothelandlord,andpartlyswallowedupin
  thecostofgrowingfoodonworselandorbyalessproductive
  process。
  3。Havingdisposedofthetwosimplecases,anincreasing
  populationandstationarycapital,andanincreasingcapitaland
  stationarypopulation,wearepreparedtotakeintoconsideration
  themixedcase,inwhichthetwoelementsofexpansionare
  combined,bothpopulationandcapitalincreasing。Ifeither
  elementincreasesfasterthantheother,thecaseissofar
  assimilatedwithoneorotherofthetwopreceding:weshall
  supposethem,therefore,toincreasewithequalrapidity;the
  testofequalitybeing,thateachlabourerobtainsthesame
  commoditiesasbefore,andthesamequantityofthose
  commodities。Letusexaminewhatwillbetheeffect,onrentand
  profits,ofthisdoubleprogress。
  Populationhavingincreased,withoutanyfallingoffinthe
  labourer’scondition,thereisofcourseademandformorefood。
  Theartsofproductionbeingsupposedstationary,thisfoodmust
  beproducedatanincreasedcost。Tocompensateforthisgreater
  costoftheadditionalfood,thepriceofagriculturalproduce
  mustrise。Theriseextendingoverthewholeamountoffood
  produced,thoughtheincreasedexpensesonlyapplytoapart,
  thereisagreatlyincreasedextraprofit,which,bycompetition,
  istransferredtothelandlord。Rentwillrisebothinquantity
  ofproduceandincost;whilewages,beingsupposedtobethe
  sameinquantity,willbegreaterincost。Thelabourerobtaining
  thesameamountofnecessaries,moneywageshaverisen;andas
  theriseiscommontoallbranchesofproduction,thecapitalist
  cannotindemnifyhimselfbychanginghisemployment,andtheloss
  mustbebornebyprofits。
  Itappears,then,thatthetendencyofanincreaseofcapital
  andpopulationistoaddtorentattheexpenseofprofits:
  thoughrentdoesnotgainallthatprofitslose,apartbeing
  absorbedinincreasedexpensesofproduction,thatis,inhiring
  orfeedingagreaternumberoflabourerstoobtainagivenamount
  ofagriculturalproduce。Byprofits,mustofcoursebeunderstood
  therateofprofit;foralowerrateofprofitonalarger
  capitalmayyieldalargergrossprofit,consideredabsolutely,
  thoughasmallerinproportiontotheentireproduce。
  Thistendencyofprofitstofall,isfromtimetotime
  counter。actedbyimprovementsinproduction:whetherarising
  fromincreaseofknowledge,orfromanincreaseduseofthe
  knowledgealreadypossessed。Thisisthethirdofthethree
  elements,theeffectsofwhichonthedistributionoftheproduce
  weunder。tooktoinvestigate;andtheinvestigationwillbe
  facilitatedbysupposing,asinthecaseoftheothertwo
  elements,thatitoperates,inthefirstinstance,alone。
  4。Letusthensupposecapitalandpopulationstationary,and
  asuddenimprovementmadeintheartsofproduction;bythe
  inventionofmoreefficientmachines,orlesscostlyprocesses,
  orbyobtainingaccesstocheapercommoditiesthroughforeign
  trade。
  Theimprovementmayeitherbeinsomeofthenecessariesor
  indulgenceswhichenterintothehabitualconsumptionofthe
  labouringclass;oritmaybeapplicableonlytoluxuries
  consumedexclusivelybyricherpeople。Veryfew,however,ofthe
  greatindustrialimprovementsarealtogetherofthislast
  description。Agriculturalimprovements,exceptsuchasspecially
  relatetosomeoftherarerandmorepeculiarproducts,act
  directlyupontheprincipalobjectsofthelabourer’s
  expenditure。Thesteam。engineandeveryotherinventionwhich
  affordsamanageablepower,areapplicabletoallthings,andof
  coursetothoseconsumedbythelabourer。Eventhepower—loomand
  thespinningjenny,thoughappliedtothemostdelicatefabrics,
  areavailablenolessforthecoarsecottonsandwoollenswornby
  thelabouringclass。Allimprovementsinlocomotioncheapenthe
  transportofnecessariesaswellasofluxuries。Seldomisanew
  branchoftradeopened,without,eitherdirectlyorinsome
  indirectway,causingsomeofthearticleswhichthemassofthe
  peopleconsumetobeeitherproducedorimportedatsmallercost。
  Itmaysafelybeaffirmed,therefore,thatimprovementsin
  productiongenerallytendtocheapenthecommoditiesonwhichthe
  wagesofthelabouringclassareexpended。
  Insofarasthecommoditiesaffectedbyanimprovementare
  thosewhichthelabourersgenerallydonotconsume,the
  improvementhasnoeffectinalteringthedistributionofthe
  produce。Thoseparticularcommodities,indeed,arecheapened;
  beingproducedatlesscost,theyfallinvalueandinprice,and
  allwhoconsumethem,whetherlandlords,capitalists,orskilled
  andprivilegedlabourers,obtainincreasedmeansofenjoyment。
  Therateofprofits,however,isnotraised。Thereisalarger
  grossprofit,reckonedinquantityofcommodities。Butthe
  capitalalso,ifestimatedinthosecommodities,hasrisenin
  value。Theprofitisthesamepercentageonthecapitalthatit
  wasbefore。Thecapitalistsarenotbenefitedascapitalists,but
  asconsumers。Thelandlordsandtheprivilegedclassesof
  labourers,iftheyareconsumersofthesamecommodities,share
  thesamebenefit。
  Thecaseisdifferentwithimprovementswhichdiminishthe
  costofproductionofthenecessariesoflife,orofcommodities
  whichenterhabituallyintotheconsumptionofthegreatmassof
  labourers。Theplayofthedifferentforcesbeinghererather
  complex,itisnecessarytoanalyseitwithsomeminuteness。
  Asformerlyobserved,therearetwokindsofagricultural
  improvements。Someconsistinameresavingoflabour,andenable
  agivenquantityoffoodtobeproducedatlesscost,butnoton
  asmallersurfaceoflandthanbefore。Othersenableagiven
  extentoflandtoyieldnotonlythesameproducewithless
  labour,butagreaterproduce;sothatifnogreaterproduceis
  required,apartofthelandalreadyunderculturemaybe
  dispensedwith。Asthepartrejectedwillbetheleastproductive
  portion,themarketwillthenceforthberegulatedbyabetter
  descriptionoflandthanwhatwaspreviouslytheworstunder
  cultivation。
  Toplacetheeffectoftheimprovementinaclearlight,we
  mustsupposeittotakeplacesuddenly,soastoleavenotime
  duringitsintroduction,foranyincreaseofcapitalorof
  population。Itsfirsteffectwillbeafallofthevalueand
  priceofagriculturalproduce。Thisisanecessaryconsequenceof
  eitherkindofimprovement,butespeciallyofthelast。
  Animprovementofthefirstkind,notincreasingtheproduce,
  doesnotdispensewithanyportionoftheland;themarginof
  cultivation(asDrChalmerstermsit)remainswhereitwas;
  agriculturedoesnotrecede,eitherinextentofcultivatedland,
  orinelaboratenessofmethod:andthepricecontinuestobe
  regardedbythesameland,andbythesamecapital,asbefore。
  Butsincethatlandorcapital,andallotherlandorcapital
  whichproducesfood,nowyieldsitsproduceatsmallercost,the
  priceoffoodwillfallproportionally。Ifone—tenthofthe
  expenseofproductionhasbeensaved,thepriceofproducewill
  fallone—tenth。
  Butsupposetheimprovementtobeofthesecondkind;
  enablingthelandtoproduce,notonlythesamecornwith
  one—tenthlesslabour,butatenthmorecornwiththesame
  labour。Heretheeffectisstillmoredecided。Cultivationcan
  nowbecontracted,andthemarketsuppliedfromasmaller
  quantityofland。Evenifthissmallersurfaceoflandwereof
  thesameaveragequalityasthelargersurface,thepricewould
  fallone—tenth,becausethesameproducewouldbeobtainedwitha
  tenthlesslabour。Butsincetheportionoflandabandonedwill
  betheleastfertileportion,thepriceofproducewill
  thenceforthberegulatedbyabetterqualityoflandthanbefore。
  Inaddition,therefore,totheoriginaldiminutionofone—tenth
  inthecostofproduction,therewillbeafurtherdiminution,
  correspondingwiththerecessionofthe’margin’ofagriculture
  tolandofgreaterfertility。Therewillthusbeatwofoldfall
  ofprice。
  Letusnowexaminetheeffectoftheimprovements,thus
  suddenlymade,onthedivisionoftheproduce;andinthefirst
  place,onrent。Bytheformerofthetwokindsofimprovement,
  rentwouldbediminished。Bythesecond,itwouldbediminished
  stillmore。
  Supposethatthedemandforfoodrequiresthecultivationof
  threequalitiesofland,yielding,onanequalsurface,andatan
  equalexpense,100,80,and60bushelsofwheat。Thepriceof
  wheatwill,ontheaverage,bejustsufficienttoenablethe
  thirdqualitytobecultivatedwiththeordinaryprofit。The
  firstqualitythereforewillyieldfortyandthesecondtwenty
  bushelsofextraprofit,constitutingtherentofthelandlord。
  Andfirst,letanimprovementbemade,which,withoutenabling
  morecorntobegrown,enablesthesamecorntobegrownwith
  one—fourthlesslabour。Thepriceofwheatwillfallone。fourth,
  and8obushelswillbesoldforthepriceforwhich6oweresold
  before。Buttheproduceofthelandwhichproduces6obushelsis
  stillrequired,andtheexpensesbeingasmuchreducedasthe
  price,thatlandcanstillbecultivatedwiththeordinary
  profit。Thefirstandsecondqualitieswillthereforecontinueto
  yieldasurplusof40and20bushels,andcornrentwillremain
  thesameasbefore。Butcornhavingfalleninpriceone。fourth,
  thesamecornrentisequivalenttoafourthlessofmoneyandof
  allothercommodities。Sofar,therefore,asthelandlordexpends
  hisincomeinmanufacturedorforeignproducts,heisone。fourth
  worseoffthanbefore。Hisincomeaslandlordisreducedto
  three。quartersofitsamount:itisonlyasaconsumerofcorn
  thatheisaswelloff。
  Iftheimprovementisoftheotherkind,rentwillfallina
  stillgreaterratio。Supposethattheamountofproducewhichthe
  marketrequires,canbegrownnotonlywithafourthlesslabour,
  butonafourthlessland。Ifallthelandalreadyincultivation
  continuedtobecultivated,itwouldyieldaproducemuchlarger
  thannecessary。Land,equivalenttoafourthoftheproduce,must
  nowbeabandoned;andasthethirdqualityyieldedexactly
  one。fourth,(being60outof240,)thatqualitywillgooutof
  cultivation。The240bushelscannowbegrownonlandofthe
  firstandsecondqualitiesonly;being,onthefirst,100bushels
  plusone—third,or1331/3bushels;onthesecond,80bushels
  plusone—third,or1062/3bushels;together240。Thesecond
  qualityofland,insteadofthethird,isnowthelowest,and
  regulatestheprice。Insteadof6o,itissufficientif1062/3
  bushelsrepaythecapitalwiththeordinaryprofit。Thepriceof
  wheatwillconsequentlyfall,notintheratioof6oto8o,asin
  theothercase,butintheratioof60to1062/3。Eventhis
  givesaninsufficientideaofthedegreeinwhichrentwillbe
  affected。Thewholeproduceofthesecondqualityoflandwill
  nowberequiredtorepaytheexpensesofproduction。Thatland,
  beingtheworstincultivation,willpaynorent。Andthefirst
  qualitywillonlyyieldthedifferencebetween1331/3bushels
  and1062/3,being262/3bushelsinsteadof40。Thelandlords
  collectivelywillhavelost331/3outof60bushelsincornrent
  alone,whilethevalueandpriceofwhatisleftwillhavebeen
  diminishedintheratioof6oto1062/3。
  Itthusappears,thattheinterestofthelandlordis
  decidedlyhostiletothesuddenandgeneralintroductionof
  agriculturalimprovements。Thisassertionhasbeencalleda
  paradox,andmadeagroundforaccusingitsfirstpromulgator,
  Ricardo,ofgreatintellectualperverseness,tosaynothing
  worse。Icannotdiscerninwhattheparadoxconsists;andthe
  obliquityofvisionseemstometobeonthesideofhis
  assailants。Theopinionisonlymadetoappearabsurdbystating
  itunfairly。Iftheassertionwerethatalandlordisinjuredby
  theimprovementofhisestate,itwouldcertainlybe
  indefensible;butwhatisassertedis,thatheisinjuredbythe
  improvementoftheestatesofotherpeople,althoughhisownis
  included。Nobodydoubtsthathewouldgaingreatlybythe
  improvementifhecouldkeepittohimself,andunitethetwo
  benefits,anincreasedproducefromhisland,andapriceashigh
  asbefore。Butiftheincreaseofproducetookplace
  simultaneouslyonalllands,thepricewouldnotbeashighas
  before;andthereisnothingunreasonableinsupposingthatthe
  landlordswouldbe,notbenefited,butinjured。Itisadmitted
  thatwhateverpermanentlyreducesthepriceofproducediminishes
  rent:anditisquiteinaccordancewithcommonnotionsto
  supposethatif,bytheincreasedproductivenessofland,less
  landwererequiredforcultivation,itsvalue,likethatofother
  articlesforwhichthedemandhaddiminished,wouldfall。
  Iamquitewillingtoadmitthatrentshavenotreallybeen
  loweredbytheprogressofagriculturalimprovement;butwhy?
  Becauseimprovementhasneverinrealitybeensudden,butalways
  slow;atnotimemuchoutstripping,andoftenfallingfarshort
  of,thegrowthofcapitalandpopulation,whichtendsasmuchto
  raiserent,astheothertolowerit,andwhichisenabledaswe
  shallpresentlysee,toraiseitmuchhigher,bymeansofthe
  additionalmarginaffordedbyimprovementsinagriculture。First,
  however,wemustexamineinwhatmannerthesuddencheapeningof
  agriculturalproducewouldaffectprofitsandwages。
  Inthebeginning,moneywageswouldprobablyremainthesame
  asbefore,andthelabourerswouldhavethefullbenefitofthe
  cheapness。Theywouldbeenabledtoincreasetheirconsumption
  eitheroffoodorofotherarticles,andwouldreceivethesame
  cost,andagreaterquantity。Sofar,profitswouldbe
  unaffected。Butthepermanentremunerationofthelabourers
  essentiallydependsonwhatwehavecalledtheirhabitual
  standard;theextentoftherequirementswhich,asaclass,they
  insistonsatisfyingbeforetheychoosetohavechildren。If
  theirtastesandrequirementsreceiveadurableimpressfromthe
  suddenimprovementintheircondition,thebenefittotheclass
  willbepermanent。Butthesamecausewhichenablesthemto
  purchasegreatercomfortsandindulgenceswiththesamewages,
  wouldenablethemtopurchasethesameamountofcomfortsand
  indulgenceswithlowerwages;andagreaterpopulationmaynow
  exist,withoutreducingthelabourersbelowtheconditionto
  whichtheyareaccustomed。Hithertothisandnootherhasbeen
  theusewhichthelabourershavecommonlymadeofanyincreaseof
  theirmeansofliving;theyhavetreateditsimplyasconvertible
  intofoodforagreaternumberofchildren。Itisprobable,
  therefore,thatpopulationwouldbestimulated,andthatafter
  thelapseofagenerationtherealwagesoflabourwouldbeno
  higherthanbeforetheimprovement:thereductionbeingpartly
  broughtaboutbyafallofmoneywages,andpartlythroughthe
  priceoffood,thecostofwhich,fromthedemandoccasionedby
  theincreaseofpopulation,wouldbeincreased。Totheextentto
  whichmoneywagesfell,profitswouldrise:thecapitalist
  obtainingagreaterquantityofequallyefficientlabourbythe
  sameoutlayofcapital。Wethusseethatadiminutionofthecost
  ofliving,whetherarisingfromagriculturalimprovementsorfrom
  theimportationofforeignproduce,ifthehabitsand
  requirementsofthelabourersarenotraised,usuallylowers
  moneywagesandrent,andraisesthegeneralrateofprofit。
  Whatistrueofimprovementswhichcheapentheproductionof
  food,istruealsoofthesubstitutionofacheaperforamore
  costlyvarietyofit。Thesamelandyieldstothesamelaboura
  muchgreaterquantityofhumannutrimentintheformofmaizeor
  potatoes,thanintheformofwheat。Ifthelabourerswereto
  giveupbread,andfeedonlyonthosecheaperproducts,takingas
  theircompensationnotagreaterquantityofotherconsumable
  commodities,butearliermarriagesandlargerfamilies,thecost
  oflabourwouldbemuchdiminished,andiflabourcontinued
  equallyefficient,profitswouldrise;whilerentwouldbemuch
  lowered,sincefoodforthewholepopulationcouldberaisedon
  halforathirdpartofthelandnowsownwithcorn。Atthesame
  time,itbeingevidentthatlandtoobarrentobecultivatedfor
  wheatmightbemadeincaseofnecessitytoyieldpotatoes
  sufficienttosupportthelittlelabournecessaryforproducing
  them,cultivationmightultimatelydescendlower,andrent
  eventuallyrisehigher,onapotatoormaizesystem,thanona
  cornsystem;becausethelandwouldbecapableoffeedingamuch
  largerpopulationbeforereachingthelimitofitspowers。
  Iftheimprovement,whichwesupposetotakeplace,isnotin
  theproductionoffood,butofsomemanufacturedarticleconsumed
  bythelabouringclass,theeffectonwagesandprofitswillat
  firstbethesame;buttheeffectonrentverydifferent。Itwill
  notbelowered;itwilleven,iftheultimateeffectofthe
  improvementisanincreaseofpopulation,beraised:inwhich
  lastcaseprofitswillbelowered。Thereasonsaretooevidentto
  requirestatement。